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Featured

Is The Fed Ignoring An Inflation Expectations Crisis?

May 16, 2025May 16, 2025
  • Just When You Thought Americans Couldn’t Get More Depressed…

    May 16, 2025
  • Wa-a-a-ait, Mr. Postman!

    May 16, 2025May 16, 2025
  • America Has A Problem. And The Only Solution Is Dollar Weakness

    May 15, 2025May 15, 2025

Duly Noted+

Is Trump Inviting Capital Flight? The Debate Continues

May 16, 2025May 16, 2025

Not Out Of The Woods

May 14, 2025May 14, 2025

economy

Homebuilder Sentiment Crashes Anew As Tariffs, Lackluster Spring Weigh

May 15, 2025May 16, 2025
  • A Wholesale Decline

    May 15, 2025May 16, 2025
  • Key Retail Sales Metric Slips As Walmart Warns On Price Hikes

    May 15, 2025May 16, 2025
  • US Home-Buying Season ‘Stunted’ By Intractable Affordability Crisis

    May 14, 2025May 15, 2025
  • Core Inflation Comes In Cool Again, As Good News Accumulates

    May 13, 2025May 14, 2025

Markets

More Extortion

May 14, 2025May 15, 2025
  • It’s Not ‘TDS.’ It’s ‘WTAFITGD’

    May 13, 2025May 14, 2025
  • The Pros Were ‘Glum.’ Then Geneva Happened

    May 13, 2025May 14, 2025
  • What The US-China Trade Truce Means For The Fed

    May 12, 2025May 13, 2025
  • ‘Only Incompetent, Not Totally Insane’

    May 12, 2025May 13, 2025

Politics

Royals Bearing Gifts

May 14, 2025May 15, 2025

Remember: It’s Probably A Projection

May 13, 2025May 15, 2025

Providing For The Public Good

May 10, 2025May 12, 2025

Goldman’s Guide To Investing In 2017

December 13, 2016

Over the course of the last week, I’ve brought you Goldman’s top trades and top

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Won’t Take Much To Shift Fed Dots, UBS Says

December 13, 2016

Well, all eyes are on the Fed tomorrow, but by all accounts there’s really no

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1 Comment on Won’t Take Much To Shift Fed Dots, UBS Says

UN Accuses Russia, Assad Of “Wanton Slaughter” In Syria’s Aleppo

December 13, 2016December 14, 2016

A couple of days ago, I noted that there were rumors of a cease fire

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Oil Market To Slip Into Deficit With Cuts, IEA Swears

December 13, 2016

Ok, so everyone knows to be skeptical about the OPEC/non-OPEC production cuts, right? I mean

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on Oil Market To Slip Into Deficit With Cuts, IEA Swears

Hallelujah: Market Forecasts Converge With Fed Outlook

December 12, 2016

In case you haven’t noticed by now, Trump’s election and subsequent nod to fiscal stimulus

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1 Comment on Hallelujah: Market Forecasts Converge With Fed Outlook

Daily Summary

December 12, 2016December 12, 2016

For those who might have missed a beat or two today, here’s Bloomberg with everything

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SocGen Previews Today’s Key 10Y Auction

December 12, 2016

As I highlighted this morning in the latest from Bloomberg’s Richard Breslow, this is an

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Jack Bogle: Beware The Meteoric Rise Of ETFs

December 12, 2016

You know, ETFs aren’t as safe as they may seem. This became readily apparent in

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2 Comments on Jack Bogle: Beware The Meteoric Rise Of ETFs

A Quick Look At Monday’s Headlines

December 12, 2016

Here’s a quick look at some of today’s important headlines via Bloomberg: European, Asian stocks

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OPEC Deal “Short-Term” Cut, Goldman Says

December 12, 2016

Were you holding your breath to find out what Goldman thinks about the prospects for

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on OPEC Deal “Short-Term” Cut, Goldman Says

Russia To Let Syrian Rebels Flee Aleppo “Honorably”, Reuters Reports

December 12, 2016

Well this is rich. A day or so after swearing that the Russian contingent wouldn’t

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Chinese Yuan Becomes 8th Most Traded Currency In The World

December 11, 2016

Earlier today, I brought you the latest from the BIS, the central bank for central

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Presenting Goldman’s “Top 10 Themes For 2017”

December 11, 2016

On Saturday, I brought you Goldman’s “Top 10 Picks For 2017,” ten trade ideas which

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The Central Bank For Central Banks Weighs In On Trump

December 11, 2016

The BIS, the central bank for central banks whose board is comprised of the worlds

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“Active Re-leveraging”

December 11, 2016December 11, 2016

Ok so this is interesting. One would think, given the experience of the beleaguered US

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Previewing Next Week’s FOMC Statement

December 10, 2016

Ok so Goldman has a preview (or three) out re: next week’s Fed meeting which

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1 Comment on Previewing Next Week’s FOMC Statement

An Inauspicious Sign From Global Trade

December 10, 2016

One of the data points I’ve been warning about for sometime now is the relationship

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1 Comment on An Inauspicious Sign From Global Trade

US Wants “Big Magnanimous” Gestures From Russia On Syria (Don’t Hold Your Breath)

December 10, 2016

So last night, I recommended readers turn a skeptical eye towards all of those “alt.

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9 Comments on US Wants “Big Magnanimous” Gestures From Russia On Syria (Don’t Hold Your Breath)

Goldman’s Top Trades For 2017

December 10, 2016

Whether you think of the Vampire Squid as a prophetic cephalopod or a solid contrarian

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A Look Ahead To Fed Week

December 9, 2016

From Deutsche Bank’s resident weatherman Joseph LaVorgna: As we have repeatedly warned, much of the

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Reflation Trade Continues As Yields Climb, Bond Rout Intensifies

December 9, 2016

Well, the reflation trade (see here for more) marches on as the 10-year tacked on

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1 Comment on Reflation Trade Continues As Yields Climb, Bond Rout Intensifies

It’s Time To Stop Painting Russia As Syria’s Liberator

December 9, 2016

“Syria is now a kaleidoscope of fiefdoms.” That’s from FT, assessing the state of affairs

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Reflation Nation: “Righting” The Wrongs With A Single, Enduring Populist Push

December 9, 2016October 12, 2021

Do you believe in miracles? Apparently somebody does, which is why we’re seeing record after

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1 Comment on Reflation Nation: “Righting” The Wrongs With A Single, Enduring Populist Push

On Fake News

December 9, 2016December 12, 2016

Perhaps it’s the fact that a near-death experience has stripped me of any vestiges of

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3 Comments on On Fake News

What History Says About Presidents And Recessions

November 26, 2016December 9, 2016

I know, I know. Everything will be “great again” come January when a flamboyant internet

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All Hail The King

November 11, 2016October 13, 2021

That’s right folks, Donald Trump is President. To be sure, no one really thought this was possible.

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“No Assets Are In Bubble Territory”: Fed

November 6, 2016October 12, 2021

The Fed is notoriously bad at spotting bubbles. They’re also notoriously good at inflating them.

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Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

Dope

May 3, 2025May 9, 2025

The Great Depression

March 31, 2025March 31, 2025

The Devil’s Greatest Trick

March 1, 2025March 12, 2025

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