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Featured

Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!

November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Let’s Talk Blue Waves

    November 1, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

    November 1, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

    October 31, 2026October 31, 2026

Markets

The Problem, In A Nutshell…

October 30, 2026November 2, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026October 31, 2026
  • Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

    October 28, 2026October 31, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

What Just Happened? The Historic Selloff Explained By Nomura’s Charlie McElligott

February 29, 2020February 29, 2020

Stability breeds instability.

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4 Comments on What Just Happened? The Historic Selloff Explained By Nomura’s Charlie McElligott

China’s February PMIs Are Out. They Are Awful.

February 28, 2020February 28, 2020

Just as the audience still gets a thrill from clichéd plot devices in horror movies…

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3 Comments on China’s February PMIs Are Out. They Are Awful.

Getting Involved.

February 28, 2020February 29, 2020

In the space of just seven trading days, US equities went from bubble to bust. 

Read More

oil3 Comments on Getting Involved.

The Bond Market Is Making Demands. And You Will Bend The Knee.

February 28, 2020February 28, 2020

Any questions?

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8 Comments on The Bond Market Is Making Demands. And You Will Bend The Knee.

All Bets Are Off.

February 28, 2020February 28, 2020

“Unimaginable violence” and emergency intervention…

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4 Comments on All Bets Are Off.

Something’s Gotta Give: Bonds Most Overbought Since LTCM, Consumer Sentiment At Cycle Peak

February 28, 2020

“Not to put too fine a point on it, but”…

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4 Comments on Something’s Gotta Give: Bonds Most Overbought Since LTCM, Consumer Sentiment At Cycle Peak

Libor Collapses Most Since 2008

February 28, 2020February 28, 2020

“And yet, hanging over it all is the only question that really matters”…

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Leave a Comment on Libor Collapses Most Since 2008

MOVE Spikes To Three-Year High, Markets Price Aggressive Fed Cuts Amid Global Panic

February 28, 2020February 28, 2020

Raging rates.

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3 Comments on MOVE Spikes To Three-Year High, Markets Price Aggressive Fed Cuts Amid Global Panic

Total Meltdown: Global Markets Collapse On Virus, War Panic

February 28, 2020February 28, 2020

“…the markets are either doing some spring cleaning, or battening down the hatches ahead of the coming storm.”

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4 Comments on Total Meltdown: Global Markets Collapse On Virus, War Panic

One Simple Reason For The Nightmare On Wall Street

February 27, 2020February 27, 2020

“It is not a good sign when”…

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9 Comments on One Simple Reason For The Nightmare On Wall Street

Macro Tourist: The Fed Has Now Created A Financial Crisis  

February 27, 2020February 27, 2020

“It’s such a shame.”

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4 Comments on Macro Tourist: The Fed Has Now Created A Financial Crisis  

REDRUM.

February 27, 2020October 14, 2021

Pavlov is still missing.

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4 Comments on REDRUM.

Scott Minerd Woke Up On The Armageddon Side Of The Bed This Morning

February 27, 2020February 27, 2020

“This is possibly the worst thing I’ve ever seen in my career”.

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3 Comments on Scott Minerd Woke Up On The Armageddon Side Of The Bed This Morning

Dominoes.

February 27, 2020February 27, 2020

“The market does show some fragility”.

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4 Comments on Dominoes.

Goldman Warns S&P EPS Growth May Flatline In 2020 On COVID-19 Hit

February 27, 2020February 27, 2020

And so, it begins.

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2 Comments on Goldman Warns S&P EPS Growth May Flatline In 2020 On COVID-19 Hit

‘Bang-On’

February 27, 2020February 27, 2020

“Oh, what a difference a week makes.”

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Leave a Comment on ‘Bang-On’

Macro Tourist: ‘You’re Doing This All Wrong’

February 27, 2020February 27, 2020

“This morning’s decline has a panicky feel about it. No doubt about it. However”…

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2 Comments on Macro Tourist: ‘You’re Doing This All Wrong’

Pandemic Fears Intensify As Life Grinds To Halt, US Yields Grind To New Record Lows

February 27, 2020February 27, 2020

And yet, markets still haven’t really sold off in a manner consistent with “capitulation”.

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6 Comments on Pandemic Fears Intensify As Life Grinds To Halt, US Yields Grind To New Record Lows

Mike Pence As Virus Hunter. Rebalancing Flows As Bear Repellent.

February 26, 2020February 27, 2020

If you’re looking for a savior amid the chaos…

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8 Comments on Mike Pence As Virus Hunter. Rebalancing Flows As Bear Repellent.

Sure, It’s A Failed State. But You’ve Got $1,284 Comin’ Your Way!

February 26, 2020February 26, 2020

When even helicopter money can’t save you…

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2 Comments on Sure, It’s A Failed State. But You’ve Got $1,284 Comin’ Your Way!

Marko Kolanovic Breaks Down The Selloff, Says Short-Term Bounce Likely (With Caveats)

February 26, 2020February 27, 2020

“The virus should go, but stimulative measures will likely stay”.

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2 Comments on Marko Kolanovic Breaks Down The Selloff, Says Short-Term Bounce Likely (With Caveats)

‘A Tragic But Important Lesson’: In Germany, Fear Of Deficit Demon Collides With Recession Reality

February 26, 2020February 26, 2020

“The problem is that they created a monster—literally erecting monuments to honor the zeroing out of deficits.”

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1 Comment on ‘A Tragic But Important Lesson’: In Germany, Fear Of Deficit Demon Collides With Recession Reality

Macro Tourist: Helicopter Money Cometh

February 26, 2020February 26, 2020

Welcome to a brave new world.

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1 Comment on Macro Tourist: Helicopter Money Cometh

‘Previously Unthinkable’ CTA Deleveraging ‘In Play’, As Legacy ‘Long’ Signal Vulnerable: McElligott

February 26, 2020February 27, 2020

The last few days have made the unthinkable suddenly thinkable.

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1 Comment on ‘Previously Unthinkable’ CTA Deleveraging ‘In Play’, As Legacy ‘Long’ Signal Vulnerable: McElligott

Nobody Say ‘Spanish Flu’

February 26, 2020February 26, 2020

“…complex interconnected systems greatly increase underlying risks.”

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5 Comments on Nobody Say ‘Spanish Flu’

Last Stand.

February 25, 2020February 26, 2020

One last push to rescue the world.

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7 Comments on Last Stand.

Macro Tourist: If I Was On The Fed, I’d Be Pushing Hard For An Emergency Rate Cut

February 25, 2020February 25, 2020

“As a Fed board member, ask yourself what are the consequences of being late?”

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8 Comments on Macro Tourist: If I Was On The Fed, I’d Be Pushing Hard For An Emergency Rate Cut

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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