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Featured

Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

September 22, 2026
  • WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026

Markets

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Fed’s Favorite Core Inflation Gauge Falls Below 3%

January 26, 2024January 27, 2024

The Fed’s preferred gauge of underlying price growth slipped below 3% in December, data out

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Is China Losing Patience With Iran Over Houthi Attacks?

January 26, 2024January 28, 2024

A few days ago, I suggested there were only two ways to stop the Houthis

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7 Comments on Is China Losing Patience With Iran Over Houthi Attacks?

MMFs See Second Week Of Outflows. RRP Below $600 Billion

January 25, 2024

Money market funds saw a second week of outflows as AUM appears to have peaked

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‘Free Money Machine’ Borrowing Hit $168 Billion Before Fed Slammed Door

January 25, 2024February 8, 2024

A month ago, I called readers’ attention to what I dubbed the “free money Fed

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4 Comments on ‘Free Money Machine’ Borrowing Hit $168 Billion Before Fed Slammed Door

Low Inflation, High Vol?

January 25, 2024January 25, 2024

For the better part of two years, multi-asset investors were bedeviled by that most nefarious

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1 Comment on Low Inflation, High Vol?

Fed Gets Great Growth, 2% Inflation In Favorable GDP Release

January 25, 2024January 30, 2024

The US economy expanded far faster than expected during the final three months of 2023,

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17 Comments on Fed Gets Great Growth, 217 Inflation In Favorable GDP Release

US New Home Sales Rise As Prices Fall, Builders Offer Incentives

January 25, 2024January 26, 2024

Americans bought cookie-cutter, fiber cement boxes at a faster-than-expected rate in December, another exciting update

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Lagarde Fails To Dissuade Markets On ECB Rate-Cut Timing

January 25, 2024January 26, 2024

The ECB kept rates on hold for a third consecutive meeting on Thursday. The outcome

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‘Stuck In Recession’: Outlook For German Economy Worsens Further

January 25, 2024January 25, 2024

Not that anyone needed another reminder about the parlous state of Europe’s largest economy, but

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Tesla Flags Slower Growth, Omits Delivery Target

January 24, 2024January 25, 2024

Tesla is “between two major growth waves,” the company said on Wednesday afternoon in the

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2 Comments on Tesla Flags Slower Growth, Omits Delivery Target

Living At The Office

January 24, 2024January 24, 2024

Lower rates are stoking demand in a still-distorted US housing market. Mortgage applications rose a

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1 Comment on Living At The Office

Accusations, Trepidation After Russian Military Plane Crashes In Belgorod

January 24, 2024January 25, 2024

A planned prisoner exchange went disastrously wrong Wednesday when a Russian military plane crashed in

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US Economy Basking In Goldilocks Glow, PMIs Suggest

January 24, 2024January 25, 2024

US private sector business activity expanded at the briskest pace since June, preliminary data for

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1 Comment on US Economy Basking In Goldilocks Glow, PMIs Suggest

China Frees Up $140 Billion With Rate Cut In Bid To Halt Stock Rout

January 24, 2024February 8, 2024

China’s taken to pre-announcements lately. Last week, Premier Li Qiang revealed the headline annual growth

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2 Comments on China Frees Up $140 Billion With Rate Cut In Bid To Halt Stock Rout

ECB Faces Moribund Growth, Sticky Services Inflation Amid Rate Cut Debate

January 24, 2024January 24, 2024

The European economy is in a recession, basically, and price pressures, although no longer acute,

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Netflix Delivers Huge Subscriber Beat After Unveiling Wrestling Deal

January 23, 2024January 24, 2024

As a longtime Netflix customer, I can’t say I’m excited about the opportunity to stream

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9 Comments on Netflix Delivers Huge Subscriber Beat After Unveiling Wrestling Deal

Why Stocks Can’t Sell Off

January 23, 2024

The nascent rebound in skew is history. It was (mostly) snuffed out early this week.

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1 Comment on Why Stocks Can’t Sell Off

Kolanovic Flags Multiplying Risks For Markets ‘Priced To Perfection’

January 23, 2024January 24, 2024

Rate cuts from the Fed could extend the cycle, further delaying the inevitable, but the

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6 Comments on Kolanovic Flags Multiplying Risks For Markets ‘Priced To Perfection’

Chinese Sources Pitch Media On 2 Trillion-Yuan Stock Rescue

January 23, 2024January 24, 2024

“There’s an old saying in Tennessee — I know it’s in Texas, probably in Tennessee

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3 Comments on Chinese Sources Pitch Media On 2 Trillion-Yuan Stock Rescue

In Gaza: The Deadliest Day Yet For Israel’s Military

January 23, 2024February 8, 2024

Israel just suffered “one of the most difficult days since the start of the war,”

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7 Comments on In Gaza: The Deadliest Day Yet For Israel’s Military

Potpourri

January 22, 2024

A couple of things. “Potpourri,” if you like. Early Monday, I spent some time editorializing

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Are Fed Cuts Star-Crossed?

January 22, 2024February 8, 2024

Where’s neutral? We still don’t know. Indeed, we can’t know. But sometimes, the data suggests

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7 Comments on Are Fed Cuts Star-Crossed?

Wilson Goes For Quality As ‘Highest-Probability Winner’

January 22, 2024January 23, 2024

In the latest Weekly, I asked if good news was good again. The context was

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Interminable Selloff Drives Key Index Of Chinese Stocks Near 20-Year Low

January 22, 2024January 23, 2024

I employ the phrase “interminable malaise” at fairly regular intervals, often in the context of

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3 Comments on Interminable Selloff Drives Key Index Of Chinese Stocks Near 20-Year Low

$26 Trillion Market At Crossroads With ‘Easy Money’ Made

January 21, 2024January 23, 2024

The “easy money has already been made in bonds,” one mainstream financial media headline published

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1 Comment on $26 Trillion Market At Crossroads With ‘Easy Money’ Made

A Full-On, Hot Proxy War

January 21, 2024February 8, 2024

If you were previously unsure about the term “proxy war” — what it means, what

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6 Comments on A Full-On, Hot Proxy War

How Long Before The Fed Bill Comes Due For Corporates?

January 21, 2024January 22, 2024

How long before the most aggressive rate-hiking campaign in a generation finally bites corporates? It’s

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3 Comments on How Long Before The Fed Bill Comes Due For Corporates?

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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