The consensus narrative around the Trump administration’s final push to squeeze Beijing ahead of Joe
Category: Markets
Earnings Season Is Upon Us. But Does Anyone Care?
Earnings season is upon us, but it’s not clear how much the numbers matter. Last
Inside The Bubble
Years ago, an episode of Family Guy (the edgy cartoon sitcom) featured a subplot that
‘Agnostic’ Sellers: The ‘Doom Loop’ During The Pandemic
Name something more potentially dangerous than “a large, fundamentals-agnostic, owner of equities.” Go ahead, I’ll
2021: A Rotation Odyssey
The pro-cyclical rotation finally came. For years, fleeting bouts of outperformance from perennial laggards (e.g.,
Leaving Washington
What a week it was. US equities fell Friday, amid dour retail sales and doubts
A Deadly Cocktail (But The Factories Are Ok)
At least the manufacturing sector is holding up. On a day when retail sales posted
Surprise! Retail Sales Are Total Debacle
Late last week, when December payrolls showed the leisure and hospitality industry shed nearly a
What, No Champagne? Markets ‘Remarkably Indifferent’ To $2 Trillion Biden Plan
As soon as Joe Biden finished speaking on Thursday evening (and even before he started),
JPMorgan Beats Helped By Reserve Release, But Dimon Delivers Caveats, Warnings
JPMorgan kicked off earnings season Friday, with Wall Street’s five largest banks on track to
Why Do We Bother? (No Time Soon)
It’s weeks like this when you wonder why we even bother with markets. Sure, there’s
Disaster Strikes As Jobless Claims Suddenly Surge To Almost 1 Million
Nearly 1 million Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, a rather disconcerting development that
Alibaba, Tencent Spared Trump’s Wrath. Xi ‘Hopes’ Starbucks Can Thaw Cold War
Maybe it was just my espresso high (which would be ironic in this case), but
Of Bonds And Bernie
For the second consecutive day, bonds rallied and a strong auction result suggested the Treasury
Fed ‘LOLables’: Nomura’s McElligott On When Rising Real Rates Will Become A Problem
When it comes to client inquiries, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott hears the following more than any
Old Mac’Donald’
Markets plodded along Tuesday, exhibiting a familiar sense of annoyed apprehension. In simple terms: Anyone
The ‘Totally Appropriate’ Tail Risk
It’s not likely that Americans, as a body politic, will come to any kind of
Here’s When Higher Yields Will ‘Become A Problem,’ According To One Bank
When will rising US bond yields become a problem for equities and risk assets more
Despite Virus Mutation, ‘Unprecedented Riot’ In D.C., Goldman Says World In ‘Home Stretch’
I’ve used the “light”/”tunnel” analogy. Goldman calls it the “home stretch.” However you choose to
Beneath The Cloud Of Abject Insanity
I’m not sure you could call it “angst,” exactly. Coming off the weekend, US markets
Breakeven ‘Overshoot’ Belies Lingering Disinflationary Probability, One Bank Says
Is the move in breakevens overdone? One bank thinks the answer is “maybe.” If you
Where We Are & Where We Could Be Going
You can thank, in part anyway, the virtuous volatility compression feedback loop for US equities’
Bitcoin, ‘Reliable Store Of Value,’ Collapses 20% In 48 Hours
Bitcoin collapsed on Monday, although “collapse” is a relative term when you’re talking about something
Overcooked?
Risk sentiment felt a bit frail to kick off the new week, but analysts seem
In Brief: What The Blue Sweep Means For US Stocks
Following the Georgia runoffs, anyone whose forecast for the US economy and, relatedly, for asset
Markets Eye Key Data Amid Rising Bond Yields, December Jobs Debacle
While headlines will invariably revolve around Donald Trump in the new week, the market will
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