What have we learned over the past week or two or four? For one thing,
Category: Markets
The Yen Has An Oil Problem
“Who knows better about surprise than Japan?” Donald Trump joked, while hosting his “friend” Sanae
All Hail ‘The New 60/40’
It’s all about “the new 60/40.” A few days ago, I cited Nomura’s Charlie McElligott
Apple Beats, Raises Dividend, Boosts Buybacks
Apple beat on both the top and bottom lines in its first earnings report since
Iran War Puts BoE, ECB Back On The Hot Seat
Both the ECB and the BoE held rates steady Thursday, as expected, with policymakers at
Powell To Stay On Fed Board Indefinitely In Rebuke To Trump
Must-watch television. Jerome Powell on Wednesday hosted his final press conference as Fed chair following
$12 Trillion In Market Cap Just Reported…
Nearly $12 trillion in market cap reported earnings in the space of just a couple
Is OpenAI’s Reported Sales Miss A Canary?
Nobody panic. It’s not as if the accuracy of Sam Altman’s back-of-the-envelope revenue projections is
Semi ‘Mania’ Triggers Familiar Warnings
A corollary of the wild surge in semiconductor stocks is an equally enthusiastic bull market
‘The New Oil’
Semis are the “new oil.” That’s according to a PM who spoke last week to
The Melt-Up, The Ugly Truth And The New 60/40
Did you miss the equity melt-up? And are you worried that getting in now is
What To Expect From Powell’s Fed Chair Swan Song
This week may be the last time we hear from Jerome Powell as Chair of
Weekly: Semi-Automatic
The last time the SOX rose 40% in a month, Bill Clinton was president and
Cash On The Barrel
It’s still early (sort of), but 2026 is shaping up to be a helluva year
Dollar Doomsday 2026?
The dollar doomsday narrative’s not difficult to write. After years of practice, it’s an exercise
The World’s Always Ending Somewhere
Equities have decided the Strait of Hormuz doesn’t need to be open. Or, more precisely,
Warsh Makes His Case: ‘I’m Not A Sock Puppet’
Kevin Warsh is no one’s “sock puppet.” That’s according to the man himself, who on
New Stock Records Are Justified. But Don’t Read The Fine Print
Remember: Geopolitical conflict only matters for equities if investors — as distinct from traders —
Trading ‘Crazy’
One of — perhaps the highest — hurdle to successfully trading Donald Trump’s policy machinations
Strait Down, Strait Up
Remember when Iran was going to keep the Strait of Hormuz closed indefinitely? No? Me
Albert Edwards Is Doubly Bearish
Albert Edwards is bearish. On stocks, of course. But on bonds too. His dour outlook
Meanwhile, Under The Hood…
Modern market structure isn’t something a lot of investors, or even traders, truly understand, and
The Buyers Were Higher
Don’t say it wasn’t predictable. Because it damn sure was. No, this isn’t another “I
Wall Street’s War Windfall
Volatility can be a good thing if you’re in the business of providing liquidity, making
BofA Says Did Pretty Swell Last Quarter
It was a banner quarter for BofA’s stock traders. Like their counterparts at Goldman, Brian
Like It Never Happened. (Death And Destruction Aside.)
“I think it’s close to over, yeah.” So said Donald Trump while chatting about the
Iran War Blows Up Professional Investor Sentiment
Donald Trump’s war with Iran triggered a surge in a survey measure of professional investors’
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