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Featured

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Someone’s Got Work For You

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Deal With It: On Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez And ‘Irredeemable’ Capitalism

March 10, 2019March 10, 2019

“Moderate is not a stance.”

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28 Comments on Deal With It: On Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez And ‘Irredeemable’ Capitalism

As China Pushes Back On US Currency Pledge Claims, Credit Growth Crashes

March 10, 2019March 10, 2019

Here’s the latest out of China amid constant hand-wringing over trade and stimulus.

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‘The Window Has Closed’: One Bank Throws In The Towel On Things Getting Back To ‘Normal’

March 9, 2019March 10, 2019

… it effectively sounded the death knell on normalization.

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1 Comment on ‘The Window Has Closed’: One Bank Throws In The Towel On Things Getting Back To ‘Normal’

FOMO Looms As Sidelined Investors Wonder If It’s Too Late To Dive In

March 9, 2019

“Taking some off the table” isn’t a wholly applicable market adage given a lack of participation YTD by key investor groups.

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5 Comments on FOMO Looms As Sidelined Investors Wonder If It’s Too Late To Dive In

A Quick Retrospective On The 10-Year Anniversary Of The Longest Bull Market In History

March 9, 2019March 9, 2019

“For now, the bull marches precariously on.”

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3 Comments on A Quick Retrospective On The 10-Year Anniversary Of The Longest Bull Market In History

‘The Ultimate Conundrum’ At The Limits Of Stimulus

March 8, 2019March 9, 2019

“…we are starting to get to the limits to central bank stimulus.”

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7 Comments on ‘The Ultimate Conundrum’ At The Limits Of Stimulus

Larry Kudlow Gets Stark Reminder Of Why Working For Trump Is Hell On Earth

March 8, 2019October 30, 2021

“That is just not true.”

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7 Comments on Larry Kudlow Gets Stark Reminder Of Why Working For Trump Is Hell On Earth

‘The Paper Cuts Are Many’.

March 8, 2019

Of ‘LOLz’, ‘gong shows’ and end-of-cycle dynamics.

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1 Comment on ‘The Paper Cuts Are Many’.

Elizabeth Warren: ‘My Administration Will Break Up Facebook, Google, Amazon’

March 8, 2019

“It’s a great story — but also one that highlights why the government must break up monopolies.”

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6 Comments on Elizabeth Warren: ‘My Administration Will Break Up Facebook, Google, Amazon’

Jobs Report Misses ‘Bigly’ While Wage Growth Comes In Hot

March 8, 2019March 8, 2019

A “glitch”.

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9 Comments on Jobs Report Misses ‘Bigly’ While Wage Growth Comes In Hot

Bloodbath In China: A Postmortem

March 8, 2019March 8, 2019

A non-controlled demolition.

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4 Comments on Bloodbath In China: A Postmortem

And Now China Will Heighten Global Growth Concerns By Reporting Lackluster February Trade Data

March 7, 2019March 7, 2019

This isn’t the best news amid ongoing growth concerns and worries that a trade deal isn’t imminent after all.

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Leave a Comment on And Now China Will Heighten Global Growth Concerns By Reporting Lackluster February Trade Data

No Escape ‘Velocity’.

March 7, 2019

“…but every high in our indicator is lower, notwithstanding these massive stimulus packages.”

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1 Comment on No Escape ‘Velocity’.

Because Things Can Always Get Funnier, Michael Cohen Sues Trump Org For $1.9 Million (And Counting) In Unpaid Legal Fees

March 7, 2019March 8, 2019

“As a result of the Trump Organization’s unfounded refusal to meet its obligations, Mr. Cohen has incurred millions of dollars in unreimbursed attorneys’ fees…”

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1 Comment on Because Things Can Always Get Funnier, Michael Cohen Sues Trump Org For $1.9 Million (And Counting) In Unpaid Legal Fees

On The ECB’s Wholly Unsurprising ‘Surprise’

March 7, 2019March 7, 2019

Ok, let’s run through this, because parsing it is obligatory.

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3 Comments on On The ECB’s Wholly Unsurprising ‘Surprise’

‘Lights Out’, ‘Trigger’ Pulling And ‘What Comes Next’ With Nomura’s Charlie McElligott

March 7, 2019

“Okay…so now what?!”

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3 Comments on ‘Lights Out’, ‘Trigger’ Pulling And ‘What Comes Next’ With Nomura’s Charlie McElligott

ECB Comes Out Swinging, Shifts Forward Guidance On Rates, Announces New TLTRO

March 7, 2019March 7, 2019

Is this dovish enough for you?

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1 Comment on ECB Comes Out Swinging, Shifts Forward Guidance On Rates, Announces New TLTRO

‘The Impact Of The Fed’s Reversal Has Been Tremendous’: BlackRock’s Rieder Talks Shop With Goldman

March 6, 2019

What else can be said about the Fed’s “epochal”/ “epic”/ “dramatic” dovish pivot ?

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8 Comments on ‘The Impact Of The Fed’s Reversal Has Been Tremendous’: BlackRock’s Rieder Talks Shop With Goldman

The ‘Fed Put’ Has A New Strike, Deutsche’s Kocic Says…

March 6, 2019March 7, 2019

“…the math consists of finding the strike that corresponds to the put with lower volatility.”

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6 Comments on The ‘Fed Put’ Has A New Strike, Deutsche’s Kocic Says…

No Country For Old Hawks.

March 6, 2019

Cementing the global dovish pivot.

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3 Comments on No Country For Old Hawks.

‘Tariff Man’ Hit With $621 Billion Worth Of Trade Deficit Kryptonite

March 6, 2019March 6, 2019

Congratulations are in order for “President T”.

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11 Comments on ‘Tariff Man’ Hit With $621 Billion Worth Of Trade Deficit Kryptonite

OECD Reminds You Things Still Going To Hell In A Handbasket

March 6, 2019

“The global expansion is continuing to lose steam, and faster than anticipated a few months ago.”

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Leave a Comment on OECD Reminds You Things Still Going To Hell In A Handbasket

Fearing Stock Market, ‘Legendary’ Dealmaker Said To Hurry Deal Along

March 6, 2019March 6, 2019

“The art of the ‘let’s hurry up and get this done'”.

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3 Comments on Fearing Stock Market, ‘Legendary’ Dealmaker Said To Hurry Deal Along

As Insurance Regulators Pile On, Trump Confronts A ‘Stone Cold Crazy’ Reality Of His Own Making

March 5, 2019October 30, 2021

The spiral into legal hell continues.

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4 Comments on As Insurance Regulators Pile On, Trump Confronts A ‘Stone Cold Crazy’ Reality Of His Own Making

‘Imported Trouble’: Why One Bank Sees Virtually No Upside For Stocks From Here

March 5, 2019March 5, 2019

“… we expect almost no earnings growth for 2019.”

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8 Comments on ‘Imported Trouble’: Why One Bank Sees Virtually No Upside For Stocks From Here

Nomura’s McElligott Delivers Update On ‘Ides Of March’ Risk For Stocks

March 5, 2019

“…we’d be at risk of seeing this very leveraged strategy turning a NET SELLER.”

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2 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott Delivers Update On ‘Ides Of March’ Risk For Stocks

Behold: The Incredible Flow-less Rally

March 5, 2019

“…the current gap is one of the largest since the GFC”.

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3 Comments on Behold: The Incredible Flow-less Rally

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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