Recent events have exposed the multilateral institutions tasked with facilitating and preserving global peace and
Author: therealheisenberg
Iran Fires Hundreds Of Missiles, Drones Into Israel
“This is likely to unfold over a number of hours,” a spokeswoman for Joe Biden’s
‘A Pirate Operation’
Pirating. It’s back to pirating for Iran. With the world on edge ahead of an
War Risk Becomes Real For Markets
Typically, equities ignore geopolitical risk unless and until there’s a clear transmission channel to markets.
The Village
The sarcastic derision in macro-market circles is pretty heavy these days. I’d be inclined to
‘Frustrated’ Americans Mark Up Their Inflation Outlook. Again.
We’re going to need another revision. The marquee gauge of US consumer moods came up
Red Flags: Woeful China Trade Figures Underscore Litany Of Concerns
You can shelve your bullish China macro calls. On the heels of another concerning read
JPMorgan Underwhelms With NII Guide. Debt Underwriting Strong
JPMorgan fired the starting gun on US earnings season Friday with what looked like a
War’s Coming
Western democracies, and particularly the US, should consider playing a little offense for a change.
The Case Of The Missing Stock Selloff
We “should” be looking at the smoldering wreckage of a meaningful equity drawdown right about
Conspiracies, Ponzi Schemes And The Fed-Treasury-White House Nexus
The suspicion among some observers that the current macro-policy conjuncture across the world’s largest economy
Maybe There’s A God After All: US PPI Cools After CPI Scorcher
Mercifully for a US rates complex struggling to price a wholesale rethink of the likely
ECB: Rate Cuts Are Coming
The ECB on Thursday effectively confirmed that the Governing Council’s prepared to cut rates in
Deflation Demon Returns For China After One-Month Reprieve
Surprise: Domestic demand in China’s still moribund. Or at least that’s one way to read
‘At Some Point’
“Almost all participants judged that it would be appropriate to move policy to a less
Ugly 10-Year Sale Is Insult To Injury For Reeling US Rates
On a day when another warm CPI report roiled the US rates complex, markets could’ve
Return Of The Wrecking Ball: Dollar Soars
I wouldn’t want to be Christine Lagarde or Andrew Bailey right now. For months, FX
Gut Check Arrives For Stock Rally In Brutal Rates Repricing
So, no June rate cut from the Fed. A move at the next SEP meeting
Throat Punch: Fed Plans Derailed As CPI Torches Doves Again
Bad news! Underlying inflation in the US overshot expectations for a third consecutive month in
Wanted: Viable Bear Cases
Equity bears are caught in a kind of insanity loop. Generally speaking, bear cases fall
Skew Has A Story To Tell
“I’m just waiting for an update on skew.” So said one reader last week. That
Joe Biden Has A Small Business Problem
Small businesses in the US are feeling pretty glum these days. That’s bad news. As
Comrades Counteracting
It’s been half a dozen years since Sergei Lavrov met formally, one-on-one with Xi Jinping
The Policy Catalysts For Gold’s Monumental Rally
Gold’s big move is big news. It’s also a big mystery. As discussed at some
Kolanovic And Wilson Embrace Energy Bull Case
“We are not out of the woods yet on inflation,” JPMorgan analysts led by Marko
Quietly Bad: NY Fed Survey Sends Ominous Signals
If you’re the type who tracks each and every incoming macro release out of the
McElligott Returns, Talks Tail Risks, Vol ‘Phase Shift’
Previously smooth Sharpes on short-vol trades are “getting chopped up” as traders see fatter tail
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