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Featured

What’s What And WTF?

October 30, 2026October 30, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026
  • Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

‘Remains Elevated’

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026

Geopolitics

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

No Fury Like An Authoritarian Scorned

August 6, 2021August 6, 2021

More thunder out of Beijing Friday suggested the storm is far from over for investors

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7 Comments on No Fury Like An Authoritarian Scorned

‘Wholly Explicable.’ One Way Or Another

August 5, 2021August 6, 2021

It probably won’t surprise you to learn that SocGen’s Albert Edwards isn’t surprised by the

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1 Comment on ‘Wholly Explicable.’ One Way Or Another

‘Shockingly Unstable Synthetic Stability’

August 5, 2021August 6, 2021

“Stability breeds instability.” That phrase (God bless it) never fails to pique market participants’ interest.

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Claims And A Quick Thought On ‘Quick Fixes’

August 5, 2021August 6, 2021

385,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, a reprieve of sorts after two consecutive

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3 Comments on Claims And A Quick Thought On ‘Quick Fixes’

BOE Dares To Suggest Central Banks Can Sell Assets

August 5, 2021August 9, 2021

The Bank of England said Thursday that it plans to stop reinvesting the proceeds from

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1 Comment on BOE Dares To Suggest Central Banks Can Sell Assets

Goldman Raises S&P 500 Target For 2021, 2022

August 5, 2021August 10, 2021

It was inevitable. For quite a while, Goldman held onto their year-end S&P target of

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Leave a Comment on Goldman Raises S&P 500 Target For 2021, 2022

Ruining The Fun

August 4, 2021August 5, 2021

Richard Clarida probably wasn’t trying to ruin anyone’s fun on Wednesday, and on any rational

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4 Comments on Ruining The Fun

One Big Hall Of Mirrors

August 4, 2021August 9, 2021

Remember: It’s all relative these days. That’s applicable to pretty much everything, but especially to

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5 Comments on One Big Hall Of Mirrors

Leisure And Hospitality Hiring Plummets. Or, Wait — ‘Softens’

August 4, 2021August 5, 2021

US private sector employers added far fewer jobs than expected in July. Private sector employment

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7 Comments on Leisure And Hospitality Hiring Plummets. Or, Wait — ‘Softens’

Top-Down Management

August 4, 2021August 4, 2021

“I can hardly imagine that the authorities would just simply ban online gaming once and

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1 Comment on Top-Down Management

Maybe It’s Not ‘Transitory.’ Let’s Try ‘Tolerable’

August 4, 2021September 5, 2021

Slower deliveries, labor constraints, input cost pressures, shortages of key materials and generalized logistical challenges

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4 Comments on Maybe It’s Not ‘Transitory.’ Let’s Try ‘Tolerable’

Keys To The City (And A Reprieve For The Renters)

August 3, 2021August 10, 2021

“Not everyone’s going to agree with this,” Bill de Blasio said Tuesday. It was an

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15 Comments on Keys To The City (And A Reprieve For The Renters)

Massive American Debt! (Cheap Zingers )

August 3, 2021August 4, 2021

I don’t generally like situations where “the jokes just write themselves.” Those types of conjunctures

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7 Comments on Massive American Debt! (Cheap Zingers )

When Oracles Lie

August 3, 2021August 4, 2021

If I hear the term “false optic” from smart people a few more times, I’m

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2 Comments on When Oracles Lie

Opium Wars

August 3, 2021August 4, 2021

It was another disastrous day for one of the world’s most influential stocks. Tencent plunged

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2 Comments on Opium Wars

Take My Breadth Away

August 2, 2021August 3, 2021

I doubt there’s much in the way of reader appetite when it comes to laborious

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I’ll Have The Stocks. With A Side Of Caveats

August 2, 2021August 5, 2021

The smartest guys and gals in the room are still overweight equities, you’ll be happy

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Why One Bank Isn’t Buying ‘Forced’ Bond Narrative

August 2, 2021August 8, 2021

“We think that it is important to avoid the trap of forcibly fitting a narrative,”

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4 Comments on Why One Bank Isn’t Buying ‘Forced’ Bond Narrative

Manufacturing Surveys Show ‘Strongest Sellers’ Market’ Ever

August 2, 2021August 8, 2021

The first of this week’s top-tier US data missed estimates, perhaps helping to make the

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1 Comment on Manufacturing Surveys Show ‘Strongest Sellers’ Market’ Ever

Unifying Threads

August 2, 2021August 2, 2021

Monday’s narrative was just recycled, boilerplate copy: Solid earnings and decent data helped “offset” Chinese

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Jobs, Jobs, Jobs (And The Rent’s Due)

August 1, 2021August 5, 2021

“Jobs, jobs, jobs!” Or whatever. It’s NFP week in the US, but virus headlines will

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5 Comments on Jobs, Jobs, Jobs (And The Rent’s Due)

Misinformation Nation (Staying Alive In 2021)

August 1, 2021August 2, 2021

“I just want to say, in Florida there will be no lockdowns, there will be

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6 Comments on Misinformation Nation (Staying Alive In 2021)

Risk Management In A Nonsense World

July 31, 2021August 2, 2021

One of the myriad confounding factors in what’s been variously billed as the “Great Inflation

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13 Comments on Risk Management In A Nonsense World

Revisiting The Social Contract In The Age Of Delta

July 31, 2021August 2, 2021

Editor’s note: The following short article was originally published May 27, 2020, on Identity Element.

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4 Comments on Revisiting The Social Contract In The Age Of Delta

Lyin’ Eyes And Taper Tremors

July 31, 2021August 8, 2021

Goldman’s clients are asking how the onset of a Fed taper will affect equity markets.

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3 Comments on Lyin’ Eyes And Taper Tremors

Maybe We’re Worried About The Wrong Tail Risk

July 30, 2021August 6, 2021

Jim Bullard said Friday that the spread of the Delta variant is likely to be

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13 Comments on Maybe We’re Worried About The Wrong Tail Risk

Like There’s No Tomorrow

July 30, 2021July 31, 2021

“Global interest rates [are] at 5,000 year lows,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett observed, again, in the

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Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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