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Featured

Around, Around We Go

October 27, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Lula!

    October 26, 2026October 26, 2026

Markets

Credit Canaries

October 25, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Weekly: Something Wicked This Way Comes?

    October 23, 2026October 26, 2026
  • After The Rally: What’s Next For Treasurys?

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026
  • BONDS!!!

    October 22, 2026October 24, 2026
  • Flying Cars, New Share Class Highlight Tesla, Meta Results

    October 21, 2026October 22, 2026

economy

It’s A Big Week

October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Kevin Needs A Credit Event

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026
  • Return Of The Left-Tail

    October 22, 2026October 23, 2026
  • Dear Lord…

    October 20, 2026October 21, 2026

Geopolitics

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

France Can’t Even Save Itself, Let Alone NATO

October 18, 2026October 19, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

This Productivity Boom Is Brought To You By Skynet

March 29, 2023

It’s AI’s world, we just live in it. Or at least that’s the impression you’d

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3 Comments on This Productivity Boom Is Brought To You By Skynet

A Quick Note On Elon Musk’s Proposed AI Moratorium

March 29, 2023March 29, 2023

Elon Musk is worried about advanced AI. One thing he’s concerned about specifically is the

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5 Comments on A Quick Note On Elon Musk’s Proposed AI Moratorium

The ChatGPT Bubble Is Here: $300K For ‘AI Whisperers’

March 29, 2023April 10, 2023

Earlier this week, I lamented the somewhat terrifying prospect of 300 million lost full-time jobs

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14 Comments on The ChatGPT Bubble Is Here: $300K For ‘AI Whisperers’

Did America’s Housing Recession Just End?

March 29, 2023March 30, 2023

For the third straight month, pending home sales in the US surprised to the upside,

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3 Comments on Did America’s Housing Recession Just End?

Bank Stress May Eliminate Key Source Of US Jobs Overshoot

March 29, 2023March 29, 2023

Over the past six months, nonfarm payroll growth in the US overshot the typical pre-COVID

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1 Comment on Bank Stress May Eliminate Key Source Of US Jobs Overshoot

Big Hearts Versus Big Men

March 29, 2023March 30, 2023

Volodymyr Zelensky on Wednesday said Vladimir Putin’s most recent nuclear posturing suggested the Kremlin didn’t

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1 Comment on Big Hearts Versus Big Men

The Long, Docile Bear

March 28, 2023April 10, 2023

Is the bear market over? If that’s your question, you need to specify. Which bear

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4 Comments on The Long, Docile Bear

Layoffs Won’t Solve This Inflation Problem

March 28, 2023

At this point, it’s tempting to ignore the never-ending reports of job cuts across the

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3 Comments on Layoffs Won’t Solve This Inflation Problem

America’s Housing Bubble Flies South For The Spring

March 28, 2023March 29, 2023

A government gauge of national home prices in the US unexpectedly rose at the beginning

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7 Comments on America’s Housing Bubble Flies South For The Spring

Unbothered By Bank Runs?

March 28, 2023March 29, 2023

If you were wondering whether the second-largest bank failure in American history and fears of

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3 Comments on Unbothered By Bank Runs?

18% Of Global Employment Could Be Replaced By Generative AI: Goldman

March 28, 2023

Generative AI is all the rage in 2023. Maybe it’s a fad, maybe it isn’t,

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6 Comments on 186 Of Global Employment Could Be Replaced By Generative AI: Goldman

Recession ‘Here In A Few Months’

March 28, 2023March 29, 2023

Jeff Gundlach says a recession may be right around the corner. That isn’t news. If

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3 Comments on Recession ‘Here In A Few Months’

Let’s Argue About Student Debt Some More

March 27, 2023March 28, 2023

Over the years, I’ve learned to pick my spots when it comes to broaching the

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15 Comments on Let’s Argue About Student Debt Some More

Kolanovic, JPMorgan Stress ‘Ongoing Market Risks’

March 27, 2023

“For lack of better words, our outlook is negative,” JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic told a conference

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3 Comments on Kolanovic, JPMorgan Stress ‘Ongoing Market Risks’

Great American Deposit Debate Spotlights Legislative Gridlock

March 27, 2023April 2, 2023

“Biden, Powell and Yellen have said virtually everything they can say about the FDIC’s backing

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3 Comments on Great American Deposit Debate Spotlights Legislative Gridlock

No. All Deposits Under $250,000 Aren’t ‘Covered’

March 27, 2023March 27, 2023

I assumed this was obvious, but it’s clear from some reader feedback that it needs

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6 Comments on No. All Deposits Under $250,000 Aren’t ‘Covered’

Bonds Doubt Their God. ‘Stocks Are Next,’ Wilson Warns

March 27, 2023March 28, 2023

It’s no secret that Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson suspects consensus is too optimistic on the

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5 Comments on Bonds Doubt Their God. ‘Stocks Are Next,’ Wilson Warns

Interview That Collapsed Credit Suisse Costs Saudi Financier His Job

March 27, 2023March 28, 2023

Late last week, in “We’re Scaring Ourselves Into Bank Runs Now,” I suggested Credit Suisse

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1 Comment on Interview That Collapsed Credit Suisse Costs Saudi Financier His Job

Hold My Nukes

March 26, 2023March 27, 2023

Russia’s much discussed “offensive” in Ukraine either didn’t materialize or, at best, didn’t accomplish much.

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3 Comments on Hold My Nukes

Failing Banks, Persistent Inflation Promise Fun-Filled Week

March 26, 2023March 30, 2023

Markets will get an updated look at the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge this week. Spoiler

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10 Comments on Failing Banks, Persistent Inflation Promise Fun-Filled Week

Is Corporate Spending About To Plunge?

March 25, 2023March 25, 2023

Analysts, strategists and financial media outlets have dedicated quite a bit of time recently to

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Leave a Comment on Is Corporate Spending About To Plunge?

Buying The 2023 Fed Pivot May Be A Bad Idea

March 25, 2023March 27, 2023

Jeff Gundlach thinks it’s likely the Fed will be compelled to abandon their “higher for

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11 Comments on Buying The 2023 Fed Pivot May Be A Bad Idea

America’s Small Banks Bleed $120 Billion In Deposits

March 25, 2023

America’s small banks bled deposits in the week ended March 15. I realize that risks

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Leave a Comment on America’s Small Banks Bleed $120 Billion In Deposits

Global ‘Dash For Dollars’ Turns Acute

March 25, 2023March 27, 2023

Global dollar demand is evident. Last Sunday, I suggested the Fed’s dollar swap announcement+, made

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1 Comment on Global ‘Dash For Dollars’ Turns Acute

Kocic On Minsky Moments, 2008 And ‘Unprecedented Outliers’

March 24, 2023March 24, 2023

Jerome Powell and the Fed are staring warily at a prospective “damned if they do,

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2 Comments on Kocic On Minsky Moments, 2008 And ‘Unprecedented Outliers’

In Bank Drama: Forced Behavior, Solvency Crises And ‘Zombie Mode’

March 24, 2023March 24, 2023

Another week of manic moves across rates and financials said more about sentiment, psychology and

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1 Comment on In Bank Drama: Forced Behavior, Solvency Crises And ‘Zombie Mode’

We’re Scaring Ourselves Into Bank Runs Now

March 24, 2023April 2, 2023

On Friday morning, while documenting what was shaping up to be a rough session for

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14 Comments on We’re Scaring Ourselves Into Bank Runs Now

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • John3D on Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks
  • derek on Lula!
  • Frank Talk on Lula!
  • Gimpy on Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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