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Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

October 26, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Lula!

    October 26, 2026October 26, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 25, 2026

Markets

Credit Canaries

October 25, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Weekly: Something Wicked This Way Comes?

    October 23, 2026October 26, 2026
  • After The Rally: What’s Next For Treasurys?

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026
  • BONDS!!!

    October 22, 2026October 24, 2026
  • Flying Cars, New Share Class Highlight Tesla, Meta Results

    October 21, 2026October 22, 2026

economy

What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

October 24, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Kevin Needs A Credit Event

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026
  • Return Of The Left-Tail

    October 22, 2026October 23, 2026
  • Dear Lord…

    October 20, 2026October 21, 2026
  • Euphoric Depression

    October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Geopolitics

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

France Can’t Even Save Itself, Let Alone NATO

October 18, 2026October 19, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Putin, Prigozhin Deliver Dueling Speeches On Bizarre Victory Day

May 9, 2023May 10, 2023

“Everything is good on TV. On the ground will be the Ukrainian offensive,” Yevgeniy Prigozhin

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3 Comments on Putin, Prigozhin Deliver Dueling Speeches On Bizarre Victory Day

Lending Standards Tighten Further As Demand Collapses, Banks Fret

May 8, 2023May 21, 2023

The most anticipated senior loan officer opinion survey in recent memory showed the share of

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3 Comments on Lending Standards Tighten Further As Demand Collapses, Banks Fret

Maybe The Consumer Is Exhausted After All

May 8, 2023May 8, 2023

The highlight from last month’s New York Fed consumer survey was a new peak+ in

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Leave a Comment on Maybe The Consumer Is Exhausted After All

Kolanovic Sees ‘Dissonance’ In Markets. Warns Of Stock Selloff

May 8, 2023May 9, 2023

JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic sees evidence of “dissonance.” Markets steadfastly refuse to give up on the

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3 Comments on Kolanovic Sees ‘Dissonance’ In Markets. Warns Of Stock Selloff

Stock Bulls Hope Record Hedge Fund Bond Short Is Wrong

May 8, 2023May 8, 2023

According to the most recent available positioning snapshot, hedge funds pushed an already historic Treasury

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1 Comment on Stock Bulls Hope Record Hedge Fund Bond Short Is Wrong

Wall Street’s Most Recognizable Bear Still Cautious

May 8, 2023May 9, 2023

The sell-side’s most recognizable bear is still skeptical of any overtly rosy outlook for an

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3 Comments on Wall Street’s Most Recognizable Bear Still Cautious

Global Stocks Seen Most Vulnerable To Bond Yields Since Dot-Com Bubble

May 8, 2023May 9, 2023

I’ve said this before, and I’m quite sure I’ll say it again after today: The

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7 Comments on Global Stocks Seen Most Vulnerable To Bond Yields Since Dot-Com Bubble

Outflows From US Equity Funds Top $50 Billion In 2023

May 7, 2023May 7, 2023

Outflows from US-focused equity ETFs and mutual funds now exceed $50 billion for 2023. Generally

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‘Catastrophe’ Talk Heats Up As US Nears Intentional Default

May 7, 2023May 7, 2023

“This would be a constitutional crisis,” Janet Yellen told George Stephanopoulos on Sunday. She was

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5 Comments on ‘Catastrophe’ Talk Heats Up As US Nears Intentional Default

The Juxtaposition And The Nuance

May 7, 2023May 10, 2023

On the macro front, this week is all about the juxtaposition between the Fed’s senior

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6 Comments on The Juxtaposition And The Nuance

Unsolved Macro Mystery Is Key To Inflation Puzzle

May 7, 2023May 8, 2023

Even after watching it play out, and to somewhat disastrous effect in the inflation data,

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7 Comments on Unsolved Macro Mystery Is Key To Inflation Puzzle

In Narrow Stock Rally, It’s All Mega-Tech

May 6, 2023May 21, 2023

Much has been made of the recent collapse in market breadth across US equities, and

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1 Comment on In Narrow Stock Rally, It’s All Mega-Tech

Another Weekend At Berkshire’s

May 6, 2023May 8, 2023

Berkshire’s annual shareholder meeting was this weekend, which meant CNBC’s website looked a lot like

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6 Comments on Another Weekend At Berkshire’s

Americans’ Credit Card Balances Exploded Higher Amid SVB Failure

May 5, 2023May 7, 2023

Consumer credit rose far more than expected in the US during a month defined by

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3 Comments on Americans’ Credit Card Balances Exploded Higher Amid SVB Failure

Hawkish Standard-Bearer

May 5, 2023May 7, 2023

If you’re looking for dovish, conciliatory soundbites from Fed officials, Jim Bullard isn’t your guy

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1 Comment on Hawkish Standard-Bearer

Used Car ‘Doom’ Is Inflation Fight Boon

May 5, 2023May 5, 2023

On a day when a hot average hourly earnings print accompanying the monthly US jobs

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Jobs Report Rekindles Wage-Price Spiral Fears

May 5, 2023May 10, 2023

The US economy added 253,000 jobs in April, according to scorching-hot figures released on Friday.

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1 Comment on Jobs Report Rekindles Wage-Price Spiral Fears

EPS Optimism May Be Detached From Recession Reality

May 5, 2023May 5, 2023

So-called “Greedflation” may be propping up US corporate profits for now, but as the old

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Leave a Comment on EPS Optimism May Be Detached From Recession Reality

They Broke The Regionals. Sell The Last Hike

May 5, 2023May 6, 2023

“Sell the last hike.” It’s a familiar refrain from one popular sell-side strategist, and he

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15 Comments on They Broke The Regionals. Sell The Last Hike

First Republic Becomes ‘Other,’ Money Market Assets Hit New Record

May 4, 2023May 4, 2023

First Republic’s discount window and BTFP borrowings rolled into the “Other credit extensions” line item

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Leave a Comment on First Republic Becomes ‘Other,’ Money Market Assets Hit New Record

Greedflation ‘Melting The Glue Of Social Cohesion,’ Albert Edwards Warns

May 4, 2023May 21, 2023

SocGen’s Albert Edwards is passionate about “Greedflation” or, more to the point, about highlighting the

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20 Comments on Greedflation ‘Melting The Glue Of Social Cohesion,’ Albert Edwards Warns

Cook Says ‘Very Interesting’ A.I. Needs ‘Thoughtful’ Approach As Apple Beats

May 4, 2023May 5, 2023

Apple is taking a “thoughtful” approach when it comes to “weaving” A.I. into its products.

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1 Comment on Cook Says ‘Very Interesting’ A.I. Needs ‘Thoughtful’ Approach As Apple Beats

‘Left-Tail’ Bank Risk Growing ‘In Real Time,’ McElligott Says

May 4, 2023May 4, 2023

“The banks left-tail outcome is growing in real-time,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said Thursday, amid another

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Leave a Comment on ‘Left-Tail’ Bank Risk Growing ‘In Real Time,’ McElligott Says

Americans Do Worry About Bank Safety After All

May 4, 2023May 21, 2023

The percentage of Americans with more than $250,000 in their bank accounts may be vanishingly

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3 Comments on Americans Do Worry About Bank Safety After All

US Labor Productivity Does Something It’s Never Done Before

May 4, 2023May 4, 2023

While previewing this week’s deluge of key data out of the world’s largest economy, I

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2 Comments on US Labor Productivity Does Something It’s Never Done Before

Lagarde Hikes Seventh Time. Calls Inflation ‘Too High For Too Long’

May 4, 2023May 5, 2023

“The inflation outlook continues to be too high for too long,” the ECB said Thursday,

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7 Comments on Lagarde Hikes Seventh Time. Calls Inflation ‘Too High For Too Long’

US Hiring Plans Plummet As Job Cuts Accumulate

May 4, 2023May 4, 2023

Job cuts were the lowest of 2023 in April, according to figures released on Thursday. That’s

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1 Comment on US Hiring Plans Plummet As Job Cuts Accumulate

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Gimpy on Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks
  • T-Dog on Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks
  • Jerry Brown on Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks
  • John3D on Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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