November’s trade data is something of a mixed bag, but on balance…
Category: Markets
Why Subadra Rajappa Sees US Treasury Yields Falling To 1.2%
… and the Fed delivering 100bp of easing in the first half of 2020.
Goldman’s Macro Model Did A Decent Job Predicting Volatility In 2019. Here’s What It Says For 2020
It’s worth adding a generic caveat…
All’s Well That Ends In A Blistering Jobs Rally
Frankly, this was an unnerving week, payrolls aside.
2019’s Cross-Asset Bonanza Is Tough Act To Follow
But don’t be so quick to suggest things will be “unexciting”.
One Year Ago, Ajay Kapur Told Central Banks To Wake Up. Here Are His 4 Key Questions For 2020
Last year, “the two most asked questions were also the most misleading, from the point of making money”.
Shady Global Cartel Meets With Russian Conspirators In Vienna To Collude On World’s Most Financialized Commodity
Back-stabbing is part of cartel life, don’t ya know?
Gamma ‘Close To The Cliff’, Raising Risk Of ‘Asymmetric Move Higher In Volatility’
Mind the gravitational field.
Storm Clouds Over German Industry Stubbornly Refuse To Clear
Another day, another dour data point.
Japan To Roll Out Stimulus Package Totaling 26 Trillion Yen
It may fall flat. We’ll see.
For Volatility, 2019 Is No 2017. But 2021 May Be
Looking back at history, it generally takes around two years for those feedback loops to fully manifest themselves.
As Trade Talks Hang By A Thread, A Soybean Problem Emerges
This is pretty simple, really.
ISM Services Isn’t ‘Great’ – ‘Again’ Or Otherwise
Maybe this is enough to get a dovish lean out of the Fed.
ADP Is Out-And-Out Whiff, Prints Worst Since May
“The job market is losing its shine”.
One Of Wall Street’s Biggest Bulls Is Cautious On 2020. Here’s Why
It’s not bearish, but it’s not sanguine either.
Trump On Thin Ice With Traders As US Stocks Sink Third Day
“I don’t watch the stock market”.
Nomura’s McElligott Warns: ‘We’re Nearing Gamma Flip Risk In SPX’
Dry kindling, meet struck match.
SocGen Finds ‘The Most Depressing Chart Ever!’
“I find this depressing.”
Tariff Man Crashes Stock Party On First Trading Day Of December
How many Dow points will it take to convince Trump to dial it back?
‘Blue Sky’, ‘Ugly’ Or ‘Armageddon’: 3 Paths For The Emancipation Trade
“Everything we know about financial markets”…
Europe’s Very Bad Day Comes Courtesy Of Perfect Storm
Such are the tragic ironies…
ISM Miss Is Bitter Pill For Optimists. Suggests US Manufacturing Slump Is Entrenched
“Global trade remains the most significant cross-industry issue”.
Another Oversubscribed Term Repo Stokes More Year-End Liquidity Crunch Fears
Are “supersized” bill purchases in the offing?
Have A Look At This Spectacularly Bad Drop In Retail Sales Courtesy Of Hong Kong Chaos
“Extremely difficult times”.
‘China Is Bottoming’ Narrative Gets Another Boost As Caixin PMI Comes In Solid
Still, skepticism abounds.
South Korea Climbs Out Of Deflation – Barely
This looks uninspiring.
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