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Featured

The Problem, In A Nutshell…

October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

McElligott On What The ‘Fed Put World Order’ Hath Wrought

June 21, 2021June 22, 2021

Over the weekend, I talked a bit (ok, a lot) about the prospect of the

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Plunge Protection And Policy Errors

June 21, 2021June 21, 2021

The BoJ bought ETFs for the first time in two months on Monday, as Japanese

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9 Comments on Plunge Protection And Policy Errors

Fatal Strategies And The Value Of Human Life

June 20, 2021July 28, 2021

The current crisis of politics is unlike anything seen before. It hasn’t been brought about

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12 Comments on Fatal Strategies And The Value Of Human Life

The Dollar Post-Fed Pivot (And Other Musings)

June 20, 2021June 21, 2021

I guess I don’t have to say this, but the dollar is poised to be

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2 Comments on The Dollar Post-Fed Pivot (And Other Musings)

The Week After

June 20, 2021June 24, 2021

A relative paucity of data during the first half of the new week will leave

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2 Comments on The Week After

The Lollipop Emoji

June 19, 2021June 21, 2021

Somehow, I feel it’s necessary to reiterate the general thrust of “Too Far Gone,” an

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5 Comments on The Lollipop Emoji

Who Wants These Stocks?

June 19, 2021June 28, 2021

2021’s stock-buying bonanza took what counted as a break during the first full week of

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Too Far Gone

June 19, 2021June 20, 2021

I still think it’s a wild stretch to suggest that the Fed’s hawkish tilt at

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A One-Eighty

June 18, 2021June 20, 2021

Neel Kashkari is opposed to rate hikes “at least” through 2023, headlines read late Friday.

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6 Comments on A One-Eighty

Tapping The Brakes

June 18, 2021June 19, 2021

If you’re driving down a US highway in the left lane at a “respectable” speed

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6 Comments on Tapping The Brakes

Jim Bullard Abandons Doves In Bitter Betrayal

June 18, 2021June 23, 2021

Someone may need to remind Jim Bullard what a “Jim Bullard” does. In remarks to

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11 Comments on Jim Bullard Abandons Doves In Bitter Betrayal

Turning The Titanic

June 18, 2021June 19, 2021

All it took was a surprisingly “hawkish” (scare quotes because it’s all very relative) shift

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1 Comment on Turning The Titanic

A Bit Of Chaos Never Hurt Anybody

June 17, 2021June 18, 2021

The post-Fed trade was somewhat chaotic, but one familiar theme was easy enough to discern:

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4 Comments on A Bit Of Chaos Never Hurt Anybody

McElligott On The Fed’s ‘Line In The Sand’

June 17, 2021June 21, 2021

On Wednesday, hours prior to the June dot plot reveal, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott wrote that

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Wapner, Cramer Receive Divine Tepper Revelation On Live Television

June 17, 2021June 18, 2021

Don’t worry everybody, the stock market will probably be fine despite an upward shift in

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2 Comments on Wapner, Cramer Receive Divine Tepper Revelation On Live Television

Lehman Trader Learns First Rule Of Dramatized Market Commentary

June 17, 2021June 18, 2021

It’ll be difficult to escape hawkish Fed interpretations over the next week or so. Take

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2 Comments on Lehman Trader Learns First Rule Of Dramatized Market Commentary

FAIT Accompli

June 17, 2021June 21, 2021

Admittedly, I found it difficult to get totally behind the notion that the June FOMC marked

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3 Comments on FAIT Accompli

Jobless Claims Surge, Philly Prices Highest Since Horse And Buggy

June 17, 2021June 17, 2021

412,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, far more than expected. Out of nearly

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1 Comment on Jobless Claims Surge, Philly Prices Highest Since Horse And Buggy

Pay No Attention To These Projections

June 16, 2021June 17, 2021

“These projections do not represent a committee decision or a plan,” Jerome Powell said Wednesday,

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4 Comments on Pay No Attention To These Projections

Fed Signals Two Hikes By End Of 2023

June 16, 2021June 21, 2021

“Inflation has risen, largely reflecting transitory factors,” the Fed said Wednesday, in a June policy

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1 Comment on Fed Signals Two Hikes By End Of 2023

McElligott: Op-Ex Is ‘Huge Thing’

June 16, 2021June 18, 2021

That nearly three quarters of respondents polled in the June vintage of BofA’s monthly fund

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Bubble Watching In US Housing

June 16, 2021June 23, 2021

Housing starts rose in May, but missed estimates on the heels of April’s lackluster showing.

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4 Comments on Bubble Watching In US Housing

China’s Recovery Is Rolling Over

June 16, 2021June 16, 2021

All the usual questions lingered ahead of the June Fed meeting. The balance of evidence

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Tell Me Again About Your Models

June 15, 2021June 16, 2021

Despite (and often because of), my overtly pessimistic take on the plight of humanity, I

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6 Comments on Tell Me Again About Your Models

The Economic Question Of Our Time

June 15, 2021June 26, 2021

Have we entered a “high inflation regime”? At this point, asking that question feels like

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6 Comments on The Economic Question Of Our Time

As ‘K-Shaped’ Inflation Fears Worsen, $650 Billion Says It’s Transitory

June 15, 2021June 25, 2021

You may not be buying the Fed’s “transitory” characterization of inflation, but nearly three quarters

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1 Comment on As ‘K-Shaped’ Inflation Fears Worsen, $650 Billion Says It’s Transitory

A Depressing Conjuncture That Will Change No Minds

June 15, 2021June 16, 2021

In what may well be further evidence to support the view that the US economy

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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