The Fed still sees another hike in 2017, perhaps proving that they are in fact leaning in the direction of looking through subdued inflation in the interest of safeguarding financial stability.Â
Category: S&P 500
Two Hundred And Seventeen Years.
Wouldn’t it be super-fun if someone looked at bonds and equities from 15 DM countries going back 217 years and then made an equally weighted index to find out how expensive things really are versus history?Â
‘Run, Forrest. Run.’
“… the bears could catch up into year-end.”
Apocalypse Now (Again).
Well for those who had their doom bunkers all prepped and ready, there’s “good” news on Tuesday – the apocalypse is back on.
Hey! What’s With All This Hedging?
The takeaway: if you’re long and unhedged, one of two things must be true. Either you know something everyone else doesn’t or the other way around.Â
What’s The Most Expensive Asset This Week?
Paging 2 Chainz…
‘When Markets Look At The Blue Sky With Sunglasses’
“We believe it is the right time, when markets look at the blue sky with sunglasses and when the trend and carry is your friend, to recommend downgrading risk assets.”
Watching Paint Dry. Illogically.
As one reader put it earlier today, “is just being open for trading” a good enough reason for stocks to rally?Â
Behold: Another ‘What Could Go Wrong?’ Scenario…
Oh good! Another “what could go wrong” moment.
‘You Are Here.’ Questions?
The thing about being irrational is that it’s always better to just admit that’s what you’re doing up front and then quickly double down by exclaiming that you plan to keep being irrational right up to and until being irrational stops being profitable.
‘If You Invest Now’ There Is A One Third Chance You Will Lose 20% Within 2 Years
What does history say?
How To Trade The Fed’s Big Announcement And Why There Won’t Be A ‘Tantrum’
Given the well-choreographed and gradual adjustment, we expect that asset markets will avoid another ‘taper tantrum.'”
Gasp: Companies Are Spending Less On Stocks!
That’s ok, maybe we can just send a nice letter to the SNB and/or Norway’s sovereign wealth fund and politely ask them to fill the void.
North Korea Fires Missile Over Japan, S&P Futs Fall, Yen Rises
Ok, well there goes Friday…
Them’s Fightin’ Words.
There’s tension in the air.
One Bank’s ‘Famous 5’ Bear Market Indicators Are Flashing Yellow
But let’s say, for argument’s sake, that you’re interested in predicting this ahead of time rather than simply waiting to confirm once stocks are down 6%. Because you know, if you’re leveraged or sitting on a bunch of retail WMDs like short VIX products, you won’t be solvent by the time you know for sure that things have actually turned and that the dip wasn’t bought by anyone but you.
Goldman: A Bear Market Is Coming And Here’s How To Avoid Losing 25%
“The key is to avoid the next 20-25% of declines that typically follow the initial period of volatility.”
S&P Futures Under Pressure As North Korea Has ICBM All Gassed Up And Ready
Ok, well just hours after North Korea threatened to “sink” Japan with “the nuclear bomb of Juche,” reports suggest Pyongyang is readying another missile launch.
Citing an unnamed Japanese official, Nikkei news says a missile is being prepared for launch and has the engine for liquid fuel, suggesting it’s an ICBM.
Chart: This Is Now The 3rd Strongest Bull Market In History
Something about “the bigger they are”… I forgot the rest. I think it’s: “the bigger they are, the more aggressively you buy any dips.”
You Should Have Just Gone To The Bar.
Generally speaking, this week’s theme (reflation back on in the U.S. as stocks, the dollar, and yields all rise in tandem) held, as there was no news “bigly” enough to change the narrative.
Just Make Sure You’re Hedged.
You’d probably be wise to do the same.
Fund Managers Add Tail Risk Hedges At Fastest Pace In 14 Months
As stocks advance to new record highs amid an ongoing, two-day sigh of relief tied to the fact that the world didn’t end over the weekend, it’s worth noting that there are signs of investor caution despite what the benchmarks are screaming at you.Â
Make Risk Great Again.
Now stay tuned to find out if Kim bought some VXX today on the cheap so he can fire off an ICBM this evening and make a few million to put towards his next H-bomb.
Even ‘Street Urchins’ Understand How To Trade This Market – So Why Don’t You?
“It’s true that one day it won’t work. But if you’ve cashed in on the previous one-hundred times it happened you can afford it. Thomas Bayes told you so–as would most street urchins.”
Why JPMorgan Thinks You Should Just BTFD
“Admittedly, North Korea remains a wild card, but we now believe that one should use any weakness as a buying opportunity.”
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