Tension was running high on Thursday afternoon in the US following a rough day for
Author: therealheisenberg
The ‘Dumb Money’ Just Turned Bearish
When you lose the retail crowd… For 23 consecutive weeks, the spread between professed bulls
Not Goldilocks: Core Inflation Overshoots In Mixed US GDP Report
The US economic expansion slowed meaningfully over the first three months of 2024, data released
Super Hot ‘Supercore’ Torches 2024 Rate Cut Odds
About those rate cuts. They aren’t coming. Not from the Fed. Not soon. The advance
Zuckerberg, Meta Suffer Stock Wipeout
Mark Zuckerberg will spend a lot of money. On AI. And on the metaverse. And
Meta Spooks Investors With Spending Plans, Cost Outlook
The bar for Meta was quite high headed into the company’s Q1 results on Wednesday
Escalations And Worst-Case Scenarios
Earlier this week, I trudged through familiar territory in the course of reiterating that equities
US Mortgage Rates Trek Higher, Squeezing Buyers Anew
Mortgage rates. They’re high. Or at least they surely seem that way to aspiring homeowners
Another Backdoor Yellen Equity Put May Be Just A Week Away
Earlier this week, I took a few minutes to put readers to sleep by revisiting
‘This Equipment’
“Is this equipment available?” Oksana Markarova wondered aloud, during an interview with a Ukrainian daily.
Tesla Teases ‘Accelerated’ New Model Launch As Revenue Dives
“We experienced numerous challenges in Q1,” Tesla said on Tuesday afternoon in the US. It
Mean Reverting Into Mega-Cap Earnings
Part of me hesitates to say anything that might be construed as “directional” ahead of
Apple Can’t De-Risk From China Fast Enough
Does one bad apple spoil the whole bunch? That’s the question market participants are asking
Elon Musk Will Figure It Out
As of last quarter, Tesla’s a growth stock with no growth. That’s a bad look.
America’s Housing Market Is A Sad Punchline
New homes. They’re expensive, chintzy, hastily-built and typically arranged in dystopian, crowded rows, such that
PMIs Point To Services Sector Job Losses, Rekindled Goods Inflation
Activity across the implacable US economy nearly stalled early this month, data released on Tuesday
Kolanovic Says Inflation, Geopolitical Risks Point To Additional Downside
Equities could stabilize this week, but after that it’s anyone’s guess. That was the message
What Goes Around Comes Around
The term premium’s almost positive again. Stop press, I know. The term premium’s like The
BofA Says Buy Geopolitical Dips As Russia Talks Nuclear Armageddon
For a supposedly “efficient” discounting mechanism, stocks often appear oddly oblivious, particularly to geopolitics. If
JPMorgan Warns Of Summer Selloff Redux
Headed into this month, investors were running higher stock exposure than they were last summer,
Mike Wilson Gets A Win
Mike Wilson nailed it. Or as much as you can nail it after sitting out
How Corporate America Will Spend $3.7 Trillion In 2024
Cash! You have some. Now what do you do with it? If you’re a household,
Chamberlain Or Churchill?
“Put those damn flags away,” 34-year-old Anna Paulina Luna sneered, as Democrats waived miniature Ukrainian
US GDP, Inflation Update In Focus As Fed Goes Quiet
It’d be too much to suggest a pivotal week looms for macro watchers, but market
The ‘En Masse’ Market Cash-Out In Perspective
I’m not sure I’d call it an “en masse cash-out” — as one mainstream financial
Second-Order Thinking
When you think about the likely evolution of Fed policy for the remainder of 2024,
Take The Win
Eight hours later, details around what, exactly, transpired in Iran early Friday remained scant, which
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