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Featured

The Problem, In A Nutshell…

October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

‘I’m Not Signing It’

June 27, 2021June 28, 2021

Purported GOP “centrists” are irritated with Joe Biden. And some White House aides are doing

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6 Comments on ‘I’m Not Signing It’

Goldman Asks: ‘What If?’

June 27, 2021July 5, 2021

Goldman’s year-end target for the S&P is 4,300. The index is already there. That suggests

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1 Comment on Goldman Asks: ‘What If?’

Probably Not The Swan You’re Looking For

June 26, 2021July 1, 2021

Market participants will be treated (and I’m not sure that’s the right word in the

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2 Comments on Probably Not The Swan You’re Looking For

Charlie Brown Christmas Tree

June 26, 2021June 27, 2021

“Young adults remain disproportionately affected by the economic shock,” the Center for Economic And Policy

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5 Comments on Charlie Brown Christmas Tree

McElligott On Reflation’s Fate, Kocic On Fed ‘Short Covering’

June 26, 2021July 2, 2021

“We’ve got a lot of processing ahead of us,” Larry Summers mused, during remarks to

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1 Comment on McElligott On Reflation’s Fate, Kocic On Fed ‘Short Covering’

The Boilerplate Copy

June 25, 2021June 27, 2021

It wasn’t terribly difficult to write the boilerplate copy headed into the weekend. Just days

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Leave a Comment on The Boilerplate Copy

Wall Street Versus Main Street (Again)

June 25, 2021July 2, 2021

It’s scarcely worth mentioning on a Friday in June (“If a tree falls in the

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2 Comments on Wall Street Versus Main Street (Again)

The Things People Worry About

June 25, 2021June 26, 2021

You’ve heard it before. And you’ll surely hear it again. “Higher inflation, hawkish central banks

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3 Comments on The Things People Worry About

Benign Data Brings Rare Downside Inflation Surprise

June 25, 2021June 25, 2021

Personal incomes fell less than expected in May, while spending was unchanged, government data showed

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How To Engineer A Photo Op

June 25, 2021June 30, 2021

By Friday, most observers seemed fully apprised that the infrastructure agreement unveiled the previous afternoon

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8 Comments on How To Engineer A Photo Op

Did You Enjoy The Infrastructure Charade?

June 24, 2021June 26, 2021

I’ve repeatedly suggested that a truly transformational infrastructure initiative that addresses America’s multitudinous (and multiplying)

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Epic Property Bubble Stuns ‘Man And Beast’ Alike, Albert Edwards Says

June 24, 2021June 25, 2021

On Thursday morning, I set about highlighting the latest from SocGen’s Albert Edwards, but I

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6 Comments on Epic Property Bubble Stuns ‘Man And Beast’ Alike, Albert Edwards Says

Jay Powell: Unlikely ‘Victim’

June 24, 2021June 25, 2021

SocGen’s Albert Edwards doubts the Fed will ever be able to normalize policy. I doubt

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11 Comments on Jay Powell: Unlikely ‘Victim’

Claims And The Unemployment Benefits Conundrum

June 24, 2021July 1, 2021

For the second week in a row, jobless claims disappointed. 411,000 Americans filed for unemployment

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14 Comments on Claims And The Unemployment Benefits Conundrum

The Book Of Manchin

June 24, 2021June 25, 2021

Joe Biden will consider a framework for a bipartisan infrastructure deal on Thursday, after a

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10 Comments on The Book Of Manchin

Worth Mentioning

June 23, 2021June 25, 2021

Admittedly, I’m scraping the barrel a bit here, which is what happens when it’s Wednesday

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1 Comment on Worth Mentioning

Analysts Surprised Americans Can’t Afford $400,000 Homes

June 23, 2021July 2, 2021

In news that probably shouldn’t surprise anyone, new home sales fell a second month in

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4 Comments on Analysts Surprised Americans Can’t Afford $400,000 Homes

‘Very Hot’ US Economy Seen Pushing Limits In June

June 23, 2021June 24, 2021

The US services sector cooled in June, the initial read on IHS Markit’s survey for

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Leave a Comment on ‘Very Hot’ US Economy Seen Pushing Limits In June

Boring Data

June 23, 2021June 24, 2021

“The eurozone economy is booming,” IHS Markit’s Chief Business Economist, Chris Williamson, said Wednesday, in

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2 Comments on Boring Data

Nihilistic Parody

June 22, 2021June 23, 2021

The Fed won’t raise rates preemptively, Jerome Powell told US lawmakers Tuesday, testifying before the

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10 Comments on Nihilistic Parody

Connecting Dots. Literally

June 22, 2021June 29, 2021

Almost without exception, the nearly half-decade (and it’s hard to believe it’s been that long)

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3 Comments on Connecting Dots. Literally

Keep The FAITh

June 22, 2021June 25, 2021

Late Monday evening, while beating back mosquitoes and trying to avoid eye contact with a

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‘Simply Squeezed’: Surging Prices Finally Bite US Housing

June 22, 2021June 22, 2021

Existing home sales fell again in May, even as the pace was a marginal beat

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6 Comments on ‘Simply Squeezed’: Surging Prices Finally Bite US Housing

JPMorgan: Fed’s Hawkish Surprise ‘Not A Game Changer’

June 22, 2021June 27, 2021

The June Fed “isn’t a game changer.” That, in a nutshell, is how JPMorgan sees

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And The Lego People Screamed

June 21, 2021June 22, 2021

“We think the 20bps flattening in the curve since the Fed looks extreme and was

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3 Comments on And The Lego People Screamed

Ray Dalio’s Fed Take And Markets As Functioning Alcoholics

June 21, 2021June 29, 2021

“It’s easy to say that the Fed should tighten. And I think that they should,”

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14 Comments on Ray Dalio’s Fed Take And Markets As Functioning Alcoholics

‘Very Good Moves,’ Very ‘Excited’ People

June 21, 2021June 25, 2021

Jim Bullard did some talking on Friday and markets weren’t amused. He did some more

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8 Comments on ‘Very Good Moves,’ Very ‘Excited’ People

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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