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Category: stocks

Relatively Speaking

December 19, 2020December 19, 2020

It’s getting pretty stretched out there in equity land, notwithstanding stocks’ “relative” value versus bonds

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4 Comments on Relatively Speaking

Impact Of Tesla Inclusion On S&P Valuation Greatly Exaggerated, Goldman Says

December 17, 2020December 17, 2020

I think it’s fair to say that market participants are obsessed with Tesla index inclusion.

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6 Comments on Impact Of Tesla Inclusion On S&P Valuation Greatly Exaggerated, Goldman Says

Cash Is Trash For Hyper-Bullish Fund Managers

December 15, 2020December 15, 2020

Overall, the pile of “dry powder” parked in money market funds remains elevated, but a

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Goldman’s Solomon, CNBC Serve Up Ready-Made IPO Bubble Punchlines

December 15, 2020December 15, 2020

It’s not that the punchlines aren’t there. Rather, it’s that the punchlines are so obvious

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3 Comments on Goldman’s Solomon, CNBC Serve Up Ready-Made IPO Bubble Punchlines

A ‘Big Change’ In Hedging Focus. And Don’t Forget About Tesla

December 15, 2020December 15, 2020

Every box was checked. The worst-case, “science fiction” election outcome didn’t play out, even as

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1 Comment on A ‘Big Change’ In Hedging Focus. And Don’t Forget About Tesla

‘Making Adjustments’

December 14, 2020December 14, 2020

Stimulus progress and Brexit optimism weren’t enough to carry equities through the US session Monday,

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The Tragic Irony Of America’s ‘Too Big To Fail’ Stock Market

December 14, 2020December 15, 2020

Most of my days are spent digging around for interesting things to highlight, and in

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9 Comments on The Tragic Irony Of America’s ‘Too Big To Fail’ Stock Market

Front-Running Collective Irrationality

December 13, 2020

I have to tell you: What interests me isn’t always what “sells” for the financial

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9 Comments on Front-Running Collective Irrationality

Is Buyback Plunge Protection Poised For A 2021 Comeback?

December 11, 2020December 11, 2020

Last weekend, I talked a bit more about equity supply/demand dynamics. The overarching point was

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5 Comments on Is Buyback Plunge Protection Poised For A 2021 Comeback?

Bullish Catalysts And Volatility Suppressants For 2021

December 11, 2020December 12, 2020

Let’s talk bullish catalysts. Or, if you like, we can call them “factors with the

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2 Comments on Bullish Catalysts And Volatility Suppressants For 2021

Deal Busters Going Sideways

December 11, 2020December 11, 2020

Risk sentiment soured Friday as market participants weighed stalled stimulus talks in D.C. and the

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4 Comments on Deal Busters Going Sideways

Enjoy The Money

December 10, 2020December 11, 2020

Another day of convoluted stimulus headlines stateside found lawmakers striking what one Senate aide described

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8 Comments on Enjoy The Money

A Ticket To The S&P Party Costs American Workers More Sweat Than Ever

December 9, 2020December 9, 2020

Let’s say, for argument’s sake, that you have a job. First of all, congratulations! Because

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6 Comments on A Ticket To The S&P Party Costs American Workers More Sweat Than Ever

As Households Cling To Cash, Dalio Wonders: Why Not 50X Earnings For Stocks?

December 9, 2020December 9, 2020

While perusing a recent note from Goldman assessing the odds of an equity market pullback

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5 Comments on As Households Cling To Cash, Dalio Wonders: Why Not 50X Earnings For Stocks?

Stocks May See ‘Modest Pullback’ On ‘Extremely Stretched’ Positioning, Goldman Says

December 9, 2020

“Since the start of November, US equity mutual funds and ETFs have witnessed $52 billion

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3 Comments on Stocks May See ‘Modest Pullback’ On ‘Extremely Stretched’ Positioning, Goldman Says

Don’t Leave Town Without It

December 8, 2020December 9, 2020

More incrementally positive developments on the vaccine front bolstered risk sentiment in the US Tuesday

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3 Comments on Don’t Leave Town Without It

Nomura’s McElligott: ‘Right-Tail, Crash-Up’ Still Most Likely Scenario Despite ‘Scary’ Sentiment Overshoot

December 8, 2020December 8, 2020

The ongoing compression of realized volatility into a rally that saw US equities push to

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JPMorgan On 2018 Melt-Up Parallel: ‘Any Near-Term Equity Correction Is Buying Opportunity’

December 7, 2020

More than a few analysts and investors have identified what they believe is a parallel

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5 Comments on JPMorgan On 2018 Melt-Up Parallel: ‘Any Near-Term Equity Correction Is Buying Opportunity’

Goldman Sees Big Disconnect In Market Pricing For Dividends

December 6, 2020December 6, 2020

Goldman thinks the market might be too pessimistic on the outlook for dividends. Obviously, the

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3 Comments on Goldman Sees Big Disconnect In Market Pricing For Dividends

For The First Time In A Decade, The US Stock Market Is Expanding

December 5, 2020December 5, 2020

From April on, the pandemic forced Wall Street analysts to toss out the playbook on

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2 Comments on For The First Time In A Decade, The US Stock Market Is Expanding

Benchmarks & The 2018 Melt-Up Parallel

December 5, 2020December 5, 2020

“The bullishness is rampant,” David Rosenberg, who’s always good for a quote or two or

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9 Comments on Benchmarks & The 2018 Melt-Up Parallel

The Process

December 4, 2020December 5, 2020

Bad news was good news Friday. Or at least that’s one interpretation of the price

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7 Comments on The Process

Emerging Market Optimism Runs Rampant As Stocks, Inflows Surge

December 4, 2020

Optimism around the prospects for emerging markets is building. Developing nation assets have lots of

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1 Comment on Emerging Market Optimism Runs Rampant As Stocks, Inflows Surge

Nomura’s McElligott: Barring Too Much ‘YOLO,’ It’ll Be Hard To Get A ‘Real’ Selloff In The Near-Term

December 3, 2020December 3, 2020

Between rising yields, record coronavirus fatalities in the US, and the prospect of a double-dip

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Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson Thinks ‘Little Bit Overvalued’ Stocks May Correct

December 3, 2020December 3, 2020

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson, who’s generally bullish on equities headed into 2021, says stocks may

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Sell The Best News In Modern History?

December 2, 2020December 2, 2020

There was some market chatter on Wednesday around the notion that vaccine approval and distribution

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3 Comments on Sell The Best News In Modern History?

It’s Urgent

December 1, 2020December 1, 2020

“It’s essential that we move with urgency — inaction will produce a self-reinforcing downturn causing

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7 Comments on It’s Urgent

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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