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Category: Markets

MAGA Economy Hanging In There, But Hardly Blowing The Doors Off, November PMIs Show

November 22, 2019

Not terrible, but not “great” – “again” or otherwise.

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1 Comment on MAGA Economy Hanging In There, But Hardly Blowing The Doors Off, November PMIs Show

Bridgewater Makes Billion-Dollar Bet On Market Drop By March

November 22, 2019November 22, 2019

Everybody panic.

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Don’t ‘Cry Wolf Prematurely’: Goldman Delivers Global Growth Outlook, Best Trade Ideas Headed Into 2020

November 21, 2019November 24, 2019

There’s “career risk” involved in making recession the baseline.

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1 Comment on Don’t ‘Cry Wolf Prematurely’: Goldman Delivers Global Growth Outlook, Best Trade Ideas Headed Into 2020

One Word For Markets In 2019: ‘Breathtaking’

November 21, 2019November 21, 2019

Gasp!

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Trump May Launch ‘Sweeping’ 301 Trade Probe Against Europe: Reports

November 21, 2019November 21, 2019

The incorrigible ‘tariff man’ won’t be denied.

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Xi’s Media Man Lashes Out At ‘Blind’ US Congress, But Stocks Pinned As S&P ‘Chokes On Gamma’

November 21, 2019November 21, 2019

“President Trump needs to sign the bill using braille”.

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‘We Are Heading For A Long-Term Future Of Declining Living Standards’: OECD

November 21, 2019November 21, 2019

“The alarm bells are ringing loud and clear.”

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Macro Tourist, Bill Dudley Think Carl Icahn May (Eventually) Be Right On Corporate Debt ‘Time Bomb’

November 21, 2019November 21, 2019

“Although I have no idea of the timing, as this cycle continues, I am getting more sympathetic to the idea credit is a time bomb.”

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3 Comments on Macro Tourist, Bill Dudley Think Carl Icahn May (Eventually) Be Right On Corporate Debt ‘Time Bomb’

Nothing ‘Big’ On Trade By December 15, But Tariff Escalation Will Be Delayed: Report

November 21, 2019November 21, 2019

It’s worth noting that another delay will only serve to prolong the uncertainty and underscore the farcical nature of this charade.

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‘Strong Call For Unity’ Made At Mario Draghi’s Final ECB Meeting After Contentious September Showdown

November 21, 2019November 21, 2019

“It was regarded as important to form a consensus and to unite”.

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‘In The Foothills Of A Cold War’: Stocks Gyrate On ‘Cautious Optimism’, ‘Confusion’ Around US-China Trade

November 21, 2019November 21, 2019

Henry Kissinger “hopes” things don’t get worse.

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This Is What Counts As ‘Fireworks’ In An Otherwise Tranquil Market

November 20, 2019November 20, 2019

This sounds like a trivial statement (and it is), but…

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Fed Policy ‘Well Calibrated’ After October Rate Cut, FOMC Minutes Show

November 20, 2019November 20, 2019

Downside risks are still elevated, though.

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S&P 5,300, Bear Market ‘Signposts’ And The Persistence Of The ‘Exceptional’

November 20, 2019November 20, 2019

“Stimulus unwind [is] especially tricky”.

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2 Comments on S&P 5,300, Bear Market ‘Signposts’ And The Persistence Of The ‘Exceptional’

And Now, For A Geopolitical Reality Check…

November 20, 2019November 20, 2019

Risk aversion runs rampant as Hong Kong bill hits sentiment.

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China Cuts Loan Prime Rate, Rounding Out November Mini-Easing Push

November 19, 2019

“We should just expect the PBoC to keep adopting this combination in the future”.

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Yes, The S&P 500 Is Exposed To Liquidity Risk

November 19, 2019November 19, 2019

And passive investing plays a role.

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Markets Get Clearest Picture Yet Of Tariff Relief Plan – And It’s Still Pretty Darn Murky

November 19, 2019November 19, 2019

It’s still wholly convoluted.

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‘What If Yields Rose By 100bp?’ Questions Linger Around Bursting Of Bond Beta Bubble

November 19, 2019November 23, 2019

How dramatic would the unwind be?

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Here’s What’s Behind The ‘Relentless Bid For Stocks’

November 19, 2019November 19, 2019

All of this is playing out against a backdrop defined by a (rare) dearth of news flow…

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6 Comments on Here’s What’s Behind The ‘Relentless Bid For Stocks’

Here’s How Much GDP Growth The US And China Have Torched In The Trade War So Far

November 19, 2019November 19, 2019

Only the dead have seen the end of war.

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And Now, For Another Dismal, Depressing, Dreary Projection Out Of Germany…

November 19, 2019November 19, 2019

The accompanying report is all kinds of foreboding.

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The World According To Charlie: Nomura’s McElligott On Macro, Markets And Gamma As The Most Powerful Flow In The Universe

November 18, 2019November 19, 2019

“I view the world from the lens of volatility.”

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2 Comments on The World According To Charlie: Nomura’s McElligott On Macro, Markets And Gamma As The Most Powerful Flow In The Universe

‘This Would Very Likely Mark The End Of The Expansion’: Some Trouble With The Curve

November 18, 2019

The read-through for corporate profits is clear – and somewhat dour.

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5 Comments on ‘This Would Very Likely Mark The End Of The Expansion’: Some Trouble With The Curve

‘It’s Taking A Toll’: WTO Says Merchandise Volume Flatlines While Singapore Exports Plunge 8th Consecutive Month

November 18, 2019November 18, 2019

“Insidious”.

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China Cuts 7-Day Repo Rate For First Time Since 2015

November 17, 2019November 17, 2019

More dribs and drabs.

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Awestruck Investors Smitten With ‘Incredible’ Market Tranquility

November 17, 2019November 17, 2019

It’s the flip-side of the overwrought, hair-on-fire rhetoric that accompanies selloffs.

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