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Category: Markets

Fortune And Glory

June 24, 2023June 26, 2023

US equities are expensive, and the “Magnificent 7” even more so. Those observations are hopelessly

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6 Comments on Fortune And Glory

Did Bulls Just Lose Their Best Friend?

June 23, 2023June 25, 2023

Positioning isn’t necessarily your friend anymore if you’re a bull. Equities benefited immensely in May

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7 Comments on Did Bulls Just Lose Their Best Friend?

‘PMs Should Consider Hedging,’ Goldman Says, Amid Signs Of Exuberance

June 22, 2023July 2, 2023

Two weeks ago, Goldman’s David Kostin raised his price target for the S&P to 4,500

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3 Comments on ‘PMs Should Consider Hedging,’ Goldman Says, Amid Signs Of Exuberance

Menaced By Intractable Inflation, Bank Of England Escalates

June 22, 2023June 23, 2023

On the heels of another disastrous inflation report, the Bank of England reescalated its hiking

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1 Comment on Menaced By Intractable Inflation, Bank Of England Escalates

2000 Here We Come?

June 21, 2023June 22, 2023

“This is a very low probability event.” So said SocGen’s Manish Kabra of a prospective

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4 Comments on 2000 Here We Come?

Bearish. Ceteris Paribus, Of Course

June 20, 2023July 2, 2023

Even if Treasury’s cash rebuild ends up funded primarily through RRP transformation, the liquidity backdrop

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4 Comments on Bearish. Ceteris Paribus, Of Course

‘Outright Bullish’ Investors May Get ‘Rude Awakening,’ Bear Warns

June 20, 2023June 21, 2023

“Investor sentiment and positioning has turned 180 degrees,” Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson said Tuesday, as

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1 Comment on ‘Outright Bullish’ Investors May Get ‘Rude Awakening,’ Bear Warns

Markets Want Adrenaline Shot For China. Now

June 20, 2023June 21, 2023

Dribs and drabs. The PBoC is easing in dribs and drabs. Once China cut rates

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Leave a Comment on Markets Want Adrenaline Shot For China. Now

Who’s Buying The Next Round?

June 19, 2023June 20, 2023

I’ve suggested again and again over the past week or two that the fate of

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Why Markets Doubt The Fed’s Hawkish Posturing

June 17, 2023June 19, 2023

The market doubts seriously the notion that the Fed will be willing and able to

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2 Comments on Why Markets Doubt The Fed’s Hawkish Posturing

Why The Bears Were Wrong

June 16, 2023July 2, 2023

Why were the bears wrong on equities (and particularly on US equities) during the first

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7 Comments on Why The Bears Were Wrong

Laughing In The Face Of Danger

June 16, 2023June 17, 2023

More than $22 billion flowed into global stock funds over the latest weekly reporting period,

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4 Comments on Laughing In The Face Of Danger

ECB Not Considering Pause, Lagarde Says, After June Hike

June 15, 2023June 16, 2023

Inflation has been “coming down” in Europe. That’s the good news. The bad news: It’s

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Dotting The I

June 14, 2023June 15, 2023

“We didn’t make a decision about July. Of course it came up from time to

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4 Comments on Dotting The I

Aggressively Hawkish Dots Should Overshadow Fed Pause

June 14, 2023July 2, 2023

The Fed on Wednesday pressed the pause button on the most aggressive rate-hiking campaign in

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2 Comments on Aggressively Hawkish Dots Should Overshadow Fed Pause

Fed Confronts Cash-Fueled Stock Melt-Up

June 13, 2023June 14, 2023

“Cash is seemingly burning a hole in the pocket of investors again,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott

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7 Comments on Fed Confronts Cash-Fueled Stock Melt-Up

What $700 Billion Sees For Rates, Inflation And The Economy

June 13, 2023June 14, 2023

Fund managers expect a soft landing. They also expect a recession. If that seems contradictory

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3 Comments on What $700 Billion Sees For Rates, Inflation And The Economy

Kolanovic Stays Bearish. Recession Likely Needed To Tame Inflation

June 12, 2023June 13, 2023

It’ll probably take a recession to restore price stability. That’s according to JPMorgan analysts led

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Leave a Comment on Kolanovic Stays Bearish. Recession Likely Needed To Tame Inflation

Melt-Ups, Crash-Ups And Vol Bleeders

June 12, 2023June 13, 2023

The rebuilding of positioning across broad equities amid the S&P’s trek into bull market territory

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‘The Bear Market Is Still Alive,’ Wilson Says

June 12, 2023June 19, 2023

Not everyone is on board with the idea that the bear market in US equities

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1 Comment on ‘The Bear Market Is Still Alive,’ Wilson Says

What To Expect From The June FOMC Meeting

June 11, 2023June 14, 2023

Barring a large upside surprise in CPI figures due Tuesday, the Fed will likely pause

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8 Comments on What To Expect From The June FOMC Meeting

Was The Bull Market Over Before It Started?

June 10, 2023June 12, 2023

One, but certainly not the only, criticism of the newly-minted “bull market” in US equities

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1 Comment on Was The Bull Market Over Before It Started?

Goldman Raises S&P Target As US Stocks Cling To Bull Market

June 10, 2023June 19, 2023

Goldman’s David Kostin has seen enough. With the S&P in an ostensible bull market amid

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7 Comments on Goldman Raises S&P Target As US Stocks Cling To Bull Market

‘Officially Over’: Subramanian Calls Time On Bear Market

June 9, 2023June 11, 2023

“The bear market is officially over.” So said BofA’s Savita Subramanian on Friday, in a

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4 Comments on ‘Officially Over’: Subramanian Calls Time On Bear Market

Bubbly Bulls, Boring Bears And ‘Blah, Blah, Blah’

June 9, 2023June 11, 2023

“Blah, blah, blah.” That’s how BofA’s Michael Hartnett described the bear case for equities with

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5 Comments on Bubbly Bulls, Boring Bears And ‘Blah, Blah, Blah’

Erdogan Settles On Ex-First Republic Exec For Central Bank Job

June 9, 2023June 10, 2023

Recep Tayyip Erdogan has a new central bank chief. If nothing else, Hafize Gaye Erkan

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1 Comment on Erdogan Settles On Ex-First Republic Exec For Central Bank Job

Don’t Forget This Week

June 8, 2023June 19, 2023

If you take anything away from this week’s market developments, let it be this: Central

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2 Comments on Don’t Forget This Week

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Hell Or High Fashion

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