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Category: Markets

Yes, The S&P 500 Is Exposed To Liquidity Risk

November 19, 2019November 19, 2019

And passive investing plays a role.

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2 Comments on Yes, The S&P 500 Is Exposed To Liquidity Risk

Markets Get Clearest Picture Yet Of Tariff Relief Plan – And It’s Still Pretty Darn Murky

November 19, 2019November 19, 2019

It’s still wholly convoluted.

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‘What If Yields Rose By 100bp?’ Questions Linger Around Bursting Of Bond Beta Bubble

November 19, 2019November 23, 2019

How dramatic would the unwind be?

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1 Comment on ‘What If Yields Rose By 100bp?’ Questions Linger Around Bursting Of Bond Beta Bubble

Here’s What’s Behind The ‘Relentless Bid For Stocks’

November 19, 2019November 19, 2019

All of this is playing out against a backdrop defined by a (rare) dearth of news flow…

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6 Comments on Here’s What’s Behind The ‘Relentless Bid For Stocks’

Here’s How Much GDP Growth The US And China Have Torched In The Trade War So Far

November 19, 2019November 19, 2019

Only the dead have seen the end of war.

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And Now, For Another Dismal, Depressing, Dreary Projection Out Of Germany…

November 19, 2019November 19, 2019

The accompanying report is all kinds of foreboding.

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The World According To Charlie: Nomura’s McElligott On Macro, Markets And Gamma As The Most Powerful Flow In The Universe

November 18, 2019November 19, 2019

“I view the world from the lens of volatility.”

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‘This Would Very Likely Mark The End Of The Expansion’: Some Trouble With The Curve

November 18, 2019

The read-through for corporate profits is clear – and somewhat dour.

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5 Comments on ‘This Would Very Likely Mark The End Of The Expansion’: Some Trouble With The Curve

‘It’s Taking A Toll’: WTO Says Merchandise Volume Flatlines While Singapore Exports Plunge 8th Consecutive Month

November 18, 2019November 18, 2019

“Insidious”.

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China Cuts 7-Day Repo Rate For First Time Since 2015

November 17, 2019November 17, 2019

More dribs and drabs.

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Awestruck Investors Smitten With ‘Incredible’ Market Tranquility

November 17, 2019November 17, 2019

It’s the flip-side of the overwrought, hair-on-fire rhetoric that accompanies selloffs.

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Bonds At The Crossroads…

November 16, 2019November 17, 2019

Where to now?

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PBoC Says Environment Is ‘Complex’. Fortunately, China Can ‘Properly Handle’ The Situation

November 16, 2019November 17, 2019

“Some businesses are faced with operating difficulties”.

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S&P’s Best Run In Two Years Takes Goldman’s Momentum Indicator To All-Time High

November 15, 2019November 17, 2019

All’s well that ends with more records.

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MAGA Manufacturing Renaissance Stuck In Neutral, As ‘Sluggish’ Empire Gauge Meanders To A Miss

November 15, 2019

Optimism is “restrained”. 

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Headline Retail Sales Rebound From September Slide, But Ex-Autos Print Falls Short

November 15, 2019

Offsetting, perhaps.

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China’s ‘Surprise’ Friday Liquidity Injection Draws Yawns As Bazooka Seen Holstered

November 15, 2019November 15, 2019

No urgency – yet.

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‘This Isn’t Whatever-It-Takes’: Analyst Who Called Funding Squeeze Not Blown Away By Fed’s Longer-Term Repos

November 14, 2019November 14, 2019

“We’re prepared to continue to learn and adjust”.

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Even In A ‘Mild-Recession Scenario’, Buybacks Will Provide Plunge Protection For The S&P

November 14, 2019November 14, 2019

“Still double the long-term average”.

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After The (Duration) Purge…

November 14, 2019November 23, 2019

Cue a backtest.

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Hong Kong Shares On Brink Of Bloodbath As ‘Fake’ Curfew News Adds To Angst In Horrible Week

November 14, 2019November 14, 2019

Chaos reigns.

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Is The Min Vol Bubble Bursting?

November 13, 2019November 23, 2019

It’s now just a matter whether the bubble merely deflates, or actually bursts in earnest.

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$574 Billion In AUM Pretty Sure Stocks Will Outperform Everything In 2020

November 13, 2019

That FOMO feeling again.

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Nomura’s McElligott: ‘Now Comes The Hard Part’

November 13, 2019November 23, 2019

“The easy money has been made”.

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Mixed CPI Report Leaves Powell With Blank Canvas In Congressional Hearings

November 13, 2019November 13, 2019

That could be good or bad.

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‘Sudden Selloff’ Not Likely, But ‘Hedging Is Still Timely’, Goldman Says

November 13, 2019November 13, 2019

“Monitoring conditions”…

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Of Kiwis And Protesters

November 13, 2019November 13, 2019

A “most critical juncture”.

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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  • T-Dog on Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally
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  • therealheisenberg on Reformed Bear Not Worried, Calls Inflation ‘Old News’

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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