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Featured

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Someone’s Got Work For You

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Man Who Bankrupted Six Businesses Threatens To Cut Subsidies To General Motors On Twitter

November 27, 2018November 28, 2018

You can expect this to get far, far worse.

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2 Comments on Man Who Bankrupted Six Businesses Threatens To Cut Subsidies To General Motors On Twitter

As G20 ‘Binary Nightmare’ Looms, Here Are The Key CTA Levels To Watch

November 27, 2018October 20, 2021

“Yeah…this is gonna be a binary nightmare to trade.”

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1 Comment on As G20 ‘Binary Nightmare’ Looms, Here Are The Key CTA Levels To Watch

2018’s Star Analyst Makes The Case For A 2019 Earnings Recession

November 27, 2018November 27, 2018

There’s a simple formula.

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2 Comments on 2018’s Star Analyst Makes The Case For A 2019 Earnings Recession

Albert Edwards Preps ‘Forecaster Of the Decade Award’ And Other Fed Musings From SocGen

November 27, 2018October 20, 2021

“…if the Fed indeed stops tightening after the December hike, Solomon will be spot on.”

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Leave a Comment on Albert Edwards Preps ‘Forecaster Of the Decade Award’ And Other Fed Musings From SocGen

From Black Monday To The Dot-Com Bust To The GFC: A Visual History Of The S&P After Rate Cuts

November 26, 2018November 26, 2018

“Was there ever a time when the Fed cut rates and stocks screamed higher immediately? Nah.”

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1 Comment on From Black Monday To The Dot-Com Bust To The GFC: A Visual History Of The S&P After Rate Cuts

‘They Better Damn Well Open A New Plant’: General Motors As Public Enemy No. 1

November 26, 2018November 27, 2018

“It’s not going to be closed for long, I hope, Mary, because if it is you have a problem.”

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5 Comments on ‘They Better Damn Well Open A New Plant’: General Motors As Public Enemy No. 1

Trade Optimism Dashed As Trump Doubles Down, Threatens iPhone Tariffs

November 26, 2018October 20, 2021

“If we don’t make a deal, then I’m going to”…

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3 Comments on Trade Optimism Dashed As Trump Doubles Down, Threatens iPhone Tariffs

Mike’s Back: Analyst Who Predicted Tech ‘Rain Storm’ Releases 2019 U.S. Equity Outlook

November 26, 2018November 26, 2018

The man with the plan.

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1 Comment on Mike’s Back: Analyst Who Predicted Tech ‘Rain Storm’ Releases 2019 U.S. Equity Outlook

Algos, Onions And Foreign Policy: Goldman Delivers Epic Critique Of Broken Commodities Markets

November 26, 2018November 26, 2018

“This is simply unsustainable”.

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oil1 Comment on Algos, Onions And Foreign Policy: Goldman Delivers Epic Critique Of Broken Commodities Markets

Looking For Something To Fade? Monday’s Furious Rally In Italian Assets Will Do

November 26, 2018November 26, 2018

You’d be forgiven for being skeptical.

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Leave a Comment on Looking For Something To Fade? Monday’s Furious Rally In Italian Assets Will Do

Bear Market Bounces And CTA Pinball Ahead Of Event Risk-Strewn Calendar

November 26, 2018

“This risk then becomes that today’s CTA Equities re-leveraging sees another de-leveraging wave”…

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1 Comment on Bear Market Bounces And CTA Pinball Ahead Of Event Risk-Strewn Calendar

‘Do It By Bus, Do It By Plane’: Trump Calls On Mexico To Deport ‘Stone Cold Criminal’ Migrants

November 26, 2018November 26, 2018

Donald Trump, logistics expert.

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1 Comment on ‘Do It By Bus, Do It By Plane’: Trump Calls On Mexico To Deport ‘Stone Cold Criminal’ Migrants

‘When You Run The Gas Asphyxiates You More’: U.S. Fires Tear Gas At Migrants In Tijuana

November 25, 2018October 22, 2021

“Projectiles”.

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Leave a Comment on ‘When You Run The Gas Asphyxiates You More’: U.S. Fires Tear Gas At Migrants In Tijuana

Here’s What Goldman Says Would Happen To Markets If The Fed Delivered A 150bp Rate ‘Shock’

November 25, 2018October 20, 2021

It all depends on your definition of “shock”, now doesn’t it?

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3 Comments on Here’s What Goldman Says Would Happen To Markets If The Fed Delivered A 150bp Rate ‘Shock’

When Doves Cry: Previewing A Critical Week For The Fed Pause Story

November 25, 2018November 25, 2018

This is a big week.

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Leave a Comment on When Doves Cry: Previewing A Critical Week For The Fed Pause Story

‘President T.’ Unleashes Hilarious Tweet Storm, Touts Oil Collapse, Blasts Immigrants, Fed

November 25, 2018November 25, 2018

“Are you listening?”

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oil2 Comments on ‘President T.’ Unleashes Hilarious Tweet Storm, Touts Oil Collapse, Blasts Immigrants, Fed

EU Officially Backs Brexit Deal, Says UK Parliament Will Regret Rejecting It ‘In Seconds’

November 25, 2018November 25, 2018

“This is the final result [and] it will definitely not be renegotiated and there will be no further leeway.”

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1 Comment on EU Officially Backs Brexit Deal, Says UK Parliament Will Regret Rejecting It ‘In Seconds’

The $1 Trillion Leveraged Loan Bubble Looks Like It’s Popping – Here’s Some Deadpan Color

November 24, 2018November 24, 2018

It had to happen eventually.

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2 Comments on The $1 Trillion Leveraged Loan Bubble Looks Like It’s Popping – Here’s Some Deadpan Color

‘When The Largest ETF Buyer Exits, Nobody Wants To Catch A Falling Knife’

November 24, 2018November 24, 2018

This is such a familiar refrain that it wouldn’t even bear mentioning at this point were it not for the fact that it’s now reversing – with entirely predictable consequences. 

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Leave a Comment on ‘When The Largest ETF Buyer Exits, Nobody Wants To Catch A Falling Knife’

Prince Turki al-Faisal Says Iraq WMD Debacle Proves Bin Salman Didn’t Have Jamal Khashoggi Murdered

November 24, 2018November 25, 2018

“I don’t see why the CIA is not on trial in the United States.”

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1 Comment on Prince Turki al-Faisal Says Iraq WMD Debacle Proves Bin Salman Didn’t Have Jamal Khashoggi Murdered

Goldman: ‘The Tide Has Shifted’ In Credit Markets And Here’s Why…

November 24, 2018

“Three factors have driven this shift.”

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1 Comment on Goldman: ‘The Tide Has Shifted’ In Credit Markets And Here’s Why…

‘Phony Sources And Jealous People’ Say Donald Trump Is Furious With Steve Mnuchin

November 23, 2018November 24, 2018

“I am extremely happy and proud of the job being done by @USTreasury Secretary”…

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7 Comments on ‘Phony Sources And Jealous People’ Say Donald Trump Is Furious With Steve Mnuchin

OPEC Will Now Try To Trick Market, Trump With Absurd Ruse: Report

November 23, 2018November 23, 2018

Suffice to say it’s not clear this will work.

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on OPEC Will Now Try To Trick Market, Trump With Absurd Ruse: Report

A Junk Odyssey.

November 23, 2018November 23, 2018

Looking across the high yield market amid the post-holiday malaise.

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oilLeave a Comment on A Junk Odyssey.

Presenting: Oil’s Astonishing Collapse In All Its Visual Glory

November 23, 2018November 23, 2018

“You say you’re a huge fan of Negative Gamma but can you even name two of their albums?”

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on Presenting: Oil’s Astonishing Collapse In All Its Visual Glory

Chinese Stocks Not Amused With Ill-Timed Huawei Tech Bombshell

November 23, 2018October 20, 2021

Who’s excited for the G20?

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3 Comments on Chinese Stocks Not Amused With Ill-Timed Huawei Tech Bombshell

‘Hostages To Their Own Policies’: The Fight To Stave Off The Biggest Tail Risk Of Them All

November 22, 2018November 22, 2018

One false move…

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1 Comment on ‘Hostages To Their Own Policies’: The Fight To Stave Off The Biggest Tail Risk Of Them All

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • Engineer on ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party
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  • Engineer on ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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