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Featured

Inflation Week!

November 8, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Rasputin Presiding

    November 8, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Weekly: Melodrama

    November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

November 3, 2026November 8, 2026

There Is No Way Jeff Sessions Firing Andrew McCabe Was Related To McCabe Investigating Sessions, Ok?!

March 22, 2018March 22, 2018

“Jefferson Butterbeans Sessions, you got some ‘splainin’ to do!”

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Objectively Crazy.

March 22, 2018March 22, 2018

Yep. Batshit.

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oil2 Comments on Objectively Crazy.

Trader Asks: ‘Which Would You Rather Own’?

March 22, 2018November 13, 2018

“Draghi’s monetary subsidy of cheap funding for corporations should not be leaking into this number. Yet it obviously is…”

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1 Comment on Trader Asks: ‘Which Would You Rather Own’?

Trump Slaps $50 Billion In Tariffs On China, Escalates Trade War

March 22, 2018March 22, 2018

“Winning”?

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8 Comments on Trump Slaps $50 Billion In Tariffs On China, Escalates Trade War

John Dowd Resigns Because Trump Refuses To Listen To Him On Mueller Probe

March 22, 2018March 22, 2018

“It is not clear who will take over the legal team.”

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1 Comment on John Dowd Resigns Because Trump Refuses To Listen To Him On Mueller Probe

Here’s What China Will Do Under ‘Trade War Light’ And ‘Trade War Heavy’

March 22, 2018March 22, 2018

Don’t poke that dragon.

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21 Comments on Here’s What China Will Do Under ‘Trade War Light’ And ‘Trade War Heavy’

Bill Gross Thinks Maybe We’re All Murderous Psychos – Also Talks About Bonds

March 22, 2018March 22, 2018

“The bond market’s current “beast” is not so much a killer but a hibernating bear awakening from an extended secular bullish trend of lower inflation and excessive central bank accommodation.”

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1 Comment on Bill Gross Thinks Maybe We’re All Murderous Psychos – Also Talks About Bonds

Here’s What Wall Street Thinks About The Fed And Jerome Powell’s Debut

March 22, 2018March 22, 2018

Well, the reviews are in on the Fed decision, the SEP, the dots and on Jerome Powell’s “plain speak” presser debut.

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2 Comments on Here’s What Wall Street Thinks About The Fed And Jerome Powell’s Debut

BOE On Hold, See You In May

March 22, 2018March 22, 2018

BANK OF ENGLAND VOTES 7-2 TO MAINTAIN BENCHMARK INTEREST RATE

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Trump Swears He’d Win ‘Fast And Hard’ Fist Fight With Joe Biden

March 22, 2018March 22, 2018

And yes this is real. This is really happening.

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6 Comments on Trump Swears He’d Win ‘Fast And Hard’ Fist Fight With Joe Biden

Nauseous Markets.

March 22, 2018March 22, 2018

Well this is shaping up to be a sour day in terms of risk sentiment.

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Epsilon Theory’s Latest: The Icarus Moment

March 21, 2018March 21, 2018

“What if I told you that you’ve been whipsawed by a cartoon, and you’re going to be whipsawed again?”

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3 Comments on Epsilon Theory’s Latest: The Icarus Moment

China Responds, Hikes Rates After Fed

March 21, 2018March 21, 2018

As a reminder, they’re prone to doing this.

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So I Guess We’re All Going To Pretend Jerome Powell Was Like, Super Awesome Today?

March 21, 2018

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Breaker One-Niner

March 21, 2018March 21, 2018

The market’s verdict was as follows.

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Powell Don’t Talk Much Like Yellen – Jury Still Out On Whether That’s Good Or Bad

March 21, 2018March 21, 2018

I’m sorry, but I’m not sure doublespeak and bluntness are going to be compatible forever.

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1 Comment on Powell Don’t Talk Much Like Yellen – Jury Still Out On Whether That’s Good Or Bad

Fed Signals 2 More Hikes In 2018: Dot Plot, Projections, Statement, Analysis

March 21, 2018March 21, 2018

FED RAISES RATES QUARTER POINT, SIGNALS TWO MORE HIKES IN 2018
FED ESTIMATES SHOW STEEPER PATH FOR RATE INCREASES IN 2019-20
FED SAYS `ECONOMIC OUTLOOK HAS STRENGTHENED IN RECENT MONTHS’
FED REPEATS NEAR-TERM RISKS `APPEAR ROUGHLY BALANCED’

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5 Comments on Fed Signals 2 More Hikes In 2018: Dot Plot, Projections, Statement, Analysis

One Bank Says A Dovish Fed Is Going To ‘Place A Floor Under The Stock Market’

March 21, 2018March 21, 2018

So you know, “fingers crossed” I guess if you’re long. 

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3 Comments on One Bank Says A Dovish Fed Is Going To ‘Place A Floor Under The Stock Market’

A Couple Of Thoughts On The Fed’s Growth Outlook

March 21, 2018

Here are my off-the-cuff thoughts on that as sent around to a couple of people this morning (and again, these are just my musings and should be treated as such).

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Trader: ‘Too Many Asset Classes Feel Both Stretched And Crowded’

March 21, 2018

“The rubber band is stretched, but keeps getting pulled back farther and farther.”

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3 Comments on Trader: ‘Too Many Asset Classes Feel Both Stretched And Crowded’

‘Long FAANG’ Is The Most ‘Crowded Trade’ (Again): Fair Warning

March 21, 2018March 21, 2018

Oh, good. 

The new edition of BofAML’s Global Fund Manager survey is out, which means we get a fresh look at what folks told Michael Hartnett about the “most crowded trades”.

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Bring An Umbrella: Here’s How To Hedge 3 Near-Term Risks

March 21, 2018March 21, 2018

So there you go. Bring an umbrella.

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David Stockman: ‘There Isn’t A Snowball’s Chance In Hell That A Yield Shock Can Be Averted’

March 21, 2018March 21, 2018

“For the past 30 years fiscal deficits have been a big financial nothingburger because the Fed and other central banks gutted their sting.”

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‘It’s A Big Deal, And He Knows It’: Zuckerberg To Speak As Analysts Ponder ‘Delete Facebook’ End Game

March 21, 2018March 21, 2018

“The coverage, like the stock drop, is brutal”…

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New Cambridge Analytica Video: ‘We Did All The Research, All The Data’ To Get Trump Elected

March 20, 2018March 20, 2018

“UH OH, it is British TV O’ Clock again!”

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CIA Director Gary Cohn Was A Thing That Really Almost Happened

March 20, 2018

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Face The Music.

March 20, 2018March 20, 2018

In terms of news flow on Tuesday, everything took a backseat to Facebook and the worsening Cambridge Analytica scandal, which is spiraling rapidly out of control.

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oil5 Comments on Face The Music.

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Monthly Letter

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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