S&P 500

One Bank’s ‘Famous 5’ Bear Market Indicators Are Flashing Yellow

But let's say, for argument's sake, that you're interested in predicting this ahead of time rather than simply waiting to confirm once stocks are down 6%. Because you know, if you're leveraged or sitting on a bunch of retail WMDs like short VIX products, you won't be solvent by the time you know for sure that things have actually turned and that the dip wasn't bought by anyone but you.

But let's say, for argument's sake, that you're interested in predicting this ahead of time rather than simply waiting to confirm once stocks are down 6%. Because you know, if you're leveraged or sitting on a bunch of retail WMDs like short VIX products, you won't be solvent by the time you know for sure that things have actually turned and that the dip wasn't bought by anyone but you.
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2 comments on “One Bank’s ‘Famous 5’ Bear Market Indicators Are Flashing Yellow

  1. OR
    they big traders or bond traders decide that the risk is not worth the reward looking forward.
    i am not a big trader but the risk seem to me to be exceptionally high at this point.
    good luck all.
    sb

  2. So, now the inflation risk indicator went off 4 months later.

    Perhaps I overreacted going from 50% equitiies to 25% to get to 25% gold/silver, 25% cash, 25% equities, 25% bonds.

    After all this time being in-the-market. Not sure what being out-of-the-market really looks like.

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