In the same way that one “borrows beer” at a party, having the Treasury wash
Category: Markets
Just Ignore This Big ADP Miss, And Don’t Even Bother With The Internals, Ok?
In what’s either a bad omen or nothing to be particularly concerned about given ADP’s
Sell The Best News In Modern History?
There was some market chatter on Wednesday around the notion that vaccine approval and distribution
It’s Urgent
“It’s essential that we move with urgency — inaction will produce a self-reinforcing downturn causing
Cookin’ With Grease And Pushin’ On A String: Nomura’s McElligott On 2021 Outlook
On Monday, while documenting what I generically described as “a month to remember” (usually I
‘Let’s Hope’: The OECD’s Latest Outlook And The Absurdity Of The Austrian ‘Reset’
Six months after declaring COVID-19 “a global health crisis without precedent in living memory” and
Manufacturing Employment Index Back Below 50 As ISM Decelerates From Peak
ISM manufacturing, the first of this week’s top-tier data out of the US, was a
For All The Hyperinflation Talk, There Sure Is A Lot Of Deflation Going Around
At a time when too many market participants are seemingly terrified of hyperinflation (or at
Recoveries And Trust Issues
Global equities were buoyant to start the final month of 2020, rebounding from an uninspired
A Month To Remember
November 2020 will go down in the history books for a variety of reasons. First,
You Can Add Record-Low Investment Grade Corporate Bond Yields To November’s Milestones
November scarcely needed another market milestone, having offered up a veritable cornucopia already, but I’ll
The Biggest Worry For Everyday People Is No Obstacle For ‘Blissful’ Financial Markets
It’s probably not a stretch to suggest that outside of some unforeseen mutation in COVID-19
Wall Of ‘What, Me Worry?’
Global equities looked to take a step back Monday, in cautious trading on the last
It’s All Relative: Stocks And Bonds In A Crazy World
It’s all relative. That universally applicable old adage (you can always find a use for
In Funhouse Mirror Fixed Income Market, Zero Is No Obstacle
Last week, Riccardo Fraccaro, cabinet undersecretary to Italian Premier Giuseppe Conte, suggested the ECB should
Back To Work
The US is poised to get back to business coming off a holiday which this
They Used To Pull The Bull Out, And They Used To Eat It
I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again: I love reading copy sometimes. “Hitting
Back To The Tinderbox
Headed into December, one key part of the year-end, melt-up thesis is that realized volatility
Biden Was Elected. And Stocks Didn’t Crash.
It makes sense — sort of. When you assess the incoming economic data and the
Italian Official Has An Idea For The ECB: Just Cancel The Bonds You Bought
In comments that are sure to rankle critics of the current policy conjuncture that finds
Christmas Bubbles
Caution crept into global markets Thursday, as investors appear suddenly reticent after a month of
Give Thanks
A lackluster pre-Thanksgiving session stateside found the dollar falling to the lowest since April of
The Fed Talked Quite A Bit About QE Options Earlier This Month, November Minutes Show
The prospect of a Janet Yellen Treasury and the public spat between Steve Mnuchin and
If Your Income Drops, How Do You Keep Consuming?
Personal incomes fell much more than expected in October, the BEA said Wednesday. The 0.7%
Surprise! Jobless Claims Jump As Pandemic Rages Unabated
778,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, a five-week high and far more than
Manufacturing A Durable Recovery
Although Wednesday brought unwelcome news on the labor market, durable goods orders were resilient. The
Since 1988
Global markets meandered Wednesday, as traders and investors took a step back to ponder the
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