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Category: Markets

Jay Powell’s ‘Good Place’ Monetary Policy Sets Up Election Year Clash With White House

November 12, 2019

“Others are running circles around them and laughing all the way to the bank”.

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2 Comments on Jay Powell’s ‘Good Place’ Monetary Policy Sets Up Election Year Clash With White House

‘The Bulls Are Back’: FOMO Takes Center Stage In Fund Manager Survey As Yield Forecasts Ratcheted Higher

November 12, 2019November 12, 2019

“Marking to misery” gives way to “waves of optimism”.

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Ignore That Recession. German Investor Confidence Hits Six-Month High Amid Best DAX Rally In 18 Months

November 12, 2019

“Growing hope”.

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Goldman: ‘The Market Is Moving From TINA To FOMO’

November 11, 2019November 12, 2019

“All-in” on a trade deal and the burgeoning pro-risk rotation?

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2 Comments on Goldman: ‘The Market Is Moving From TINA To FOMO’

Trump To Punt Again On EU Car Tariffs As Time Still Not Right To ‘Rid Fifth Avenue of Mercedes’

November 11, 2019November 11, 2019

“The person… cautioned there is always uncertainty” around Trump and tariffs.

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In Stark Reversal, Popular Treasury ETF Hemorrhaged Record $1.2 Billion During Bond Rout

November 11, 2019November 11, 2019

At the risk of beating a dead horse…

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To Believe In The Rotation Or Not To Believe…

November 11, 2019November 23, 2019

…that is the question.

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JPM’s Kolanovic, Deutsche Bank’s Sparks Don’t See Rising Yields As A Threat To Stocks – Yet

November 11, 2019

“The recent sell-off appears far too small to have material and persistent deleterious effects on equity”.

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1 Comment on JPM’s Kolanovic, Deutsche Bank’s Sparks Don’t See Rising Yields As A Threat To Stocks – Yet

China’s Credit Growth Collapses

November 11, 2019November 11, 2019

The engine of global growth and credit creation is stalling.

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With All Eyes On Bonds, Trump, Powell Will Both Speak On The Economy This Week

November 10, 2019November 10, 2019

“He believes the United States will go on to exceed even its remarkable achievements of the past”.

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As Recession Worries Recede, Investors Jump At Chance To Fret About 2020 Election

November 10, 2019

79% are some shade of worried.

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Earnings Season Shows Corporate America Just Refuses To Roll Over

November 9, 2019November 9, 2019

With nearly 90% of companies reporting, earnings season was better than feared.

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One-Percenters Now Control As Much Wealth As Middle-, Upper-Middle Classes Combined

November 9, 2019November 10, 2019

The benefits of this don’t accrue linearly, but rather exponentially.

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PBoC Policy Headache Gets Worse As China’s Inflation Soars To Seven-Year High

November 9, 2019

A bad mix.

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‘2019 Has Been A Rollercoaster’: Duration ‘Round Trip’ Now Complete, Risk Is Trade Deal Falls Through

November 8, 2019November 9, 2019

This may mean that the market has become too comfortable with the trade outlook.

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Marko Kolanovic On ‘Groupthink’, Crowding And Why The Rotation Will Continue

November 8, 2019November 23, 2019

“Two strategies that in theory should have little to do with each other” have been “nearly 100% correlated” recently.

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2 Comments on Marko Kolanovic On ‘Groupthink’, Crowding And Why The Rotation Will Continue

China Responds: Phase One Deal Without Tariff Rollbacks Is Nonstarter

November 8, 2019

“What’s certain is that”…

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Spare A Thought For Gold. This Was A Terrible Week

November 8, 2019

Yellow doorstops are in the dumpster amid an otherwise stellar 2019.

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‘Yellow Brick Road’ Or ‘Rabbit Hole’? Bonds In ‘No Man’s Land’

November 7, 2019November 8, 2019

So, which is it going to be?

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1 Comment on ‘Yellow Brick Road’ Or ‘Rabbit Hole’? Bonds In ‘No Man’s Land’

3-Sigma Bond Rout Sees Yields Erase August Plunge, While Front-End Prices Out Trump’s Rate Cut Hopes

November 7, 2019November 7, 2019

Rampant optimism is now reinforcing the Fed’s message that rate cuts are done.

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1 Comment on 3-Sigma Bond Rout Sees Yields Erase August Plunge, While Front-End Prices Out Trump’s Rate Cut Hopes

Stocks Are Levitating, But Nomura’s McElligott Says Backtest Shows Potential For Pullback Amid Options ‘Extremes’

November 7, 2019November 7, 2019

The longer we linger ‘up here’…

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Split BOE Decision Wrong-Foots Markets, 2020 Rate Cut Now Seen Likely

November 7, 2019November 7, 2019

“They’re closer to cutting rates than we think”.

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Tariff Rollbacks Imminent, China Says. US Confirms

November 7, 2019November 7, 2019

It would be the first time the Trump administration has removed duties since the beginning of the trade war.

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Happy Times And ‘Manna From The Printing Press Heaven’

November 6, 2019November 6, 2019

“The wealth effect on global plutonomists will be massive”.

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US-China ‘Phase One’ Deal Seen Delayed, Could Be Signed In Famous US Farm State Switzerland

November 6, 2019November 6, 2019

Who’s surprised?

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‘A Weak Start To Q4’: JPMorgan Global PMI Prints Lowest Since February 2016, Employment Dives Into Contraction

November 6, 2019

“…the pace of job losses at manufacturers was the joint-fastest for over a decade”.

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1 Comment on ‘A Weak Start To Q4’: JPMorgan Global PMI Prints Lowest Since February 2016, Employment Dives Into Contraction

Armageddon Scenarios, Willful Ignorance And ‘Bond Risk Everywhere’

November 5, 2019November 6, 2019

What could go wrong?

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