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Category: Markets

Until The Jobs Are Done

April 30, 2023May 1, 2023

For the second time in as many policy meetings, the Fed will hike rates in

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4 Comments on Until The Jobs Are Done

What Could Go Right And What Could Go Wrong

April 29, 2023May 1, 2023

“Recession is a key downside risk,” Goldman’s David Kostin mused, in his latest note. It’s

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1 Comment on What Could Go Right And What Could Go Wrong

What Recession? Where’s The Selloff? A ‘Patient Bear’ Answers

April 28, 2023April 30, 2023

Two things you can count on in addition to death and taxes are investor complacency

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8 Comments on What Recession? Where’s The Selloff? A ‘Patient Bear’ Answers

Key Takeaways From Michael Barr’s ‘Unflinching’ SVB Review

April 28, 2023July 24, 2023

On Friday, Michael Barr released the Fed’s internal review of its supervision and regulation of

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2 Comments on Key Takeaways From Michael Barr’s ‘Unflinching’ SVB Review

Amazon Beats Across The Board, But AWS Comments Spook Markets

April 27, 2023April 28, 2023

Amazon delivered solid quarterly results on Thursday afternoon in the US, joining mega-cap peers Microsoft,

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6 Comments on Amazon Beats Across The Board, But AWS Comments Spook Markets

Meta Beats, Delivers Impressive Guide As Mega-Tech Defies Gloom

April 26, 2023April 27, 2023

Meta returned to top-line growth in Q1, results released after the bell on Wednesday showed.

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1 Comment on Meta Beats, Delivers Impressive Guide As Mega-Tech Defies Gloom

‘Things Have Changed’: Quants Could Sell $276 Billion In ‘Down Big’ Tape

April 26, 2023July 24, 2023

The systematic crowd has done all it can. The burden of sustaining the equity rally

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5 Comments on ‘Things Have Changed’: Quants Could Sell $276 Billion In ‘Down Big’ Tape

Microsoft, Alphabet Top Forecasts With Cloud, AI In Focus

April 25, 2023April 26, 2023

Both Microsoft and Alphabet remain going concerns, according to the first of this season’s quarterly

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3 Comments on Microsoft, Alphabet Top Forecasts With Cloud, AI In Focus

Kolanovic, McElligott Weigh In On Collapsed Stock Volatility

April 24, 2023July 24, 2023

The market is “dominated by option sellers.” That’s according to JPMorgan analysts led by Marko

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2 Comments on Kolanovic, McElligott Weigh In On Collapsed Stock Volatility

Are Good Earnings Bad News In 2023?

April 24, 2023April 25, 2023

Do we even want a good reporting season from corporate America? Arguably not. Or at

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Misplaced Optimism, False Fed Optic, Liquidity Blamed For Sturdy Stocks

April 24, 2023April 25, 2023

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson still thinks earnings estimates are too optimistic. He’s also convinced that equities

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1 Comment on Misplaced Optimism, False Fed Optic, Liquidity Blamed For Sturdy Stocks

Credit Suisse Had A Bad Quarter

April 24, 2023April 25, 2023

Credit Suisse released Q1 results on Monday. They weren’t great. I suppose you could say

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Understanding The Valuation-Rates-Macro Nexus

April 23, 2023April 24, 2023

If last year’s cross-asset malaise taught us anything, it’s that no correlation, no matter how

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4 Comments on Understanding The Valuation-Rates-Macro Nexus

Another De-Dollarization Reality Check

April 22, 2023April 24, 2023

It’s not just your imagination, even if the narrative is (mostly) imaginary: De-dollarization is a

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9 Comments on Another De-Dollarization Reality Check

Money Market Assets Dive, Fed Backstop Usage Rises Amid Tax Distortions

April 20, 2023April 21, 2023

US money market fund assets plunged by almost $70 billion over the weekly reporting period

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6 Comments on Money Market Assets Dive, Fed Backstop Usage Rises Amid Tax Distortions

Musk’s Margins

April 19, 2023April 20, 2023

You wouldn’t know it from all the times I criticized him last year, but I

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9 Comments on Musk’s Margins

What’s The Fed Thinking? Ask ChatGPT

April 19, 2023April 20, 2023

Notwithstanding terrifying warnings+ about “nonhuman minds that might eventually outnumber, outsmart, obsolete and replace us,”

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4 Comments on What’s The Fed Thinking? Ask ChatGPT

Morgan Stanley Posts Solid Results, But Provisions Surge

April 19, 2023April 20, 2023

Morgan Stanley rounded out big US bank earnings Wednesday with a solid set of numbers

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1 Comment on Morgan Stanley Posts Solid Results, But Provisions Surge

Rising Recession Odds Bring Out The Bond Bulls

April 18, 2023April 19, 2023

I’ll say one thing for Hoisington’s quarterly letters: They’re efficient. The firm, which is synonymous

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6 Comments on Rising Recession Odds Bring Out The Bond Bulls

Untidy Goldman Results Suggest Solomon’s Pivot Still Work In Progress

April 18, 2023April 30, 2023

I think it’s fair to suggest that some observers believe Goldman has lost its way

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3 Comments on Untidy Goldman Results Suggest Solomon’s Pivot Still Work In Progress

BofA Bolstered By Blockbuster FICC Haul, Solid NII

April 18, 2023April 19, 2023

Last week’s big bank results suggested America’s largest financial institutions fared well in the first

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Kolanovic: Market Risk-Reward ‘Heavily Favors Cash’

April 17, 2023April 18, 2023

“Markets often bottom before the end of a recession, but not before the beginning of

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3 Comments on Kolanovic: Market Risk-Reward ‘Heavily Favors Cash’

The Bullfighter

April 17, 2023April 30, 2023

Equities have proven remarkably resilient in the face of recent banking sector tumult and amid

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1 Comment on The Bullfighter

The Simple Dynamic Most Investors Miss

April 17, 2023April 17, 2023

Too many investors are missing a very simple, but very important, dynamic at the heart

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1 Comment on The Simple Dynamic Most Investors Miss

Among The Giants

April 14, 2023April 16, 2023

Bigger is better when you’re a bank. Big banks might contest that assertion depending on

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JPMorgan, Dimon Pass Earnings Test With Flying Colors

April 14, 2023April 30, 2023

JPMorgan kicked off big bank earnings with a very solid set of results, particularly under

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2 Comments on JPMorgan, Dimon Pass Earnings Test With Flying Colors

Money Market Fund Assets Swell, Approach $5.3 Trillion

April 13, 2023April 14, 2023

Surprise! Money market funds attracted another $30 billion over the latest weekly reporting period, data

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4 Comments on Money Market Fund Assets Swell, Approach $5.3 Trillion

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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