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Category: Markets

Popular Strategist Would Short ‘En Fuego’ Risk Assets Later This Summer

July 14, 2023July 16, 2023

“Risk assets en fuego as Goldilocks schools us bears,” wrote BofA’s Michael Hartnett, in the

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5 Comments on Popular Strategist Would Short ‘En Fuego’ Risk Assets Later This Summer

Things Are Going Fine At JPMorgan. If You Were Wondering.

July 14, 2023July 15, 2023

The American consumer is still spending, “albeit a little more slowly,” Jamie Dimon said Friday,

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1 Comment on Things Are Going Fine At JPMorgan. If You Were Wondering.

Powell Gets Rally Fed May Live To Regret

July 13, 2023July 24, 2023

In the wake of a very encouraging US CPI report, I suggested the Fed may

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4 Comments on Powell Gets Rally Fed May Live To Regret

As Dollar Plunges, Fed May Fear November Redux

July 12, 2023July 13, 2023

Needless to say, Wednesday’s US inflation figures pulled the rug out for the dollar. This

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5 Comments on As Dollar Plunges, Fed May Fear November Redux

Make Or Break Something

July 12, 2023July 13, 2023

Earlier this week, Wall Street’s most prominent bear suggested the recent spike in bond volatility

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2 Comments on Make Or Break Something

JPMorgan ‘Firmly Negative’ On Stocks Amid ‘Full-Swing FOMO’

July 11, 2023July 24, 2023

“We retain a firmly negative stance in equities.” So said JPMorgan analysts led by Marko

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8 Comments on JPMorgan ‘Firmly Negative’ On Stocks Amid ‘Full-Swing FOMO’

A Very ‘Significant Development’

July 10, 2023July 12, 2023

Last week, in “Too Hot,” I insisted on the idea that the trek higher for

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1 Comment on A Very ‘Significant Development’

Mike Wilson Asks: ‘Do Earnings Matter?’

July 10, 2023July 11, 2023

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson has a question. Maybe you can answer it. “Do earnings matter?”

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1 Comment on Mike Wilson Asks: ‘Do Earnings Matter?’

As Bad As It Gets? What To Expect From Earnings Season

July 8, 2023July 10, 2023

Reporting season is upon us in the US and according to consensus, Q2 was the

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1 Comment on As Bad As It Gets? What To Expect From Earnings Season

As ChatGPT Traffic Falls, A.I. ‘Baby Bubble’ Gets First Test

July 7, 2023July 24, 2023

The “novelty wore off.” That’s how Similarweb described the first drop in global traffic to

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15 Comments on As ChatGPT Traffic Falls, A.I. ‘Baby Bubble’ Gets First Test

Albert Edwards ‘Not Wavering Now’ On Recession Call

July 7, 2023July 9, 2023

The problem with being “early” on recession calls (the same goes for forecasting equity selloffs)

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Markets May Face Tougher Inflation Fight, New Rate Shock In Q3

July 7, 2023July 8, 2023

One impetus for this year’s equity gains is obviously falling headline inflation, and not just

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1 Comment on Markets May Face Tougher Inflation Fight, New Rate Shock In Q3

Too Hot

July 6, 2023July 7, 2023

It’s hot. Too hot. Both here, on the island where I reside, and also across

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3 Comments on Too Hot

Irrational Rationality

July 5, 2023July 24, 2023

It’s tempting to go ahead and call it: The second half of 2023 surely won’t

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2 Comments on Irrational Rationality

Bears Bearing Bear Cases

July 5, 2023July 6, 2023

Playing catch-up to an equity market that’s running away from you can end poorly. With

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1 Comment on Bears Bearing Bear Cases

The Bill Dudley, Morgan Stanley Treasury Row

July 4, 2023July 5, 2023

Last year was bad for bonds. In fact, we can call 2022 anomalously poor. If

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‘Investors’

July 3, 2023July 24, 2023

“Investors,” we were told Monday, are curbing their outlook for equities following an “unexpectedly” buoyant

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8 Comments on ‘Investors’

All Tech? Sure. All A.I.? Perhaps Not.

July 3, 2023July 5, 2023

The concentrated market narrative continues to resonate. Although I’ve endeavored to emphasize that a narrow

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Leave a Comment on All Tech? Sure. All A.I.? Perhaps Not.

2023 In 500 Words

July 2, 2023July 24, 2023

Many investors (I dare say a preponderance or at least a plurality assuming the existence

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Xi Shuffles PBoC Functionaries As Yuan Slides, Stocks Struggle

July 2, 2023July 3, 2023

Yi Gang is a lame duck. China this weekend named SAFE frontman and “three red

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3 Comments on Xi Shuffles PBoC Functionaries As Yuan Slides, Stocks Struggle

Fear The Narrow Tech Bull?

July 1, 2023July 3, 2023

We tend to get bent out of shape and otherwise pretend it’s an affront to

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1 Comment on Fear The Narrow Tech Bull?

James Bond Geopolitics Fail To Stir Somnolent Summer Market

June 29, 2023June 30, 2023

It feels like there’s a lot going on these days. In part, that’s because there

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3 Comments on James Bond Geopolitics Fail To Stir Somnolent Summer Market

Retail Investor Euphoria May Be Fading

June 29, 2023June 30, 2023

Some of the retail euphoria which helped push US equities into bull market territory may

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Leave a Comment on Retail Investor Euphoria May Be Fading

The Paradoxical Legacy Of 2023’s US Banking Crisis

June 28, 2023July 24, 2023

Was America’s regional banking crisis a tempest in a teapot? (And yes, the Jamie Dimon

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1 Comment on The Paradoxical Legacy Of 2023’s US Banking Crisis

Markets Increasingly Disconnected From Macro On Soft Landing Odds

June 27, 2023June 28, 2023

Equities are increasingly priced for a soft landing. You can look at that one of

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5 Comments on Markets Increasingly Disconnected From Macro On Soft Landing Odds

Mike Wilson Will Make Bears Of You Yet

June 26, 2023July 24, 2023

There’s a “vigorous debate” going on right now around the outlook for equities, and particularly

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5 Comments on Mike Wilson Will Make Bears Of You Yet

Kolanovic, JPMorgan See Stormy Seas For Frothy Equity Market

June 25, 2023June 27, 2023

Rally skeptics abound as the second half of what already counts as another extraordinary year

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9 Comments on Kolanovic, JPMorgan See Stormy Seas For Frothy Equity Market

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