bonds Markets stocks

‘The News And Data Have Clearly Worsened’, It’s ‘Time To Play Defense’, One Bank Warns

"Every major economy is seeing a full-blown industrial/manufacturing slowdown".

"Every major economy is seeing a full-blown industrial/manufacturing slowdown".
This content has been archived. Log in or Subscribe for full access to thousands of archived articles.

5 comments on “‘The News And Data Have Clearly Worsened’, It’s ‘Time To Play Defense’, One Bank Warns

  1. Equities seem to be hanging their hat on 1) a US-China trade deal (or simply calling off the war) and 2) the expected effect of global monetary stimulus (which all the analysts say acts with a 9 month lag).

    Occasionally people talk about, but don’t really expect, 3) global fiscal stimulus (the US is tapped out, China is constrained by other goals, and even if Germany loosens the purse strings, it’s just one EU country).

    Since #2 without #1 won’t be good enough, equities are basically going to live or die on trade.

    That’s confirmed by action, i.e. the market is shrugging off almost anything else (on + or – side) but flips out at every little trade twitch.

  2. Only a Trump cave-in on trade can save us now!

  3. A Trump cave-in won’t be believed should it happen. Only getting rid of the idiot will help.

  4. This is a cycle ………………..comes around goes around……CYCLE !!!! Everyone wants a miracle…..Cycles are tamper proof…..maybe ?

  5. If you short the market because of trade war, Deal no Deal, Loves me Loves me not sort of thing, than you better ready hypertension medicine assuming my American friends can afford it of course, ( a dark joke i know ), if you short because the macro has clearly deteriorated and you expect a recession followed by systemic financial crisis than you better ready a collection of Mel Gibson movies to watch while you wait for the market to crash. All the Lethal Weapons, even the one with Joe Pesci, Braveheart, The Patriot, Ransom, Conspiracy theory etc. Than The Big Short, Margin Call for a little perspective, and of course the best of them all, Trading Places. The point is being short is not like being long. It is hard to loose money for an extended period while having to look your wife and kids everyday in the eyes. (I have those days). If you decide to go short than do it responsibly, don’t rush it, put a little first test the waters and trade daily the trade wars saga opposite to your macro position as a hedge but also to make some money if you are wrong. Anyway i am rumbling on and on, difficult time for me, so to all shorts out there “I Salute You”. Oh btw watch Gladiator too.

Speak On It

Skip to toolbar