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Author: therealheisenberg

Is The Selloff Finally Here?

April 19, 2024April 21, 2024

It’s clear enough that previously “oblivious” equities reached the limit this month in terms of

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3 Comments on Is The Selloff Finally Here?

Israel Strikes Iran, Pushing Mideast To The Brink

April 19, 2024April 20, 2024

Less than a week after intercepting an unprecedented barrage of drones and missiles launched by

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Reserves Plunge, Money Funds Hit With Exodus On Tax Payments

April 18, 2024

I hesitate to offer a money market fund flows update this week for what I

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Netflix Delivers Another Big Subscriber Beat, Will Stop Reporting Key Metric

April 18, 2024April 18, 2024

The bar was high for Netflix headed into Q1 results this week. The stock was

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1 Comment on Netflix Delivers Another Big Subscriber Beat, Will Stop Reporting Key Metric

War Games

April 18, 2024April 19, 2024

Earlier this week, in the Daily, I quoted a 29-year-old Ukrainian who, in remarks to

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9 Comments on War Games

Our Currency’s Still Your Problem

April 18, 2024April 19, 2024

“The USD ‘wrecking ball’ is again the world’s problem,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said Thursday. A

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4 Comments on Our Currency’s Still Your Problem

US Home Prices Scale New March Record As Affordability Crisis Spirals

April 18, 2024April 19, 2024

Existing home sales retreated as expected in March, snapping a two-month run of gains. That’s

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3 Comments on US Home Prices Scale New March Record As Affordability Crisis Spirals

Albert Edwards Says China’s Deflation Problem Needs More Attention

April 18, 2024April 19, 2024

If you ask SocGen’s Albert Edwards — a man who knows a thing or five

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The ‘Radical’ Economic Theory Taking Markets By Storm

April 17, 2024May 1, 2024

Earlier this week, a reader asked for my opinion on a “heretical” notion: The idea

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20 Comments on The ‘Radical’ Economic Theory Taking Markets By Storm

They Rang A Bell

April 17, 2024April 18, 2024

I say this all the time and now seems like a good time to reiterate

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1 Comment on They Rang A Bell

Kolanovic, Fund Managers Share Bullish Commodities View, Bond Caution

April 17, 2024April 18, 2024

They’re loving commodities these days. The bonds, not so much. “They” are fund managers. Specifically

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1 Comment on Kolanovic, Fund Managers Share Bullish Commodities View, Bond Caution

Highest Mortgage Rates Of 2024 May Be Pulling Demand Forward

April 17, 2024April 17, 2024

Earlier this week, while editorializing around what I (maybe hyperbolically, maybe justifiably) described as an

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4 Comments on Highest Mortgage Rates Of 2024 May Be Pulling Demand Forward

6% Services Inflation Vexes UK As Sunak Looks For ‘Feel-Good’ Rate Cuts

April 17, 2024April 18, 2024

Sticky inflation’s not just a US problem. Services sector price growth in the UK remained

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3 Comments on 63 Services Inflation Vexes UK As Sunak Looks For ‘Feel-Good’ Rate Cuts

Powell Insists Fed Policy’s ‘Restrictive.’ Critics See A Man In Denial

April 16, 2024May 1, 2024

The tedium of central banker soundbites on Tuesday was a bit grating. I wouldn’t call

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7 Comments on Powell Insists Fed Policy’s ‘Restrictive.’ Critics See A Man In Denial

Plunging Cash Levels Sound Alarm For Suddenly Shaky Stock Rally

April 16, 2024April 16, 2024

Don’t look now, but fund manager cash levels are on the brink of triggering a

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1 Comment on Plunging Cash Levels Sound Alarm For Suddenly Shaky Stock Rally

‘Fully Bully’ Fund Managers, Optimistic IMF Defy ‘Gloomy’ Global Prophecies

April 16, 2024April 17, 2024

Fund managers were the most bullish in more than two years early this month. Just

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Awful New Construction Data Underlines Enduring US Housing Dilemma

April 16, 2024April 17, 2024

The US housing market remains stuck in a kind of limbo. The pace of new

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3 Comments on Awful New Construction Data Underlines Enduring US Housing Dilemma

Bank Of America’s Traders Boast Best Quarter In Years

April 16, 2024April 17, 2024

Bank of America on Tuesday turned in decent results that beat where it counted, although

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2 Comments on Bank Of America’s Traders Boast Best Quarter In Years

China GDP Beat Marred By Woeful Retail Sales Miss

April 15, 2024May 1, 2024

The good news is, the Chinese economy expanded more quickly than anticipated in Q1, if

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4 Comments on China GDP Beat Marred By Woeful Retail Sales Miss

Wilson Sees Turning Point. Says ‘Rates Matter For Stocks Again’

April 15, 2024April 16, 2024

Stocks are concerned about rates again. That’s according to Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson. Mike’s a

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1 Comment on Wilson Sees Turning Point. Says ‘Rates Matter For Stocks Again’

The Mighty Bull Staggers: War Worry, Fed Angst Undercut Rally

April 15, 2024May 1, 2024

Markets were jittery on the heels of a weekend defined by terrifying headlines out of

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4 Comments on The Mighty Bull Staggers: War Worry, Fed Angst Undercut Rally

Bear Spots ‘Classic Crowding Out’ In Juiced-Up US Economy

April 15, 2024April 15, 2024

One of several recurring themes in this year’s notes from Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson is

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Anatomy Of Wall Street’s ‘Full-Blown War Freakout’

April 15, 2024April 15, 2024

Late last week, I noted that war risk became real for markets. Briefly. It became

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US Economy Hot As A Pistol, Retail Sales Beat Suggests

April 15, 2024April 15, 2024

The neutral rate’s higher! Shouted a very strong read on US retail sales to a

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12 Comments on US Economy Hot As A Pistol, Retail Sales Beat Suggests

Goldman Remembers How To Mint Money

April 15, 2024April 16, 2024

Did Goldman just rediscover the magic? Wall Street’s most “revered” firm turned in a set

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China GDP Unveil Tops Macro Agenda As Traders Eye Geopolitics

April 14, 2024April 15, 2024

Headlines will revolve around geopolitics in the days ahead for obvious reasons, but a crowded

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Regime Maintenance

April 14, 2024May 1, 2024

In the hours after Iran’s Monty Python French taunter-style “counterattack” against Israel, everyone with a

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17 Comments on Regime Maintenance

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