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Author: therealheisenberg

5% Versus FOMO

March 25, 2024March 25, 2024

Will there or won’t there be a rotation out of money market funds and into

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5 Comments on 55 Versus FOMO

A Milestone Abstention

March 25, 2024April 8, 2024

On Monday, Washington sent an unequivocal message about America’s commitment to safeguarding innocents caught in

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4 Comments on A Milestone Abstention

Drill It Up, I Say

March 25, 2024March 26, 2024

A couple of days ago, over a french press (mine) and a Mich Ultra (his)

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13 Comments on Drill It Up, I Say

New US Home Sales Slip, Prices Fall Amid Signs Of Normalization

March 25, 2024March 26, 2024

New home sales unexpectedly fell last month, the first of this week’s notable data out

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2 Comments on New US Home Sales Slip, Prices Fall Amid Signs Of Normalization

Stop Me If You’ve Heard This Before

March 25, 2024March 26, 2024

Markets, and particularly equities, built in “great expectations” over a five-month rally that found global

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6 Comments on Stop Me If You’ve Heard This Before

Corporate Bid Still Only Game In Town For US Equity Demand

March 24, 2024March 24, 2024

Who’ll be the biggest buyer of US equities in 2024? If you said “Well corporations,

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Leave a Comment on Corporate Bid Still Only Game In Town For US Equity Demand

US Inflation Update To Show Stalled Progress In Holiday Week

March 24, 2024March 29, 2024

It’s a holiday week in the US, but the schedule’s pretty full and includes an

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2 Comments on US Inflation Update To Show Stalled Progress In Holiday Week

Goldman: S&P Could Soar To 6,000 This Year. Or Dive To 4,500

March 24, 2024March 25, 2024

The S&P hit Goldman’s year-end target last week. So, nine months early. The (very short)

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1 Comment on Goldman: S&P Could Soar To 6,000 This Year. Or Dive To 4,500

Escape To Ukraine?

March 23, 2024March 25, 2024

As with anything that happens inside Vladimir Putin’s Russia, the March 22 massacre at Crocus

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5 Comments on Escape To Ukraine?

In Moscow: Murder

March 22, 2024April 8, 2024

On March 7, the US Embassy in Moscow issued a security alert. “The Embassy is

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7 Comments on In Moscow: Murder

After Attack On Ukraine Energy Infrastructure, Russia Issues Thinly Veiled Threat

March 22, 2024March 24, 2024

Russia’s “in a state of war,” according to Vladimir Putin’s long-time spokesman. No sh-t, you

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3 Comments on After Attack On Ukraine Energy Infrastructure, Russia Issues Thinly Veiled Threat

Cash For Stocks!

March 22, 2024March 24, 2024

One of the pressing questions headed into 2024 was this: What’ll become of the $6

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3 Comments on Cash For Stocks!

Leave The Stocks, Take The Gold

March 22, 2024

On the heels of a blockbuster inflow the prior week, US equity-focused ETFs and mutual

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Leave a Comment on Leave The Stocks, Take The Gold

The ‘DNA’ Of The ‘New Everything Bull’

March 22, 2024March 23, 2024

Global equities were on track for their best week of 2024 and it was no

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12 Comments on The ‘DNA’ Of The ‘New Everything Bull’

Money Market Funds Bleed $62 Billion

March 21, 2024

Money market funds hemorrhaged cash in the week to March 20, according to the latest

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SocGen’s Kabra Dethrones Subramanian As Wall Street’s Biggest Bull

March 21, 2024March 22, 2024

Move over, Savita. For nearly a month, BofA’s 5,400 year-end target for the S&P counted

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2 Comments on SocGen’s Kabra Dethrones Subramanian As Wall Street’s Biggest Bull

Albert Edwards Says Yield-Curve Control Inevitable For Western Central Banks

March 21, 2024March 22, 2024

Yield-curve control may be over in Japan, but it’s coming soon to a central bank

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11 Comments on Albert Edwards Says Yield-Curve Control Inevitable For Western Central Banks

Is America’s Housing Market Starting To Thaw?

March 21, 2024March 22, 2024

Don’t look now, but existing US home sales surged last month, according to data released

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1 Comment on Is America’s Housing Market Starting To Thaw?

US Economy Boasts Another Strong Quarter While France, Germany Struggle

March 21, 2024March 21, 2024

Survey data released on Thursday suggested private sector economic activity in the US held steady

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Global Dovish Pivot Takes Shape As SNB Cuts, BOE Hawks Give Up

March 21, 2024April 8, 2024

The SNB’s not waiting around. Switzerland became the first G10 country to cut rates in

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1 Comment on Global Dovish Pivot Takes Shape As SNB Cuts, BOE Hawks Give Up

A Word On Jay Powell’s ‘Failure’ To Arrest The Stock Rally

March 20, 2024March 20, 2024

Following his press conference on Wednesday afternoon, Jerome Powell caught some criticism from the peanut

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5 Comments on A Word On Jay Powell’s ‘Failure’ To Arrest The Stock Rally

Bumpy Road

March 20, 2024March 21, 2024

The Fed will almost surely cut rates “at some point this year,” Jerome Powell told

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6 Comments on Bumpy Road

Convoluted Fed SEP Tips Three 2024 Cuts, Higher Core Inflation, Higher Neutral

March 20, 2024April 8, 2024

The Fed kept rates on hold Wednesday. Obviously. I say “obviously,” but it’s worth recalling

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2 Comments on Convoluted Fed SEP Tips Three 2024 Cuts, Higher Core Inflation, Higher Neutral

Dodging Recessions, Ducking Molotovs

March 20, 2024March 21, 2024

Whatever the Fed suggests about the macro outlook at the March FOMC meeting, the US

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UK Inflation At 2 1/2 Year Low Sets Up Summer Rate Cut

March 20, 2024March 21, 2024

Rejoice: Inflation in the UK came in below estimates in key data released on Wednesday.

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Can Vol Stage A Comeback?

March 19, 2024March 19, 2024

They’re hedging downside again. A little bit anyway. For months, the options space was defined

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2 Comments on Can Vol Stage A Comeback?

Enjoying US Economic Exceptionalism? Thank Immigration

March 19, 2024April 8, 2024

This scarcely needs reiterating, but just in case: It’s tragically ironic that America, a nation

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14 Comments on Enjoying US Economic Exceptionalism? Thank Immigration

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Monthly Letters

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Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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