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Featured

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Someone’s Got Work For You

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Chinese Shares Not Amused With S&P Futures Crash, Huawei Arrest

December 6, 2018December 6, 2018

It all started with an overnight plunge in S&P futures…

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2 Comments on Chinese Shares Not Amused With S&P Futures Crash, Huawei Arrest

‘China Will Take Hostages’: Huawei CFO Arrest Grabs Top Billing For Nervous Markets

December 5, 2018

“…the tension between the two sides is rapidly escalating.”

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7 Comments on ‘China Will Take Hostages’: Huawei CFO Arrest Grabs Top Billing For Nervous Markets

What’s Behind The Flash Crash In S&P Futures?

December 5, 2018October 24, 2021

Liquidity appears to be a problem.

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5 Comments on What’s Behind The Flash Crash In S&P Futures?

A Behind-The-Scenes Look At The Great November Oil Collapse

December 5, 2018

If you’re in the mood for more CTAs and gamma effects, you’re in luck.

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on A Behind-The-Scenes Look At The Great November Oil Collapse

As OPEC Tips Production Cut, Trump Reminds Saudis He Doesn’t ‘Want Or Need’ Higher Oil Prices

December 5, 2018

Will the cartel tempt fate?

Read More

oil, OPEC1 Comment on As OPEC Tips Production Cut, Trump Reminds Saudis He Doesn’t ‘Want Or Need’ Higher Oil Prices

‘Sad Nonsense’: A ‘Whodunit?’ Guide To Tuesday’s Wall Street Mayhem

December 5, 2018December 5, 2018

Line up the usual suspects.

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hedge funds2 Comments on ‘Sad Nonsense’: A ‘Whodunit?’ Guide To Tuesday’s Wall Street Mayhem

As ‘Tariff Man’ Doubles Down, Chinese Domestic Demand May Be Kryptonite

December 4, 2018December 4, 2018

“…we will be charging major tariffs.”

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Leave a Comment on As ‘Tariff Man’ Doubles Down, Chinese Domestic Demand May Be Kryptonite

Don’t ‘Lock Him Up!’ Mueller ‘Pardons’ Michael Flynn, Thanks Him For ‘Substantial Assistance’

December 4, 2018October 24, 2021

Unfortunately, the “best” parts are redacted.

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Leave a Comment on Don’t ‘Lock Him Up!’ Mueller ‘Pardons’ Michael Flynn, Thanks Him For ‘Substantial Assistance’

Post-Mortem.

December 4, 2018December 4, 2018

It’s autopsy time.

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1 Comment on Post-Mortem.

Ban Bond Trading: Curve Inversions & The Reality Distortion Loop Of Reverse-Engineered Growth Slowdowns

December 4, 2018December 4, 2018

“Why are you wearing that stupid trader suit?”

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3 Comments on Ban Bond Trading: Curve Inversions & The Reality Distortion Loop Of Reverse-Engineered Growth Slowdowns

On Wall Street: Midday Massacre

December 4, 2018December 4, 2018

So much for the G20 bounce.

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6 Comments on On Wall Street: Midday Massacre

Trump Enters Phone Booth, Opens Twitter, Emerges As ‘Tariff Man’

December 4, 2018December 4, 2018

“Remember”…

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6 Comments on Trump Enters Phone Booth, Opens Twitter, Emerges As ‘Tariff Man’

‘Cash Is Better Than Stocks For The First Time In A Decade’: ‘TINA’ Now Suffering Daily Beatings

December 4, 2018December 4, 2018

Let’s go over this for the hundredth time.

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Leave a Comment on ‘Cash Is Better Than Stocks For The First Time In A Decade’: ‘TINA’ Now Suffering Daily Beatings

As Trade Euphoria Turns To Confusion, Yuan Emerges As Big Winner From Truce

December 4, 2018December 4, 2018

You can stop worrying about a 7-handle – for now.

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Leave a Comment on As Trade Euphoria Turns To Confusion, Yuan Emerges As Big Winner From Truce

Why The ‘Ill-Conceived’ Trade War Must End, According To Marko Kolanovic

December 3, 2018December 4, 2018

Searching for the elusive “pot of gold.”

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3 Comments on Why The ‘Ill-Conceived’ Trade War Must End, According To Marko Kolanovic

Larry Kudlow’s ‘Front Burner Hot List’ And Other Highlights On Trade Truce Monday

December 3, 2018

“…kind of on the front burner, hot list.”

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Leave a Comment on Larry Kudlow’s ‘Front Burner Hot List’ And Other Highlights On Trade Truce Monday

Marko Kolanovic Critiques ‘Uptick In Negative Market News’, Weighs In On Trade, Fed, 2019 Outlook

December 3, 2018October 24, 2021

“This view has a simple logical mistake”…

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2 Comments on Marko Kolanovic Critiques ‘Uptick In Negative Market News’, Weighs In On Trade, Fed, 2019 Outlook

Rally For Rent! Powell, Trump, Xi ‘All Bend The Knee’

December 3, 2018

This “coordinated capitulation” is happening “for the wrong reasons.” 

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hedge fundsLeave a Comment on Rally For Rent! Powell, Trump, Xi ‘All Bend The Knee’

Updating The S&P ‘Pain Trade’ Amid Monday’s Global Euphoria

December 3, 2018October 24, 2021

The pain trade remains higher.

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If It Was A Rally In Chinese Stocks, Yuan You Were Looking For, You Got One

December 3, 2018December 3, 2018

Now let’s see if this proves sustainable.

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Leave a Comment on If It Was A Rally In Chinese Stocks, Yuan You Were Looking For, You Got One

High Drama In Crude As Oil Explodes Higher On Production Cut News, While Qatar Bids OPEC Adieu

December 3, 2018December 3, 2018

Are you not entertained?

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on High Drama In Crude As Oil Explodes Higher On Production Cut News, While Qatar Bids OPEC Adieu

With The 90-Day Clock Now Ticking, Goldman Weighs In On Odds Of A Real Trump-Xi Trade Deal

December 2, 2018

Spoiler alert: the odds aren’t high.

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3 Comments on With The 90-Day Clock Now Ticking, Goldman Weighs In On Odds Of A Real Trump-Xi Trade Deal

Of Truces, Cartel Meetings And Jobs: Full Week Ahead Preview

December 2, 2018December 3, 2018

Strap in for a full docket.

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oil3 Comments on Of Truces, Cartel Meetings And Jobs: Full Week Ahead Preview

Why One Bank Thinks Trade Truce Will Give China More Leverage

December 2, 2018December 2, 2018

60/40.

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1 Comment on Why One Bank Thinks Trade Truce Will Give China More Leverage

Watch This ‘Key Barometer’ Following Trade Truce

December 2, 2018October 24, 2021

If you like a little nuance…

Read More

1 Comment on Watch This ‘Key Barometer’ Following Trade Truce

Gamma Gravity And Vol. Math Following The Trump-Xi Trade Détente

December 2, 2018December 2, 2018

“…it will be hard for vol NOT to come in after the event.”

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Leave a Comment on Gamma Gravity And Vol. Math Following The Trump-Xi Trade Détente

Trump, Xi Agree To No Additional Tariffs After January 1, China To Purchase ‘Very Substantial’ Amount Of Products From U.S.

December 1, 2018December 2, 2018

It went “very well”.

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5 Comments on Trump, Xi Agree To No Additional Tariffs After January 1, China To Purchase ‘Very Substantial’ Amount Of Products From U.S.

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • Engineer on ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party
  • Engineer on ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party
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  • Engineer on ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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