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Category: Markets

Let’s Talk

September 10, 2021September 11, 2021

Risk sentiment firmed Friday, or at least in Asia, after the South China Morning Post

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4 Comments on Let’s Talk

The First Negative 10-Year Return Forecast In 22 Years

September 9, 2021September 20, 2021

I’m rarely, if ever, in a “good mood” on any conventional definition. For the past

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17 Comments on The First Negative 10-Year Return Forecast In 22 Years

Opening The Pullback Window

September 9, 2021September 17, 2021

People finally get it. Or so it seems. Market participants are trying to front-run pullback

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ECB Attempts A Sorta-Taper

September 9, 2021September 15, 2021

Hawkish banter from some ECB officials in the lead-up to September’s policy meeting wasn’t a

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3 Comments on ECB Attempts A Sorta-Taper

‘Everything Is On Hold’: Xi Crushes China Tech Again

September 9, 2021September 9, 2021

Just when you thought it was safe to buy the dip in Chinese tech, the

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5 Comments on ‘Everything Is On Hold’: Xi Crushes China Tech Again

‘What Good News Is Left?’ BofA Finally Raises S&P Target

September 8, 2021September 9, 2021

In was barely a month ago when, during remarks to Bloomberg Television, BofA’s Jill Carey

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1 Comment on ‘What Good News Is Left?’ BofA Finally Raises S&P Target

Look, It’s The Market Fragility Discussion Again

September 8, 2021September 10, 2021

It’s the same story over and over again. Stability breeds instability and modern market structure

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5 Comments on Look, It’s The Market Fragility Discussion Again

‘We Can’t Drop The Ball’

September 8, 2021September 9, 2021

Risk sentiment was subdued Wednesday as investors pondered sundry “peak growth” narratives and a couple

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4 Comments on ‘We Can’t Drop The Ball’

The ‘Just Can’t Win’ Dynamic

September 7, 2021September 8, 2021

I was tempted to say something generic about not wanting to “beat a dead horse,”

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10 Comments on The ‘Just Can’t Win’ Dynamic

One Bank Moves Overweight Cash, Underweight US Equities

September 7, 2021September 14, 2021

It’s “crunch time” for Morgan Stanley’s mid-cycle transition thesis, the bank’s Andrew Sheets said Tuesday.

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Exports, ‘Lack Of Bad News’ Bolster China After Tech Rout

September 7, 2021September 8, 2021

You might have expected Chinese trade to falter in August given the temporary shutdown of

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Soros: Fink Makes ‘Tragic Mistake’ With BlackRock China Push

September 7, 2021September 16, 2021

George Soros is not amused with BlackRock’s China push. Just days after warning that anyone

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9 Comments on Soros: Fink Makes ‘Tragic Mistake’ With BlackRock China Push

Bad News (The Good Kind)

September 6, 2021September 7, 2021

“Typical of an advanced carry trade.” That’s how Nordea Investment’s Sebastien Galy described the “bad

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1 Comment on Bad News (The Good Kind)

Up Next

September 5, 2021September 9, 2021

Taper talk will pervade market discussions in the new week, even as August’s jobs “shocker”

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Triple Peaks

September 5, 2021September 6, 2021

In “What Markets Are Betting On,” I talked a bit about investors’ outlook for the

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Druckenmiller, 53 Records And Three-Quarters Of A Trillion

September 4, 2021September 6, 2021

It’s been 16 months since Stan Druckenmiller declared equities, broadly construed, uninvestable. To be fair,

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2 Comments on Druckenmiller, 53 Records And Three-Quarters Of A Trillion

Here’s What Markets Are Betting On

September 4, 2021September 11, 2021

A dramatically bad US jobs report barely moved the needle for US equities, which managed

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2 Comments on Here’s What Markets Are Betting On

Just Another Day In Xi’s China

September 3, 2021September 3, 2021

“The donation doesn’t guarantee that there will not be more regulations target[ing] Alibaba,” one analyst

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3 Comments on Just Another Day In Xi’s China

You Can Forget About A September Taper Unveil

September 3, 2021September 5, 2021

August’s jobs report will be a test of market participants’ commitment to a bull case

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4 Comments on You Can Forget About A September Taper Unveil

Inflation ‘Inevitable’: Surveys Suggest US Economy Overheated

September 3, 2021September 4, 2021

An extremely disappointing nonfarm payrolls report showed hiring in leisure and hospitality flatlined last month,

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3 Comments on Inflation ‘Inevitable’: Surveys Suggest US Economy Overheated

Japan Stumbles Into Macro Limelight With Political ‘Shocker’

September 3, 2021September 10, 2021

Japanese stocks surged Friday after Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga bowed out of the upcoming ruling

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Are The Vaccines Still Working? What The Studies Show

September 2, 2021September 15, 2021

This might sound ridiculous, but sometimes I suspect it might be a waste of time

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6 Comments on Are The Vaccines Still Working? What The Studies Show

Past, Present And Future

September 2, 2021September 3, 2021

The tail is still wagging the dog. I assume that’s obvious to those who understand

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Jobless Claims At Pandemic Low On Eve Of Stimulus Expiry

September 2, 2021September 3, 2021

340,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, fewer than expected. Consensus was looking for

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Icarus, Your Wings Are Melting

September 2, 2021September 3, 2021

Nearly a year on from Jack Ma’s ill-conceived decision to criticize regulators, Alibaba is committing

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5 Comments on Icarus, Your Wings Are Melting

Owning The Bulls (By Losing Money)

September 1, 2021September 4, 2021

Last month, I not-so-gently suggested that America’s vaccine misinformation epidemic may have crossed the threshold

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20 Comments on Owning The Bulls (By Losing Money)

Yuan Likely To Be Third-Largest Reserve Currency By 2030: Goldman

September 1, 2021September 2, 2021

The Chinese yuan could leapfrog the yen and the pound to become the world’s third-largest

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Monthly Letter

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

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Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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