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Featured

Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?

November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026

Markets

Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026November 2, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026November 2, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026October 31, 2026

economy

Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Peter Navarro: Until The Bond Market Starts Caring, Trump Can Balloon The Deficit

January 11, 2020

“I was born, Peter, of an age, when the Republican party was the party of fiscal prudence”.

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2 Comments on Peter Navarro: Until The Bond Market Starts Caring, Trump Can Balloon The Deficit

‘Mind The Lesson From 2008’ As Private Asset AUM Booms Despite Hedge Fund Underperformance

January 11, 2020

“While warehousing more illiquidity risk is not a problem for long-term investors in normal times”…

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hedge fundsLeave a Comment on ‘Mind The Lesson From 2008’ As Private Asset AUM Booms Despite Hedge Fund Underperformance

Repo Apocalypse Was Averted. Now What?

January 11, 2020

“It is too early to break out the ‘mission accomplished’ banner”.

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Leave a Comment on Repo Apocalypse Was Averted. Now What?

‘Khamenei Is A Murderer!’ Iranians Protest After Government Admits ‘Unforgivable Mistake’ In 737 Disaster

January 11, 2020January 12, 2020

“The Islamic Republic of Iran deeply regrets this”.

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6 Comments on ‘Khamenei Is A Murderer!’ Iranians Protest After Government Admits ‘Unforgivable Mistake’ In 737 Disaster

Powell In 2014: The Dot Plot Is A Lot Like Chernobyl

January 10, 2020January 10, 2020

“Plain English”.

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1 Comment on Powell In 2014: The Dot Plot Is A Lot Like Chernobyl

Trump To Laura Ingraham: ‘Don’t Think’ Americans Have Right To Know Why Soleimani Was Killed

January 10, 2020January 11, 2020

“I can reveal that I believe it would have been four embassies”.

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5 Comments on Trump To Laura Ingraham: ‘Don’t Think’ Americans Have Right To Know Why Soleimani Was Killed

Pompeo, Mnuchin Essentially Outlaw Iran’s Entire Economy

January 10, 2020

More “maximum” pressure.

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6 Comments on Pompeo, Mnuchin Essentially Outlaw Iran’s Entire Economy

Iraq To Mike Pompeo: Get Out. It’s Time For America To Leave. We Mean it.

January 10, 2020

“Send delegates to Iraq to prepare a mechanism to carry out the parliament’s resolution”.

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4 Comments on Iraq To Mike Pompeo: Get Out. It’s Time For America To Leave. We Mean it.

Nomura’s McElligott: ‘It Would Take An Enormous Macro Shock’ To Tip Systematic Dominoes

January 10, 2020January 10, 2020

“This VERY ‘Long Gamma’ dynamic continues to act as a market shock-absorber”.

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Leave a Comment on Nomura’s McElligott: ‘It Would Take An Enormous Macro Shock’ To Tip Systematic Dominoes

Decade’s Last Jobs Report Is Passable, But Underwhelming

January 10, 2020January 10, 2020

It’s been a good run…

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Leave a Comment on Decade’s Last Jobs Report Is Passable, But Underwhelming

Iran In Tough Spot Over Downed 737 As International Community Blames Missile Strike

January 10, 2020January 11, 2020

Abedzadeh insists it’s “not possible”.

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2 Comments on Iran In Tough Spot Over Downed 737 As International Community Blames Missile Strike

Matt Gaetz Finds Spine, Votes With Democrats To Curtail Trump’s War Powers

January 9, 2020January 9, 2020

“I represent more troops than any other member of this body. I buried one of them earlier today at Arlington”.

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Leave a Comment on Matt Gaetz Finds Spine, Votes With Democrats To Curtail Trump’s War Powers

As Stocks Power To Nosebleed Levels, Even Jeremy Siegel Is Worried

January 9, 2020January 10, 2020

Spoiler alert: It’s been a “momentum-driven market” for a long, long time, Jeremy.

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2 Comments on As Stocks Power To Nosebleed Levels, Even Jeremy Siegel Is Worried

97% Of CFOs Say US Economy Is Headed For Downturn, 77% Say Stocks Overvalued

January 9, 2020January 9, 2020

If some of this sounds overtly negative to you, don’t worry…

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2 Comments on 972 Of CFOs Say US Economy Is Headed For Downturn, 772 Say Stocks Overvalued

737 That Crashed Outside Tehran Likely Downed By Errant Missile: Officials

January 9, 2020January 9, 2020

No matter how you slice it, this is a senseless tragedy.

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6 Comments on 737 That Crashed Outside Tehran Likely Downed By Errant Missile: Officials

Is Your 409K Up 100% Or Isn’t It?! Asking For Donald Trump

January 9, 2020January 9, 2020

“What are you doing wrong?”

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3 Comments on Is Your 409K Up 1003 Or Isn’t It?! Asking For Donald Trump

The Case For The Fed Cutting Rates Back To Zero

January 9, 2020January 16, 2020

“…you cannot fight a recession with only one or two rate cuts”.

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Leave a Comment on The Case For The Fed Cutting Rates Back To Zero

Remember The Trade Deal? China RSVPs For Trump’s ‘Phase One’ Party

January 9, 2020

Gao said he has no additional information to offer about the terms of the deal.

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2 Comments on Remember The Trade Deal? China RSVPs For Trump’s ‘Phase One’ Party

It’s A Stampede! Fading War Fears Trigger Global Running Of The Bulls

January 9, 2020January 9, 2020

“…everything really is awesome”.

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Leave a Comment on It’s A Stampede! Fading War Fears Trigger Global Running Of The Bulls

China Inflation Sticks Near Seven-Year High, PPI Deflation Eases

January 8, 2020

Better at the margins, it appears.

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Leave a Comment on China Inflation Sticks Near Seven-Year High, PPI Deflation Eases

Morgan Stanley: A Good Economy Does Not Guarantee Trump’s Re-Election

January 8, 2020

“We have no precedent for an incumbent with a good economy but weak poll numbers”.

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Leave a Comment on Morgan Stanley: A Good Economy Does Not Guarantee Trump’s Re-Election

After ‘Absolutely Insane’ Soleimani Briefing, A Stunned Congress Moves To Limit Trump’s War Powers

January 8, 2020January 9, 2020

“It was probably the worst briefing I’ve seen… in the nine years I’ve served in the United States Senate”.

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1 Comment on After ‘Absolutely Insane’ Soleimani Briefing, A Stunned Congress Moves To Limit Trump’s War Powers

Iran ‘Stands Down’, Bulls Stand Up In Epic Reversal On Wall Street

January 8, 2020January 8, 2020

Better than 80% of S&P 500 stocks are perched above their 200-day moving average.

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1 Comment on Iran ‘Stands Down’, Bulls Stand Up In Epic Reversal On Wall Street

‘Iran Appears To Be Standing Down’: Trump Cancels World War III, A Postmortem

January 8, 2020January 8, 2020

It could have been worse.

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11 Comments on ‘Iran Appears To Be Standing Down’: Trump Cancels World War III, A Postmortem

For Saudi Aramco, Threat Of Retribution Overshadows Oil Spike In Iran Drama

January 8, 2020January 8, 2020

“Not good, not good”.

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oilLeave a Comment on For Saudi Aramco, Threat Of Retribution Overshadows Oil Spike In Iran Drama

Utterly Terrible: Order Book Contraction Nightmare Drags Into 18th Month In Germany

January 8, 2020January 8, 2020

It’s dire. With apologies, there’s no other way to describe it.

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2 Comments on Utterly Terrible: Order Book Contraction Nightmare Drags Into 18th Month In Germany

Markets Whipsawed As Ghost Of Qassem Soleimani ‘Goes Bump In The Night’

January 8, 2020January 8, 2020

“Be careful about bullishness at the close of the US trading”.

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2 Comments on Markets Whipsawed As Ghost Of Qassem Soleimani ‘Goes Bump In The Night’

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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  • John3D on Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?
  • Wave Dash on Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?
  • Wave Dash on Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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