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Featured

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Someone’s Got Work For You

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Fist Fights In Tijuana, Border ‘Bedlam’ And Other Highlights From Trump’s Thanksgiving

November 22, 2018November 23, 2018

“…there will be only bedlam, chaos, injury and death.”

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2 Comments on Fist Fights In Tijuana, Border ‘Bedlam’ And Other Highlights From Trump’s Thanksgiving

Exodus: Retail Investors Run Screaming To Cash As Hedge Fund Exposure Plunges To 2017 Lows

November 22, 2018October 20, 2021

On the bright side, at least “cash” actually yields something these days. 

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hedge funds3 Comments on Exodus: Retail Investors Run Screaming To Cash As Hedge Fund Exposure Plunges To 2017 Lows

Remember The Dollar Funding Squeeze? It’s About To Get Worse…

November 22, 2018October 20, 2021

Something to ponder.

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Leave a Comment on Remember The Dollar Funding Squeeze? It’s About To Get Worse…

And Behold: The Fed Blinks

November 22, 2018November 22, 2018

“Why the terrible year for financial markets? It’s easy – the Fed.”

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4 Comments on And Behold: The Fed Blinks

DoJ Considering Anti-OPEC Legislation, Opening Door To (I Guess) Matt Whitaker Suing Saudi Arabia

November 21, 2018November 22, 2018

“…but let’s go lower!”

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OPEC1 Comment on DoJ Considering Anti-OPEC Legislation, Opening Door To (I Guess) Matt Whitaker Suing Saudi Arabia

When They Go High, SocGen Goes Low: Why One Bank Sees The S&P Falling To 2,400

November 21, 2018

The question is whether SocGen will be forced to revise up their target or whether the rest of the Street will end up catching down to the bank’s reality.

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1 Comment on When They Go High, SocGen Goes Low: Why One Bank Sees The S&P Falling To 2,400

Jeff Gundlach Is ‘Amazed’ At How ‘Copacetic’ Markets Are About Coming Credit Apocalypse

November 21, 2018

“Stay out of investment grade bonds.”

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2 Comments on Jeff Gundlach Is ‘Amazed’ At How ‘Copacetic’ Markets Are About Coming Credit Apocalypse

Now We Know The Real Reason Behind Tuesday’s Oil Collapse Redux

November 21, 2018

It’s the gamma – again.

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oilLeave a Comment on Now We Know The Real Reason Behind Tuesday’s Oil Collapse Redux

Trump, Who Has ‘No Business In Saudi Arabia’, Thanks Kingdom For Oil Price Plunge A Day After Khashoggi Statement

November 21, 2018November 21, 2018

“Just so you know, I have no business in Saudi Arabia – couldn’t care less”.

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oil, OPEC4 Comments on Trump, Who Has ‘No Business In Saudi Arabia’, Thanks Kingdom For Oil Price Plunge A Day After Khashoggi Statement

Deere Warns Of Dreaded ‘Raw Materials Cost Pressures’ In Uninspiring Report

November 21, 2018November 21, 2018

In other words, this looks like it checks all the boxes when it comes to what everybody is looking for in terms of warnings. 

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Leave a Comment on Deere Warns Of Dreaded ‘Raw Materials Cost Pressures’ In Uninspiring Report

Heresy! For The First Time In 16 Years, Buy-The-Dip Has Failed

November 20, 2018November 19, 2020

Way back in April, two months after investors too young to remember a time when

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4 Comments on Heresy! For The First Time In 16 Years, Buy-The-Dip Has Failed

So, Trump Tried To Order The Justice Department To Prosecute Clinton And Comey, Which Is Totally Normal

November 20, 2018November 21, 2018

“McGahn rebuffed the president, saying that he had no authority to order a prosecution”…

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2 Comments on So, Trump Tried To Order The Justice Department To Prosecute Clinton And Comey, Which Is Totally Normal

Oil Celebrates One-Week Anniversary Of Worst Plunge In 3 Years By Plunging Second-Most In 3 Years

November 20, 2018November 20, 2018

This is truly remarkable.

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oil, OPEC1 Comment on Oil Celebrates One-Week Anniversary Of Worst Plunge In 3 Years By Plunging Second-Most In 3 Years

‘Maybe He Did, Maybe He Didn’t!’ Trump Releases Astonishing Statement On Murder Of Jamal Khashoggi

November 20, 2018November 20, 2018

“The world is a very dangerous place!”

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8 Comments on ‘Maybe He Did, Maybe He Didn’t!’ Trump Releases Astonishing Statement On Murder Of Jamal Khashoggi

‘VaR-Down’, ‘Impossible’ Moves And Systematic Deleveraging: Nomura’s McElligott Documents Manic Market Mayhem

November 20, 2018

Welcome to modern markets.

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6 Comments on ‘VaR-Down’, ‘Impossible’ Moves And Systematic Deleveraging: Nomura’s McElligott Documents Manic Market Mayhem

Goldman On 2019: Risk Has Returned, Raise Your Cash Allocation

November 20, 2018October 22, 2021

Occam’s razor. “TINA” is dead. And all that.

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3 Comments on Goldman On 2019: Risk Has Returned, Raise Your Cash Allocation

Apple Under Pressure Again As Goldman Says Pricing Power Is Lost, While Target, Boeing Get Smoked

November 20, 2018November 20, 2018

“The laboratory of the market now points to Apple being at the limit of their price premium for the iPhone.”

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1 Comment on Apple Under Pressure Again As Goldman Says Pricing Power Is Lost, While Target, Boeing Get Smoked

Hell In Hong Kong And A Mainland Maiming

November 20, 2018November 20, 2018

It was a tough Tuesday for Chinese shares.

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Leave a Comment on Hell In Hong Kong And A Mainland Maiming

Trader Demands You Show Same Amount Of Respect For QT Days As You Do Great White Sharks

November 19, 2018November 19, 2018

“…this is how I view Quantitative Tightening days. Traders, investors and portfolio managers should respect these periods.”

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2 Comments on Trader Demands You Show Same Amount Of Respect For QT Days As You Do Great White Sharks

On The Nasdaq: A New Nightmare

November 19, 2018October 20, 2021

Quick! Somebody buy some iPhones! 

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1 Comment on On The Nasdaq: A New Nightmare

Ray Dalio Tells Barry Ritholtz How Badly Assets Will Perform, Also Says He Invented Chicken Nuggets

November 19, 2018November 20, 2018

“We will have low returns going forward for a long time.”

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3 Comments on Ray Dalio Tells Barry Ritholtz How Badly Assets Will Perform, Also Says He Invented Chicken Nuggets

Jeff Gundlach Was Right: Goldman Joins Morgan Stanley, Others In Peak Dollar Call

November 19, 2018

“Speculative positioning is way long the dollar and now they’re wrong.”

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Leave a Comment on Jeff Gundlach Was Right: Goldman Joins Morgan Stanley, Others In Peak Dollar Call

Bad Apples, Fading FANGs And Macro Fund ‘Nukes’

November 19, 2018November 19, 2018

Another tough day for the most crowded trades on the planet.

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Leave a Comment on Bad Apples, Fading FANGs And Macro Fund ‘Nukes’

‘It Doesn’t Matter Until It Does’: An Update On Liquidity In U.S. Equity Futures

November 19, 2018

One of the disconcerting things about markets in 2018 is the proliferation of “this doesn’t matter until it does” stories. 

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1 Comment on ‘It Doesn’t Matter Until It Does’: An Update On Liquidity In U.S. Equity Futures

G20 Trade Détente? Here’s Why It Could Happen And Why It Won’t Last

November 19, 2018November 19, 2018

Fingers crossed.

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Leave a Comment on G20 Trade Détente? Here’s Why It Could Happen And Why It Won’t Last

‘The Big Low’: Analyst Who Predicted Short Vol. Blowup Delivers Top Trades For 2019

November 18, 2018November 18, 2018

“The Big Low” and a “V-shaped trajectory”.

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1 Comment on ‘The Big Low’: Analyst Who Predicted Short Vol. Blowup Delivers Top Trades For 2019

Trump Worries We May Never ‘Really Know’ Who Had Jamal Khashoggi Murdered

November 18, 2018November 19, 2018

He also said the man who oversaw the 2011 operation that killed Osama bin Laden didn’t do it quickly enough.

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5 Comments on Trump Worries We May Never ‘Really Know’ Who Had Jamal Khashoggi Murdered

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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