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Featured

Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

September 22, 2026
  • WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026

Markets

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

After Attack On Ukraine Energy Infrastructure, Russia Issues Thinly Veiled Threat

March 22, 2024March 24, 2024

Russia’s “in a state of war,” according to Vladimir Putin’s long-time spokesman. No sh-t, you

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3 Comments on After Attack On Ukraine Energy Infrastructure, Russia Issues Thinly Veiled Threat

Cash For Stocks!

March 22, 2024March 24, 2024

One of the pressing questions headed into 2024 was this: What’ll become of the $6

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3 Comments on Cash For Stocks!

Leave The Stocks, Take The Gold

March 22, 2024

On the heels of a blockbuster inflow the prior week, US equity-focused ETFs and mutual

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The ‘DNA’ Of The ‘New Everything Bull’

March 22, 2024March 23, 2024

Global equities were on track for their best week of 2024 and it was no

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12 Comments on The ‘DNA’ Of The ‘New Everything Bull’

Money Market Funds Bleed $62 Billion

March 21, 2024

Money market funds hemorrhaged cash in the week to March 20, according to the latest

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SocGen’s Kabra Dethrones Subramanian As Wall Street’s Biggest Bull

March 21, 2024March 22, 2024

Move over, Savita. For nearly a month, BofA’s 5,400 year-end target for the S&P counted

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2 Comments on SocGen’s Kabra Dethrones Subramanian As Wall Street’s Biggest Bull

Albert Edwards Says Yield-Curve Control Inevitable For Western Central Banks

March 21, 2024March 22, 2024

Yield-curve control may be over in Japan, but it’s coming soon to a central bank

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11 Comments on Albert Edwards Says Yield-Curve Control Inevitable For Western Central Banks

Is America’s Housing Market Starting To Thaw?

March 21, 2024March 22, 2024

Don’t look now, but existing US home sales surged last month, according to data released

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1 Comment on Is America’s Housing Market Starting To Thaw?

US Economy Boasts Another Strong Quarter While France, Germany Struggle

March 21, 2024March 21, 2024

Survey data released on Thursday suggested private sector economic activity in the US held steady

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Global Dovish Pivot Takes Shape As SNB Cuts, BOE Hawks Give Up

March 21, 2024April 8, 2024

The SNB’s not waiting around. Switzerland became the first G10 country to cut rates in

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1 Comment on Global Dovish Pivot Takes Shape As SNB Cuts, BOE Hawks Give Up

A Word On Jay Powell’s ‘Failure’ To Arrest The Stock Rally

March 20, 2024March 20, 2024

Following his press conference on Wednesday afternoon, Jerome Powell caught some criticism from the peanut

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5 Comments on A Word On Jay Powell’s ‘Failure’ To Arrest The Stock Rally

Bumpy Road

March 20, 2024March 21, 2024

The Fed will almost surely cut rates “at some point this year,” Jerome Powell told

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6 Comments on Bumpy Road

Convoluted Fed SEP Tips Three 2024 Cuts, Higher Core Inflation, Higher Neutral

March 20, 2024April 8, 2024

The Fed kept rates on hold Wednesday. Obviously. I say “obviously,” but it’s worth recalling

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2 Comments on Convoluted Fed SEP Tips Three 2024 Cuts, Higher Core Inflation, Higher Neutral

Dodging Recessions, Ducking Molotovs

March 20, 2024March 21, 2024

Whatever the Fed suggests about the macro outlook at the March FOMC meeting, the US

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UK Inflation At 2 1/2 Year Low Sets Up Summer Rate Cut

March 20, 2024March 21, 2024

Rejoice: Inflation in the UK came in below estimates in key data released on Wednesday.

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Can Vol Stage A Comeback?

March 19, 2024March 19, 2024

They’re hedging downside again. A little bit anyway. For months, the options space was defined

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2 Comments on Can Vol Stage A Comeback?

Enjoying US Economic Exceptionalism? Thank Immigration

March 19, 2024April 8, 2024

This scarcely needs reiterating, but just in case: It’s tragically ironic that America, a nation

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14 Comments on Enjoying US Economic Exceptionalism? Thank Immigration

Why The Fed’s Dot Plot Update May Be A Red Herring

March 19, 2024

Is the obsession over the Fed’s dot plot refresh this week overdone? Yes. Surely. Because

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Kolanovic Warns On ‘Straight Line’ Risk Rally

March 19, 2024March 20, 2024

If you’re curious, JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic still harbors reservations about the risk-asset rally. “Global equities

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US Home Construction Rebounds Amid Builder Mood Inflection

March 19, 2024March 20, 2024

Tuesday brought good news on the housing supply front in the US, where a structural

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Risk Appetite Highest Since ‘Everything Bubble,’ Key Poll Shows

March 19, 2024March 20, 2024

One of 2024’s defining characteristics so far is a discernible similarity between the market environment

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1 Comment on Risk Appetite Highest Since ‘Everything Bubble,’ Key Poll Shows

History Made As Japan Hikes Rates, Drops YCC, Ends ETF-Buying

March 19, 2024April 8, 2024

Remember this day. March 19, 2024, will be enshrined in the annals of monetary policy

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Leave a Comment on History Made As Japan Hikes Rates, Drops YCC, Ends ETF-Buying

In Rates, An Eerie Calm?

March 18, 2024March 18, 2024

In the context of this week’s event risk, it’s worth taking a moment to highlight

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Trump Has A Fed Chair Shortlist

March 18, 2024March 19, 2024

Satire died an agonizing death during the Trump presidency. At least it was quick. Caricature

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8 Comments on Trump Has A Fed Chair Shortlist

Why One Bank No Longer Favors US Stocks Over European Shares

March 18, 2024

JPMorgan’s “neutralizing” US equities. I’ve never seen the action verb form of “neutral” used quite

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6 Comments on Why One Bank No Longer Favors US Stocks Over European Shares

Stock Bear Has Bonds On His Mind

March 18, 2024March 19, 2024

Mike Wilson’s an equities guy, but he has bonds on his mind this week. As

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1 Comment on Stock Bear Has Bonds On His Mind

US Builder Confidence Breaches Key Threshold In Still Distorted Market

March 18, 2024March 19, 2024

For the first time since a brutal three-month Treasury selloff drove mortgage rates near 8%,

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1 Comment on US Builder Confidence Breaches Key Threshold In Still Distorted Market

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • WMD on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks
  • Engineer on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • NY Jeff on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • carbpow on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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