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Featured

Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

September 22, 2026
  • WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026

Markets

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Kolanovic Sticks With It: Markets ‘Vulnerable To An Accident’

March 4, 2024March 4, 2024

Marko Kolanovic’s sticking with it, where “it” means a cautious approach to frothy markets. In

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Leave a Comment on Kolanovic Sticks With It: Markets ‘Vulnerable To An Accident’

Supreme Court Cowers, Bows To Trump

March 4, 2024March 14, 2024

Donald Trump’s still allowed to run for president despite his actions in the aftermath of

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22 Comments on Supreme Court Cowers, Bows To Trump

Records, Records Everywhere

March 4, 2024March 5, 2024

Tales of rekindled animal spirits are everywhere. Comparisons to the dot-com boom and 2021’s “everything

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2024 Isn’t 2021. It’s 2000. But Don’t Panic

March 4, 2024March 5, 2024

“This time is different.” So said Goldman’s David Kostin in his latest. Don’t laugh. Or

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2 Comments on 2024 Isn’t 2021. It’s 2000. But Don’t Panic

No Questions Asked

March 4, 2024March 5, 2024

The regime in Beijing will do what’s necessary to foster high-quality growth and common prosperity

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2 Comments on No Questions Asked

BofA Raises S&P Target. Inflows To US Equities Continue

March 3, 2024

You didn’t need to be a gifted tasseographer to read between the lines last week

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Powell On The Hill

March 3, 2024March 5, 2024

“The Fed has basically one tool on inflation,” Elizabeth Warren patiently explained, during a cameo

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5 Comments on Powell On The Hill

US Jobs Report, China Political Extravaganza Top Agenda In New Week

March 3, 2024March 8, 2024

In addition to Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony, traders will be treated this week to a

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2 Comments on US Jobs Report, China Political Extravaganza Top Agenda In New Week

Joe Biden Has A Netanyahu Problem

March 2, 2024March 14, 2024

Joe Biden has a Benjamin Netanyahu problem. As most readers are doubtless aware, an aid

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Sentimental Steepener

March 1, 2024March 3, 2024

Shorter-maturity Treasurys staged a pretty meaningful rally into the weekend following a lackluster read on

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1 Comment on Sentimental Steepener

A Few Quick Thoughts On Crypto As ‘Winter’ Thaws

March 1, 2024March 4, 2024

Fed cuts (or, more accurately, the expectation thereof later this year) are “sparking animal spirits.”

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9 Comments on A Few Quick Thoughts On Crypto As ‘Winter’ Thaws

Two Surveys Diverged In A Star-Spangled Wood

March 1, 2024March 3, 2024

There was some hope that this week’s final US macro release would suggest America’s manufacturing

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Eurozone Inflation Loiters As ECB Ponders Cut Timing

March 1, 2024March 2, 2024

Inflation in the eurozone was a bit quicker than expected in February, data released on

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Money Market Fund AUM Soars To Staggering $6.06 Trillion

February 29, 2024

US money market funds saw their second-largest inflow of 2024 in the week to February

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The Vol Regime In Six Easy Bullet Points

February 29, 2024February 29, 2024

Stocks are reluctant to hold a selloff. In fact, we’re back in a regime where

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2 Comments on The Vol Regime In Six Easy Bullet Points

As 2024 Rally Rolls On, Traders Hear Echoes Of 2021

February 29, 2024March 8, 2024

“Stay bullish.” That’s the message from a lot of people. From anyone you care to

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6 Comments on As 2024 Rally Rolls On, Traders Hear Echoes Of 2021

About That Inflation Data…

February 29, 2024March 8, 2024

The Fed’s preferred gauge of consumer price growth in the US matched estimates in hotly-anticipated

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2 Comments on About That Inflation Data…

Results Pending

February 29, 2024March 1, 2024

The rebound in existing US home sales during the first month of 2024 may prove

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2 Comments on Results Pending

Making Do With Euphoria

February 29, 2024March 1, 2024

With two months in the books, 2024’s been generous to equity bulls. Both big-cap US

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3 Comments on Making Do With Euphoria

Sinners And Saviors

February 28, 2024March 4, 2025

“I’m not asking you to play savior here. Just $500 to pay the electric bill

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12 Comments on Sinners And Saviors

Trump Completes GOP Conquest As Mitch McConnell Abdicates

February 28, 2024March 4, 2024

Mitch McConnell’s a lot of things, but naive isn’t one of them. And naive right

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3 Comments on Trump Completes GOP Conquest As Mitch McConnell Abdicates

‘Egregiously Expensive’ Stocks Shouldn’t Keep You Up At Night, Subramanian Says

February 28, 2024February 29, 2024

The S&P 500’s “egregiously expensive.” That’s the bad news. The good news is, you shouldn’t

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1 Comment on ‘Egregiously Expensive’ Stocks Shouldn’t Keep You Up At Night, Subramanian Says

No Rush

February 28, 2024February 29, 2024

As tipped here earlier this week and on several occasions last, Fed rate-cut pricing for

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7 Comments on No Rush

Spending Quicker, Inflation Warmer, US GDP Revisions Show

February 28, 2024February 29, 2024

Inflation was a little warmer, spending a little quicker and overall growth a little slower

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1 Comment on Spending Quicker, Inflation Warmer, US GDP Revisions Show

Marko And The Mortals, Revisited

February 27, 2024February 28, 2024

If you’ve been bearish (or “cautious” or “defensive”) in the face of a rally that’s

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4 Comments on Marko And The Mortals, Revisited

‘An Incredibly Surprising Result’

February 27, 2024February 27, 2024

I’ve been on (and on and on) about the extent to which windfall interest income

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Trump Mythos Renders Biden’s Economic Reality Meaningless

February 27, 2024March 27, 2024

Janet Yellen says Joe Biden saved the world. “Over the past year, global growth has

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13 Comments on Trump Mythos Renders Biden’s Economic Reality Meaningless

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • WMD on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks
  • Engineer on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • NY Jeff on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • carbpow on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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