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Category: Markets

Reflation Narrative Gets Another Boost As ISM Non-Manufacturing Rebounds From Trump-Era Low

November 5, 2019

All told, the headline beat will likely be enough to bolster the rosy economic story.

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1 Comment on Reflation Narrative Gets Another Boost As ISM Non-Manufacturing Rebounds From Trump-Era Low

As ‘Tantrum’ Risk Comes Calling, Nomura’s McElligott Flags CTA Bond Selling As Legacy Long Unwound

November 5, 2019November 23, 2019

Trade optimism is running rampant and crowded positioning looks set to unwind.

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Who Needs An Economy When You’ve Got Stocks? Markets On Fire In Two Recession-Hit Locales

November 5, 2019

Two recession-ravaged economies are enjoying large rallies in domestic equities.

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2 Comments on Who Needs An Economy When You’ve Got Stocks? Markets On Fire In Two Recession-Hit Locales

China Cuts MLF Rate In Nod To Sagging Economy

November 4, 2019

With officials still reluctant to countenance broad-based, “kitchen sink” stimulus, some worry stagflation is imminent.

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Market In ‘Sweet Spot’ As Trump Said To Consider Removing Some Tariffs Just As Stocks Hit Highs

November 4, 2019November 5, 2019

It’s all going right, just two months on from a growth scare that sent yields to doomsday lows.

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2 Comments on Market In ‘Sweet Spot’ As Trump Said To Consider Removing Some Tariffs Just As Stocks Hit Highs

As Stocks ‘Dance’ To Records, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Looks Ahead

November 4, 2019

“Short-term ‘contrarian’ positioning signals be damned”.

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1 Comment on As Stocks ‘Dance’ To Records, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Looks Ahead

Chasing Your Own Tail And ‘Zombies At Dawn’

November 4, 2019

Price discovery lives – even as zombies make a comeback.

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‘Bah! Humbug!’ Not Everyone Is Taking A Glass Half-Full Approach To Markets This Week

November 4, 2019

“Americans are naturally upbeat people.”

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Goldman Declares ‘Tariffs Have Peaked’ As Trade Optimism Runs Wild

November 4, 2019November 4, 2019

“Managing differences on the basis of equality and mutual respect”.

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‘It’s Hard To See How Trump Can Call This A Victory’, And Other Highlights From SocGen’s Latest ‘Swans’ Update

November 3, 2019

The “Swan Chart” is back…

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Economy Now More Important Than Ever For Trump As Impeachment Probe Goes Public

November 3, 2019November 4, 2019

“Good” is a relative term.

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Here’s Who Will (And Won’t) Be Buying US Debt In 2020

November 3, 2019November 3, 2019

Hint: The Fed is the largest source of demand.

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The ‘Music Of The Credit Cycle’ Will Keep Playing – Until It Stops

November 2, 2019

The point of no return…

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‘Tipping Points’, Payrolls And A ‘Stalling’ US Economy

November 2, 2019November 2, 2019

What if he doesn’t even run?

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WTO Says China Fully Justified In Giving U.S. A $3.6 Billion Slap In The Face

November 1, 2019November 1, 2019

“We always get f***ed by them”.

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All Kinds Of Progress Being Made Towards Meaningless ‘Phase One’ Non-Deal, US, China Jointly Declare

November 1, 2019November 1, 2019

The two sides “are in the process of resolving outstanding issues”.

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ISM Rebound Fails To Materialize, As Production Dives To Crisis-Era Levels; New Export Orders Surge

November 1, 2019November 1, 2019

But a feeble bounce.

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October Jobs Report Beats Handily, Revisions Add 95k To September, August

November 1, 2019November 2, 2019

And so, the labor market hangs tough, it would appear.

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8 Comments on October Jobs Report Beats Handily, Revisions Add 95k To September, August

Market Cheers China PMI Surprise, But Some See Stagflation For World’s Second-Largest Economy

November 1, 2019November 1, 2019

Who you gonna believe?

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Somebody Is ‘Wrong’. Is It Consumers Or CEOs?

October 31, 2019October 31, 2019

And so, we’re left with another “jaws” scenario.

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‘Look, This Isn’t A Surprise To Anyone’: Nomura’s McElligott Weighs In On Latest US-China Trade ‘Scoop’. Also Comments On Fed

October 31, 2019

“Many believe Trump will keep at least one more ‘negative trade surprise’ in his pocket”.

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4 Comments on ‘Look, This Isn’t A Surprise To Anyone’: Nomura’s McElligott Weighs In On Latest US-China Trade ‘Scoop’. Also Comments On Fed

Chicago PMI Plunges Anew, Hits Lowest Since 2015

October 31, 2019October 31, 2019

July called…

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More Slippage In The MAGA Economy As Consumer Spending Sputters

October 31, 2019

Slowly, but surely, the US economy is decelerating.

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As Hong Kong Dives Into Recession, ‘You Can Throw Molotov Cocktails Or Have A Totally Normal Sunday’

October 31, 2019October 31, 2019

“It’s weird”.

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China, Like The Rest Of Humanity, Knows It’s Impossible To Strike A Long-Term Deal With Donald Trump

October 31, 2019October 31, 2019

“Phase One” and out?

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China’s October PMI Data Disappoints, Underscoring Intractability Of Global Growth Slump

October 30, 2019October 31, 2019

No “green shoots” for you.

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‘Is This It?’ Jerome Powell Signals Fed On Hold Until Something (Else) Crazy Happens

October 30, 2019October 30, 2019

“The current stance of monetary policy is likely to remain appropriate”.

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