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Featured

Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)

November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • What Are Treasurys Telling Us?

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Megaspeed Indeed. (Two Huangs Don’t Make A Right)

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Jensen Got Honey-Trapped

    November 8, 2026November 8, 2026

Markets

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 9, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

    November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026

economy

Inflation Week!

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Rasputin Presiding

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

November 3, 2026November 8, 2026

The Market Has A New Safe Haven Asset – But You Missed The Rally

August 10, 2017August 10, 2017

How much longer can this run?

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1 Comment on The Market Has A New Safe Haven Asset – But You Missed The Rally

Jeffrey Lord Fired By CNN For Shouting Nazi Salute On Twitter

August 10, 2017August 10, 2017

 “Nazi salutes are indefensible.”

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2 Comments on Jeffrey Lord Fired By CNN For Shouting Nazi Salute On Twitter

Here’s What The FBI Raid On Paul Manafort Means – Spoiler Alert…

August 10, 2017

“That brings us to the most important implication of the news of the Manafort raid.”

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Blood On The Streets

August 10, 2017August 10, 2017

Remember, you can always burn your stock certificates to keep warm in a nuclear winter.

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Trump: I’m Going To Do Things To North Korea That They ‘Never Thought Were Possible’

August 10, 2017August 10, 2017

“Things will happen to them like they never thought possible.”

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15 Comments on Trump: I’m Going To Do Things To North Korea That They ‘Never Thought Were Possible’

Popular Emerging Market ETF Has Worst Day Since December Fed Hike

August 10, 2017

Looks like some folks have an “emerging” problem on their hands…

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‘What Will Happen If VIX Spikes?’ Deutsche, Barclays Answer The Unanswerable

August 10, 2017

You could call it cruelly ironic: after all, it is the popularity of these products that has served to embed the feedback loop that will ultimately be the cause of their demise. They will almost invariably become victims of their own “success.”

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4 Comments on ‘What Will Happen If VIX Spikes?’ Deutsche, Barclays Answer The Unanswerable

Vol. Of Vol. Set For Highest Close Since 2015 But Here’s Why BTFD Will Win (Again)

August 10, 2017

“Vol quickly mean reverts until it doesn’t [but] the dip-buyers might win again in the end.”

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Leave a Comment on Vol. Of Vol. Set For Highest Close Since 2015 But Here’s Why BTFD Will Win (Again)

Thursday Humor: ‘Hedging Right Now Is Laughable’

August 10, 2017

Risk-Reward of Adding Hedges ‘Laughable’ Given Vol Surface: MKM

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Uh-Oh: VIX Explodes To 15-Handle After Call Volume Hit 3rd Highest In A Year

August 10, 2017August 10, 2017

“Probably nothing.”

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‘Little Men Are Moved More By Fear And Pride’

August 10, 2017

“We got to get this under control, Linc,” he fumed. “You have to be goddamn careful!”

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2 Comments on ‘Little Men Are Moved More By Fear And Pride’

Exercise Some ‘Common Sense,’ Or They’ll Be ‘Some Blood Shed’ At One Trader’s Desk

August 10, 2017

“All in on every hand and pray not to have gone broke before the broken clock has a chance to finally be right.”

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Leave a Comment on Exercise Some ‘Common Sense,’ Or They’ll Be ‘Some Blood Shed’ At One Trader’s Desk

Oil Surges Above $50 On Heavy Volume As Market Digests OPEC Report

August 10, 2017

Hooray!

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oil, OPEC1 Comment on Oil Surges Above $50 On Heavy Volume As Market Digests OPEC Report

‘An Eye-Watering Bubble’: Euro Junk Bond Yields Now Same As US Treasurys

August 10, 2017

“The “lust for return” is alive and kicking.”

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1 Comment on ‘An Eye-Watering Bubble’: Euro Junk Bond Yields Now Same As US Treasurys

‘It’s Hard To Price An Extinction Event’ – But Some Traders Are Trying

August 10, 2017August 10, 2017

“They’re trying to buy dollar-call bids at any price to hedge the risks.”

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1 Comment on ‘It’s Hard To Price An Extinction Event’ – But Some Traders Are Trying

Taiwan Turmoil: Billions In Government Intervention Fails To Arrest Stock Slide

August 10, 2017August 10, 2017

We’re not out of the woods just yet.

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1 Comment on Taiwan Turmoil: Billions In Government Intervention Fails To Arrest Stock Slide

Key Calls (Thursday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations

August 10, 2017August 10, 2017

You need an upgrade.

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America, The Rogue Nuclear State

August 9, 2017

“But worse, this crisis comes at a moment when America has another dangerous rogue actor to contend with: the president of the United States. Trump is every bit as erratic as Kim is and is less schooled on these issues than his counterpart.”

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3 Comments on America, The Rogue Nuclear State

This Market’s ‘Bad Breadth’ Is Getting Worse, And Worse, And …

August 9, 2017

Breadth is a particularly touchy subject these days, what with investors of all stripes shrieking about how it isn’t a sign of impending doom that the market is being propped up on the strength exhibited by a handful of names.

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‘Out Loud, To People With Ears’: Incuriosity Killed The Cat

August 9, 2017

“Jared Kushner, the administration’s supposed voice of reason who is charged with ending the opioid epidemic, brokering peace between Israelis and Palestinians, and presumably proving the existence of God, actually said these words, out loud, to people with ears: ‘We’ve read enough books.'”

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2 Comments on ‘Out Loud, To People With Ears’: Incuriosity Killed The Cat

‘All They Did Was Win, Win, Win’ – And Then They Got Delisted.

August 9, 2017August 9, 2017

“We really don’t know what’s going on”…

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1 Comment on ‘All They Did Was Win, Win, Win’ – And Then They Got Delisted.

Ashes To Ashes: Surveying The Fallout 24 Hours Later

August 9, 2017August 9, 2017

Ok, so “what hath Trump and Kim wrought” for markets 24 hours on?

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2 Comments on Ashes To Ashes: Surveying The Fallout 24 Hours Later

Dollars For ¢34 And How Trump Used Trans Ban To Distract From Manafort Raid

August 9, 2017August 9, 2017

You might be asking yourself, “what was Donald Trump doing on July 26 while FBI agents were busy raiding the home of his former campaign chairman?”

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‘Dependency’ And A Magically Shrinking Free Float

August 9, 2017August 9, 2017

“Amid a growing stock of assets owned by the central banks on a global scale, the free float of available assets has declined and thus volatility has subsided significantly.”

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2 Comments on ‘Dependency’ And A Magically Shrinking Free Float

Trump’s ‘Fire And Fury’ Comments ‘Improvised’, Caught Kelly, Others Off Guard: NY Times

August 9, 2017

“The piece of paper, as it turned out, was a fact sheet on the opioid crisis he had come to talk about, and his ominous warning to Pyongyang was entirely improvised.”

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3 Comments on Trump’s ‘Fire And Fury’ Comments ‘Improvised’, Caught Kelly, Others Off Guard: NY Times

2 Charts Show People Have Been ‘Buying The Nuclear War Dip’ Since 1962

August 9, 2017

So what are you waiting for?

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1 Comment on 2 Charts Show People Have Been ‘Buying The Nuclear War Dip’ Since 1962

‘I Knew It!’ Trader Sets Record For Most Sarcasm Crammed Into 7 Bullet Points

August 9, 2017August 9, 2017

“I knew it, I knew it, I’ve been saying it, sometimes, all along.”

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2 Comments on ‘I Knew It!’ Trader Sets Record For Most Sarcasm Crammed Into 7 Bullet Points

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • NSXNONSENSE on Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)
  • dayjob on Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)
  • therealheisenberg on Weekly: Melodrama
  • therealheisenberg on Weekly: Melodrama

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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