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Featured

Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?

November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026

Markets

Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026November 2, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026November 2, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026October 31, 2026

economy

Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Target Plunges In Potentially Ominous Sign For Trump’s ‘Biggest Holiday Season In US History’

January 15, 2020January 15, 2020

“Our holiday sales did not meet our expectations”

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1 Comment on Target Plunges In Potentially Ominous Sign For Trump’s ‘Biggest Holiday Season In US History’

Bank Of America Delivers A Resounding ‘Meh’

January 15, 2020January 15, 2020

All in all, this doesn’t look fantastic.

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1 Comment on Bank Of America Delivers A Resounding ‘Meh’

Macro Tourist: Here’s Why The Market Is ‘Screaming Higher’

January 14, 2020January 14, 2020

“Let me give you my interpretation of what’s happening”.

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2 Comments on Macro Tourist: Here’s Why The Market Is ‘Screaming Higher’

‘Can’t Believe Trump Hasn’t Fired This B**ch’: Giuliani Associate Parnas, Hyde Had Ambassador Yovanovitch Tailed In Ukraine

January 14, 2020January 15, 2020

“Guess you can do anything in Ukraine with money”.

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4 Comments on ‘Can’t Believe Trump Hasn’t Fired This B**ch’: Giuliani Associate Parnas, Hyde Had Ambassador Yovanovitch Tailed In Ukraine

Bloomberg Freaks Out As Trump Prepares To Restrict Financial Media Access To Economic Data Releases

January 14, 2020

HFTs are licking their electronic chops.

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1 Comment on Bloomberg Freaks Out As Trump Prepares To Restrict Financial Media Access To Economic Data Releases

China Tariffs Will Remain In Place At Least Until Election: Reports

January 14, 2020January 14, 2020

“Womp, womp”.

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4 Comments on China Tariffs Will Remain In Place At Least Until Election: Reports

Trump’s Sham Trial In The Senate To Begin Next Week, McConnell Says

January 14, 2020January 14, 2020

Let the sham begin!

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5 Comments on Trump’s Sham Trial In The Senate To Begin Next Week, McConnell Says

Elizabeth Warren Says Will Bypass Congress To Cancel Student Loan Debt On ‘Day One’

January 14, 2020

“We’re facing a crisis that’s holding back our economy and crushing millions of American families”.

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Leave a Comment on Elizabeth Warren Says Will Bypass Congress To Cancel Student Loan Debt On ‘Day One’

Did Analysts Suddenly Give Up On Reverse Engineering Their Buy Ratings? Asking For Albert Edwards

January 14, 2020January 14, 2020

“Greenspan actually believed that all those analysts making these high and higher LT eps forecasts independently couldn’t be wrong”.

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1 Comment on Did Analysts Suddenly Give Up On Reverse Engineering Their Buy Ratings? Asking For Albert Edwards

Investors Who RSVP’d For World War III Now Ditching Gold, Yen

January 14, 2020

Who needs insurance when the shooting war is called off and the trade war is on hold?

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4 Comments on Investors Who RSVP’d For World War III Now Ditching Gold, Yen

Inflation Comes In Cool, Underscoring Fed Patience

January 14, 2020January 14, 2020

The narrative persists.

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Leave a Comment on Inflation Comes In Cool, Underscoring Fed Patience

Nomura’s McElligott: ‘It’s Getting Hot’, But ‘Perpetually Easy’ Fin Conditions ‘Keeps Train Rolling’

January 14, 2020January 14, 2020

The proximate cause is no secret.

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4 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: ‘It’s Getting Hot’, But ‘Perpetually Easy’ Fin Conditions ‘Keeps Train Rolling’

JPMorgan Beats As FICC Is Predictable Blowout On Easy Comp. Dimon Cites ‘Complex Geopolitical Issues’

January 14, 2020January 14, 2020

“We face a continued high level of complex geopolitical issues”.

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Leave a Comment on JPMorgan Beats As FICC Is Predictable Blowout On Easy Comp. Dimon Cites ‘Complex Geopolitical Issues’

China’s December Trade Data Breezes Past Expectations

January 13, 2020January 13, 2020

This is ostensibly helpful for the reflation narrative.

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1 Comment on China’s December Trade Data Breezes Past Expectations

Skeptics Flag ‘Simply Ludicrous’ Stock Valuations, ‘Unprecedented’ Divergence Amid Central Bank Support

January 13, 2020January 14, 2020

…depending on how hard the Fed wants to punch, that is a fight that is difficult to win.

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3 Comments on Skeptics Flag ‘Simply Ludicrous’ Stock Valuations, ‘Unprecedented’ Divergence Amid Central Bank Support

Don’t Call It A Bubble: Nasdaq Floats Off Into Stratosphere As ‘Other 1 Percenters’ Conjure 1999 Parallel

January 13, 2020January 13, 2020

When it rains bullish catalysts it pours, but under the hood, questions linger around the reflation narrative.

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6 Comments on Don’t Call It A Bubble: Nasdaq Floats Off Into Stratosphere As ‘Other 1 Percenters’ Conjure 1999 Parallel

In ‘Dramatic Shift’, US Credit Investors No Longer Fear Recession

January 13, 2020

In other words, there’s a sense in which recession fears really aren’t “elevated” anymore.

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Leave a Comment on In ‘Dramatic Shift’, US Credit Investors No Longer Fear Recession

Macro Tourist: The Possibility Of Another Quick Correction Like 2018 Are High

January 13, 2020January 13, 2020

“Be careful up here”.

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Leave a Comment on Macro Tourist: The Possibility Of Another Quick Correction Like 2018 Are High

Suddenly, China Isn’t A Currency Manipulator Anymore

January 13, 2020January 13, 2020

And therein lies the irony.

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Leave a Comment on Suddenly, China Isn’t A Currency Manipulator Anymore

JPMorgan Asks: Is This The January 2018 Melt-Up All Over Again?

January 13, 2020January 14, 2020

…it’s not hard to create scary-looking visuals.

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2 Comments on JPMorgan Asks: Is This The January 2018 Melt-Up All Over Again?

Need Some Troops? Donald Trump Will Literally Sell You Some For $1 Billion ‘In The Bank’

January 13, 2020January 13, 2020

“I’m gonna send ’em to you, but you gotta pay us”.

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13 Comments on Need Some Troops? Donald Trump Will Literally Sell You Some For $1 Billion ‘In The Bank’

‘Boris Bounce’ In Jeopardy As BOE Doves, Dour Data Trigger Pound Pain

January 13, 2020

Remember, the UK still needs to negotiate a post-divorce trade deal with the EU by the end of the year.

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Leave a Comment on ‘Boris Bounce’ In Jeopardy As BOE Doves, Dour Data Trigger Pound Pain

Big Week Starts With Key Assets Looking To Retrace 2019’s Trade War Moves

January 13, 2020January 13, 2020

As Trump would say: “We’ll see what happens”.

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3 Comments on Big Week Starts With Key Assets Looking To Retrace 2019’s Trade War Moves

Pelosi: Mitch McConnell Complicit In Cover-Up, Americans Will Eventually Hold Him Accountable

January 12, 2020

“Everything he says about someone else is a projection”.

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Leave a Comment on Pelosi: Mitch McConnell Complicit In Cover-Up, Americans Will Eventually Hold Him Accountable

Senator Mike Lee To Jake Tapper: Soleimani ‘Four Embassies’ Story Is ‘News To Me’

January 12, 2020January 12, 2020

“I didn’t hear anything about that”.

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1 Comment on Senator Mike Lee To Jake Tapper: Soleimani ‘Four Embassies’ Story Is ‘News To Me’

The Earnings Recession Is Finally Here. Apparently, That Just Means Buy Stocks

January 12, 2020January 14, 2020

We’ve been over this before

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5 Comments on The Earnings Recession Is Finally Here. Apparently, That Just Means Buy Stocks

Reflation Trade Faded In 2020’s Opening Days As Reversal Strategy Is ‘Bang-On’

January 11, 2020

Maybe the “slow-flation” trade isn’t a “relic” after all.

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Leave a Comment on Reflation Trade Faded In 2020’s Opening Days As Reversal Strategy Is ‘Bang-On’

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • Wave Dash on Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?
  • Wave Dash on Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?
  • therealheisenberg on The Arbitrageur
  • Wave Dash on Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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