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Featured

The Problem, In A Nutshell…

October 30, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Counting Days While Waiting On Nothing

June 15, 2021June 15, 2021

Traders were “unruffled” Tuesday, ahead of the Fed and key data. That was Bloomberg’s adjective.

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2 Comments on Counting Days While Waiting On Nothing

One Bank Asks: ‘What Bubble?’

June 14, 2021June 26, 2021

What’s the definition of a “bubble” in the market context? That’s a question I’ve explored

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12 Comments on One Bank Asks: ‘What Bubble?’

Paul Tudor Jones And The Celebrity Fixation

June 14, 2021June 17, 2021

Do you ever wonder why we (as a society) care about celebrity endorsements? In a

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19 Comments on Paul Tudor Jones And The Celebrity Fixation

Topic Du Jour

June 14, 2021June 15, 2021

Headed into the June Fed meeting, analysts and strategists were keen to dissect last week’s

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4 Comments on Topic Du Jour

A Dangerous Plan Is Better Than No Plan

June 14, 2021June 15, 2021

Geopolitics continued to monopolize headlines Monday as Joe Biden’s “America’s back” world tour rolled on

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1 Comment on A Dangerous Plan Is Better Than No Plan

A Few Words On The Quixotic Quest To ‘Counter’ China’s Rise

June 13, 2021June 22, 2021

“I proposed that we have a democratic alternative to the Belt and Road initiative, to

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8 Comments on A Few Words On The Quixotic Quest To ‘Counter’ China’s Rise

An Important Non-Event

June 13, 2021June 14, 2021

Outside of the geopolitical realm, the June Fed meeting will get top billing this week,

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1 Comment on An Important Non-Event

It’s Time The US Gave Putin A Financial Ultimatum

June 13, 2021June 15, 2021

Joe Biden’s one-on-one with Vladimir Putin in Geneva is the marquee event in the new

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10 Comments on It’s Time The US Gave Putin A Financial Ultimatum

Bitcoin And Donald Trump Have A Lot In Common

June 12, 2021June 14, 2021

Time and again over the years, I’ve argued that the volatility associated with Bitcoin makes

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10 Comments on Bitcoin And Donald Trump Have A Lot In Common

Stars May Be Out Of Alignment For Market’s Favorite Trade

June 12, 2021June 18, 2021

Hopefully, you don’t find yourself in the unenviable position of being forced to say, definitively,

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3 Comments on Stars May Be Out Of Alignment For Market’s Favorite Trade

Summers, Druckenmiller And Two People I’ve Never Heard Of

June 12, 2021June 14, 2021

I suggested Friday that “incredulous” was probably too strong a word for how market participants

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11 Comments on Summers, Druckenmiller And Two People I’ve Never Heard Of

Back To Goldilocks?

June 11, 2021June 13, 2021

I’d say you could feel the incredulity in the room, but I’d be lying. Months

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3 Comments on Back To Goldilocks?

The Biggest Risk To The Inflation Trade Is… Inflation?

June 11, 2021June 12, 2021

The inflation trade is in jeopardy from… inflation. That’s one takeaway from the latest installment

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5 Comments on The Biggest Risk To The Inflation Trade Is… Inflation?

For US Consumers, Inflation Woes Persist Despite Sentiment Bump

June 11, 2021June 11, 2021

Fortunately for everyone other than headline writers, inflation expectations fell in the preliminary read on

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Leave a Comment on For US Consumers, Inflation Woes Persist Despite Sentiment Bump

Who Are America’s Real ‘Lazy Freeloaders?’

June 11, 2021June 12, 2021

I’ve variously argued that to the extent imbalances in the labor market are the result

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14 Comments on Who Are America’s Real ‘Lazy Freeloaders?’

They’re Buying It

June 11, 2021June 12, 2021

They’re buying it. Figuratively and literally. Global equities looked for a fourth consecutive weekly gain

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16 Comments on They’re Buying It

Do You Feel $5 Trillion Richer Than You Were In December?

June 10, 2021June 19, 2021

US households are $5 trillion richer than they were at the end of 2020. In

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2 Comments on Do You Feel $5 Trillion Richer Than You Were In December?

Stop The Presses: Albert Edwards Agrees With The Fed

June 10, 2021June 11, 2021

“Albert Edwards agrees with the Fed” isn’t something you hear very often, but it’s applicable

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7 Comments on Stop The Presses: Albert Edwards Agrees With The Fed

Jobless Claims And Scarce Cake Pops

June 10, 2021June 10, 2021

376,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, down 9,000 from the previous week to

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8 Comments on Jobless Claims And Scarce Cake Pops

En’Core’

June 10, 2021June 14, 2021

The most important CPI print in recent memory (according to the hype machine) didn’t disappoint.

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7 Comments on En’Core’

ECB Keeps ‘Significantly Higher’ Language As Hawks Routed

June 10, 2021June 10, 2021

The ECB reiterated Thursday that asset purchases under its emergency pandemic program (PEPP) will continue

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1 Comment on ECB Keeps ‘Significantly Higher’ Language As Hawks Routed

Meanwhile, In China

June 10, 2021June 11, 2021

A wave of headlines out of China were worth a mention on Thursday. In what

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Leave a Comment on Meanwhile, In China

Another ‘Most Important Since’ Moment

June 9, 2021June 10, 2021

Over the years, one becomes almost completely desensitized to macro data billed ahead of time

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Leave a Comment on Another ‘Most Important Since’ Moment

Return Of The Raging Retail Party

June 9, 2021June 15, 2021

Over the past two weeks, the assumption that the meme stock mania ended in the

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2 Comments on Return Of The Raging Retail Party

Were We Too Quick To Write The Bond Bull’s Obituary?

June 9, 2021June 10, 2021

Don’t look now, but the Treasury ETF is nearly overbought (figure below). I say “the”

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4 Comments on Were We Too Quick To Write The Bond Bull’s Obituary?

What To Know About China’s Surging Factory Prices

June 9, 2021June 9, 2021

“Chinese factory-gate inflation spirals to 12-year high” makes for great headlines, but a cursory look

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2 Comments on What To Know About China’s Surging Factory Prices

Cold War Rhetoric Emerges As Key To Bipartisanship

June 9, 2021June 15, 2021

US lawmakers understand why it’s important for America to invest heavily (in this case almost

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5 Comments on Cold War Rhetoric Emerges As Key To Bipartisanship

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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