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Author: therealheisenberg

US Economy Continues To Spurn Recession Banter

February 22, 2024February 23, 2024

Activity across the US manufacturing sector expanded at the briskest rate in 17 months in

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‘Nailed It’: McElligott On Nvidia

February 22, 2024February 23, 2024

“Nvidia nailed it.” So said Nomura’s Charlie McElligott on Thursday, as US equities looked for

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3 Comments on ‘Nailed It’: McElligott On Nvidia

In Japan: FOMO

February 22, 2024February 22, 2024

“Healthy.” That was one adjective bandied about Thursday, when the meteoric rally in Japanese equities

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2 Comments on In Japan: FOMO

Nvidia Beats Handily. Is It Enough?

February 21, 2024February 22, 2024

The fate of humanity hung in the balance on Wednesday afternoon in the US, where

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2 Comments on Nvidia Beats Handily. Is It Enough?

Why Nvidia Matters For Vol

February 21, 2024February 22, 2024

Wednesday was Nvidia day in the US. On the off chance you’re just coming out

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Minutes And Supply

February 21, 2024February 21, 2024

A couple of notables. The Fed minutes skewed hawkish and reception for Wednesday’s 20-year supply

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Marko Kolanovic Paints A Foreboding Picture

February 21, 2024February 23, 2024

JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic sees risks. Proliferating risks, not least of which is a rerun of

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5 Comments on Marko Kolanovic Paints A Foreboding Picture

Dangerously Narrow

February 21, 2024February 22, 2024

I’m tired of editorializing around mega-cap “tech” dominance and extreme market concentration. Honest to God

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3 Comments on Dangerously Narrow

China Goes To War With Quants, Bans Some Selling In Bid To Arrest Stock Rout

February 21, 2024February 22, 2024

I don’t want to overstate the case, but running a high frequency trading operation in

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4 Comments on China Goes To War With Quants, Bans Some Selling In Bid To Arrest Stock Rout

Are We Safe?

February 20, 2024February 21, 2024

“Are you safe?” I used to get that question a lot. It was either completely

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Life In General

February 20, 2024February 21, 2024

If there’s anything that frustrates me about opining on macro, markets and policy on a

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19 Comments on Life In General

A Bear Gets Lost In The Woods

February 20, 2024February 21, 2024

Mike Wilson said Tuesday that corporate America’s haves and have-nots divide is getting worse. He

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2 Comments on A Bear Gets Lost In The Woods

Chinese Banks’ ‘Record’ Rate Cut Is Meaningless

February 20, 2024February 20, 2024

It’s hard to know whether, and to what extent, everyday market participants benefit from staying

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Dear Butcher

February 20, 2024February 21, 2024

Wu Qing didn’t have much time to celebrate last week. Spring Festival or not, “The

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1 Comment on Dear Butcher

Houthi Hijinks

February 19, 2024February 20, 2024

The Houthis had a busy day. Crazy rascals. The situation in Yemen’s the furthest thing

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How Serious Is Yulia Navalnaya?

February 19, 2024March 4, 2024

The Russian opposition has a new face. And Vladimir Putin a new nemesis. Ostensibly, anyway.

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Beijing’s Holiday Macro Spin Falls Flat

February 19, 2024February 20, 2024

It’s almost as if investors have determined that China’s a giant Potemkin village — that

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2 Comments on Beijing’s Holiday Macro Spin Falls Flat

Now What?

February 18, 2024March 4, 2024

Bloomberg ran a story on February 18 suggesting geopolitical developments and generalized global “turmoil” (a

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7 Comments on Now What?

Data Void Leaves Markets To Nvidia, FOMC Minutes, Geopolitics

February 18, 2024February 20, 2024

Going strictly by the data calendar, it’ll be a quiet week for the world’s largest

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4 Comments on Data Void Leaves Markets To Nvidia, FOMC Minutes, Geopolitics

‘Sudden Death Syndrome’

February 17, 2024February 19, 2024

On Saturday morning, Lyudmila Navalnaya arrived in the tiny, frigid settlement of Kharp for the

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Tech Funds On Track For Record Inflows Amid AI Frenzy

February 16, 2024

For what it’s worth, US equity-focused ETFs and mutual funds recouped a meaningful portion of

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‘No Future, No Hope, Nothing’: Aleksei Navalny Dead At 47

February 16, 2024March 4, 2024

Aleksei Navalny’s gone. He keeled over and died Friday after taking a stroll around Polar

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6 Comments on ‘No Future, No Hope, Nothing’: Aleksei Navalny Dead At 47

Bubble Vision

February 16, 2024February 18, 2024

Admittedly, I’m exhausted with bubble talk. “Are we witnessing a dot-com redux?” “Is the ‘Magnificent

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10 Comments on Bubble Vision

Two-Month Euphoria Ebbs In Inconclusive Consumer Sentiment Update

February 16, 2024February 17, 2024

Consumer sentiment in the US edged higher in early February, the last of this week’s

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1 Comment on Two-Month Euphoria Ebbs In Inconclusive Consumer Sentiment Update

US Stagflation Fears Return As PPI Overshoot Confirms Rekindled Price Pressures

February 16, 2024February 18, 2024

Anyone looking to the BLS’s update on wholesale prices for relief following an uncomfortably warm

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8 Comments on US Stagflation Fears Return As PPI Overshoot Confirms Rekindled Price Pressures

Stocks Could Rise 30% If Equity Allocations Return To 1999 Levels: JPMorgan

February 15, 2024February 15, 2024

How far might stocks rally if investor equity allocations rose to levels consistent with those

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2 Comments on Stocks Could Rise 302 If Equity Allocations Return To 1999 Levels: JPMorgan

Money Fund AUM Slips, RRP Drops Below $500 Billion

February 15, 2024February 15, 2024

US money market funds shed assets over the latest weekly reporting period. Before anyone’s eyebrows

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