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Category: Markets

Fed Reinstates Emergency Commercial Paper Funding Facility In Move To Avert Crisis

March 17, 2020March 17, 2020

“The commercial paper market has been under considerable strain in recent days”.

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7 Comments on Fed Reinstates Emergency Commercial Paper Funding Facility In Move To Avert Crisis

Nomura’s McElligott: We’re Seeing ‘Nervous Dollar Hoarding Demand’

March 17, 2020March 17, 2020

“…USD funding pressure continues to mount despite the positive optics of the coordinated global CB FX swap line actions”.

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3 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: We’re Seeing ‘Nervous Dollar Hoarding Demand’

Whac-A-Mole! Fed Faces Nightmare As Libor, Cross-Currency Basis Blow Out, CP Market ‘Frozen’

March 17, 2020March 17, 2020

Stress, pressure, strain – pick your descriptor.

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1 Comment on Whac-A-Mole! Fed Faces Nightmare As Libor, Cross-Currency Basis Blow Out, CP Market ‘Frozen’

That’s A Record Plunge In German Investor Confidence For Anyone Keeping Score

March 17, 2020March 17, 2020

Bleak.

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$850 Billion.

March 17, 2020March 17, 2020

Governments are under pressure to do something – anything.

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7 Comments on $850 Billion.

The Biggest VaR Shock Since Lehman & The Risk Parity Panic

March 16, 2020March 17, 2020

Any takers?

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10 Comments on The Biggest VaR Shock Since Lehman & The Risk Parity Panic

‘It’s Bad’

March 16, 2020March 16, 2020

Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before a fall.

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9 Comments on ‘It’s Bad’

Off The Rails.

March 16, 2020March 16, 2020

”If the federal government doesn’t step up quickly…”

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7 Comments on Off The Rails.

Riksbank Expands QE, Tells Banks They Can Borrow ‘Unlimited Amount Of Money’

March 16, 2020March 16, 2020

Again, the ammo is all but spent, folks. Fiscal policy absolutely has to take the reins.

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‘There Are Calls For A Market Closure To Stop The Bleeding’

March 16, 2020March 16, 2020

“Equities players voice no desire to even think about playing offense”.

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12 Comments on ‘There Are Calls For A Market Closure To Stop The Bleeding’

Speed Demon: Fastest Bear Market In History Leaves Traders Reeling

March 16, 2020March 16, 2020

Staring into the abyss – again.

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Empire Manufacturing Survey Plummets. March Drop Is Largest In History

March 16, 2020

And so, it begins.

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‘This Is War’: Analysts Pile On As Virus Lockdowns Presage ‘Domino-Style Economic Collapse’

March 16, 2020March 16, 2020

Not to put too fine a point on it, but it’s over.

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5 Comments on ‘This Is War’: Analysts Pile On As Virus Lockdowns Presage ‘Domino-Style Economic Collapse’

‘Bazooka = Sell’: Markets Implode On Central Banks’ Coordinated Panic

March 16, 2020March 16, 2020

“It appears ‘Bearmageddon’ is upon us”.

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China Reports Mind-Boggling Plunge In Retail Sales, Industrial Output, Fixed Investment

March 15, 2020March 15, 2020

On the bright side…

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8 Comments on China Reports Mind-Boggling Plunge In Retail Sales, Industrial Output, Fixed Investment

All In. Limit Down.

March 15, 2020March 15, 2020

“The Fed has likely fired off its last bazooka.”

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7 Comments on All In. Limit Down.

RBA Says Ready To Buy Bonds. Action Coming Thursday

March 15, 2020

“It was just a question of when”.

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Shock And Awe: Fed Cuts Rates To Zero, Announces $700 Billion In QE, Enhances Swap Lines

March 15, 2020March 16, 2020

Now this a “whatever it takes” moment.

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15 Comments on Shock And Awe: Fed Cuts Rates To Zero, Announces $700 Billion In QE, Enhances Swap Lines

New Zealand Delivers Big Rate Cut, Commits To 12 Months Near Zero, Says QE May Be Next

March 15, 2020March 15, 2020

We are now firing the last bullets. And we’re shooting at a pathogen. 

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2 Comments on New Zealand Delivers Big Rate Cut, Commits To 12 Months Near Zero, Says QE May Be Next

Goldman Says S&P May Fall 41% From Peak. But Who’s Counting, Right?

March 15, 2020March 15, 2020

But that’s not the base case.

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6 Comments on Goldman Says S&P May Fall 416 From Peak. But Who’s Counting, Right?

Steve Mnuchin: The US Is Not In A Recession

March 15, 2020March 15, 2020

“I expect we’ll have a big rebound later in the year.”

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3 Comments on Steve Mnuchin: The US Is Not In A Recession

‘We Didn’t Know How To Navigate The Virus’: Ray Dalio’s Pure Alpha II Takes Big Hit Amid Market Chaos

March 15, 2020March 15, 2020

“We stayed in our positions and in retrospect we should have cut all risk”.

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hedge funds1 Comment on ‘We Didn’t Know How To Navigate The Virus’: Ray Dalio’s Pure Alpha II Takes Big Hit Amid Market Chaos

Mideast Shares Dive, Egypt Plunges 9%, Aramco Slashes Capex 24%

March 15, 2020March 15, 2020

Central banks in the region are spending nearly $50 billion in the virus fight.

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oil2 Comments on Mideast Shares Dive, Egypt Plunges 92, Aramco Slashes Capex 242

‘We’re Living In A Black Swan Scenario’: Equity Positioning Just Plunged To GFC Lows

March 14, 2020March 15, 2020

There have only been two other periods characterized by these kinds of wild swings: The GFC and the Depression.

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18 Comments on ‘We’re Living In A Black Swan Scenario’: Equity Positioning Just Plunged To GFC Lows

Trump So Proud Of Nightmare On Wall Street, He Autographed A Chart And Gifted It To Lou Dobbs

March 14, 2020March 14, 2020

Define hubris.

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10 Comments on Trump So Proud Of Nightmare On Wall Street, He Autographed A Chart And Gifted It To Lou Dobbs

It Could Get Worse

March 13, 2020March 14, 2020

Platitudes.

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oil5 Comments on It Could Get Worse

Loonie Tunes: That’s 100bps This Month From The Bank Of Canada, In Case You’re Keeping Score

March 13, 2020March 14, 2020

And they’ll do more, if necessary.

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1 Comment on Loonie Tunes: That’s 100bps This Month From The Bank Of Canada, In Case You’re Keeping Score

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

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