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Featured

F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026

Markets

Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Weekly: Something Wicked This Way Comes?

    October 23, 2026October 26, 2026
  • After The Rally: What’s Next For Treasurys?

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026

economy

It’s A Big Week

October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Kevin Needs A Credit Event

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026
  • Return Of The Left-Tail

    October 22, 2026October 23, 2026
  • Dear Lord…

    October 20, 2026October 21, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Investors Pull Billions From US Stock Funds Despite Rally

February 12, 2023February 12, 2023

Although US equities were off to a roaring start in 2023, it was apparent during

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3 Comments on Investors Pull Billions From US Stock Funds Despite Rally

Macro Dinner Whispers

February 12, 2023February 15, 2023

Headed into the new week, there was a “building hot inflation whisper.” Speculation around an

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1 Comment on Macro Dinner Whispers

Stocks Under A ‘Micro’scope

February 11, 2023February 11, 2023

It won’t surprise anyone to learn that stocks have been more macro-driven than average over

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1 Comment on Stocks Under A ‘Micro’scope

‘Peak Goldilocks’: Why The Party May Be Over

February 11, 2023February 15, 2023

It’s “tempting,” one bank says, to believe “peak Goldilocks” has come and gone. The combination

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7 Comments on ‘Peak Goldilocks’: Why The Party May Be Over

Chasing The Elusive Target

February 11, 2023February 13, 2023

For all the talk about how the “disinflation process has begun” (to quote Jerome Powell),

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1 Comment on Chasing The Elusive Target

Why Markets Could Be A Fireworks Show Next Week

February 10, 2023February 10, 2023

The range of possible policy outcomes is expanding in the US. I assume this is

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2 Comments on Why Markets Could Be A Fireworks Show Next Week

Hawks And Doves On The Carousel Of Madness

February 10, 2023February 12, 2023

It’s been a week since the combination of a blockbuster US jobs report and a

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2 Comments on Hawks And Doves On The Carousel Of Madness

Americans ‘With Large Stock Holdings’ Thanked For Sentiment Boost

February 10, 2023February 11, 2023

American consumer attitudes were “mixed” in early February, according to the preliminary vintage of this

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1 Comment on Americans ‘With Large Stock Holdings’ Thanked For Sentiment Boost

Biden Planning Major New China Investment Curbs

February 10, 2023February 10, 2023

Under intense pressure from lawmakers on both sides of the aisle, the Biden administration is

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4 Comments on Biden Planning Major New China Investment Curbs

Recession: It Wouldn’t Take Much. Or Would It?

February 10, 2023February 12, 2023

Notwithstanding what, thanks to a Teflon labor market, is a bulletproof facade, the US economy

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10 Comments on Recession: It Wouldn’t Take Much. Or Would It?

60/40’s Revenge

February 10, 2023February 10, 2023

Last year was a veritable disaster for pretty much any version of the vaunted 60/40

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1 Comment on 60/40’s Revenge

Ukraine Says Russian Missiles Kissed NATO Skies. Romania Denies

February 10, 2023February 11, 2023

Russia lobbed missiles into Ukraine on Friday and attacked the country with drones which, sadly,

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1 Comment on Ukraine Says Russian Missiles Kissed NATO Skies. Romania Denies

Disinflation… If You Can Keep It

February 9, 2023February 9, 2023

Party over! US mortgage rates are rising again. I’m just joking. Well, rates did rise

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Leave a Comment on Disinflation… If You Can Keep It

The Good And Bad News Behind America’s Jobs Puzzle

February 9, 2023February 17, 2023

Layoff announcements continue to pile up across the US economy. Over the last 24 hours

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10 Comments on The Good And Bad News Behind America’s Jobs Puzzle

Albert Edwards Sees Another Recession Canary

February 9, 2023February 10, 2023

It won’t surprise you to learn that SocGen’s Albert Edwards is skeptical this week. Skeptical

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5 Comments on Albert Edwards Sees Another Recession Canary

Claims About Jobs

February 9, 2023February 9, 2023

A week later, market participants are still asking questions about an anomalous US jobs report.

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Leave a Comment on Claims About Jobs

Russia Threatens ‘Consequences’ Over Hersh Nord Stream Tale

February 9, 2023February 10, 2023

A “disgusting crime.” That’s what Russia’s deputy foreign minister Sergei Ryabkov called the “unsolved” mystery

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6 Comments on Russia Threatens ‘Consequences’ Over Hersh Nord Stream Tale

Meme Melee Cost Credit Suisse $80 Billion In Outflows, Results Suggest

February 9, 2023February 10, 2023

Unfounded rumors about Credit Suisse’s solvency contributed to a larger-than-expected CHF110.5 billion outflow during Q4.

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3 Comments on Meme Melee Cost Credit Suisse $80 Billion In Outflows, Results Suggest

Chinese Balloon Part Of Global Military Spy Program: US Officials

February 8, 2023February 8, 2023

The Chinese surveillance balloon Joe Biden shot down last week was part of a global

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1 Comment on Chinese Balloon Part Of Global Military Spy Program: US Officials

Hope Versus Reality In A Broken System

February 8, 2023February 9, 2023

During his State of the Union address, Joe Biden lamented the slow demise of the

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10 Comments on Hope Versus Reality In A Broken System

Half-Empty

February 8, 2023

It’s hard to know whether to cheer slower consumer credit growth in the world’s largest

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Leave a Comment on Half-Empty

‘Surreal’ Tech Rally Vulnerable To Reality Check, Some Worry

February 8, 2023February 9, 2023

As you might’ve noticed recently, equities aren’t inclined to believe central banks when it comes

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4 Comments on ‘Surreal’ Tech Rally Vulnerable To Reality Check, Some Worry

AI Frenzy Rekindles Story Stock Mania

February 8, 2023

It’s a junk rally! Not in high yield (well, there too now that you mention

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Leave a Comment on AI Frenzy Rekindles Story Stock Mania

Tragicomedy: UK Stocks Hit Record On BP Bonanza While 7 Million Can’t Pay Bills

February 8, 2023February 9, 2023

I have an affinity for tragicomedy. Probably because my own life blends elements of the

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4 Comments on Tragicomedy: UK Stocks Hit Record On BP Bonanza While 7 Million Can’t Pay Bills

Optimistic, Hopeful, Forward-Looking People

February 7, 2023February 17, 2023

If a house divided against itself can’t stand, I don’t know what happens to a

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3 Comments on Optimistic, Hopeful, Forward-Looking People

A ‘Lost Opportunity’

February 7, 2023February 7, 2023

It wasn’t what he said. It was what he didn’t say. Jerome Powell had an

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1 Comment on A ‘Lost Opportunity’

‘Nuanced’

February 7, 2023February 13, 2023

If Jerome Powell was concerned about the criticism he garnered last week for failing to

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8 Comments on ‘Nuanced’

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • therealheisenberg on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • BustedClock on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • derek on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • T-Dog on Frozen Bubble

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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