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Category: Markets

Window For Fireworks May Shut Without Hawkish Fed

September 22, 2021September 22, 2021

If you like excitement (where “excitement” means harrowing drawdowns and vol events conducive to bombastic

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Evergrande Buys Time. With No Money

September 22, 2021September 23, 2021

Sentiment improved (at the margins anyway) on Wednesday after Evergrande’s onshore property unit alluded to

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3 Comments on Evergrande Buys Time. With No Money

Evergrande Makes Lehman Trend Again

September 21, 2021September 28, 2021

The market “is signaling that it’s fretting over more than Evergrande,” one headline read, on

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5 Comments on Evergrande Makes Lehman Trend Again

A Skewed Up World

September 21, 2021September 22, 2021

Over the past several months, there’s been no shortage of banter about extremes in various

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3 Comments on A Skewed Up World

‘The Vol Event Is Dead. Long Live The Vol Event!’

September 21, 2021September 22, 2021

I spent most of Monday going on about vol-sellers and whether they would or wouldn’t

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Amid ‘Lehman Moment’ Debate, Evergrande Faces Ponzi Innuendo

September 21, 2021September 23, 2021

Equities looked to stabilize Tuesday after a somewhat harrowing day on Wall Street, where stocks

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7 Comments on Amid ‘Lehman Moment’ Debate, Evergrande Faces Ponzi Innuendo

JPMorgan: We See The Selloff As A Dip-Buying Opportunity

September 20, 2021September 26, 2021

While only time will tell whether Monday’s selloff on Wall Street was just another blip

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Free Fall

September 20, 2021September 22, 2021

The White House is “always monitoring global markets,” Jen Psaki said on Monday afternoon, as

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6 Comments on Free Fall

‘We’re At The Opposite End Of A Stock Super-Cycle’: Goldman

September 20, 2021September 21, 2021

Earlier this month, while raising their year-end target for the S&P, BofA suggested US equities

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4 Comments on ‘We’re At The Opposite End Of A Stock Super-Cycle’: Goldman

If This, Then $137 Billion Of ‘Hard Mechanical Deleveraging’

September 20, 2021September 21, 2021

Nomura’s Charlie McElligott wasn’t surprised. “Who woulda thunk it?!”, he asked, rhetorically, as risk assets

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Markets ‘Shocked’ As China Hard Landing Risk Grows

September 20, 2021September 20, 2021

It doesn’t take much to “shock” folks these days. “A big week for global markets

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3 Comments on Markets ‘Shocked’ As China Hard Landing Risk Grows

Contagion: Evergrande Drama, Property Curbs Hit Markets

September 20, 2021September 22, 2021

Fears of a “moment” in China roiled global markets Monday. The question is what kind

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4 Comments on Contagion: Evergrande Drama, Property Curbs Hit Markets

How To Solve The Fed’s ‘Embarrassing’ Ethics Problem

September 19, 2021September 20, 2021

When Jerome Powell takes questions from the press after this week’s critical Fed meeting, monetary

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6 Comments on How To Solve The Fed’s ‘Embarrassing’ Ethics Problem

What To Expect From This Week’s Crucial Fed Meeting

September 19, 2021September 23, 2021

Thread the needle. That’s Jerome Powell’s task this week. In his post-FOMC press conference, Powell

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3 Comments on What To Expect From This Week’s Crucial Fed Meeting

Do We Even Want Good News?

September 18, 2021September 20, 2021

Someone summarized the prevailing market conjuncture better than I’ve been able to. But that feat

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1 Comment on Do We Even Want Good News?

Climbing The ‘Worry Free Wall’

September 18, 2021September 19, 2021

Don’t call it a “selloff” yet. After two straight weekly declines and losses in eight

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7 Comments on Climbing The ‘Worry Free Wall’

Why ‘We Gotta Avoid’ A Big Down Day Next Week

September 17, 2021September 19, 2021

Thanks to the worst session for the S&P in a month, US equities logged a

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Tiny Selloff Triggers ‘Monster’ Stock Inflow, Cash Exodus

September 17, 2021September 24, 2021

Somebody bought the dip. Global equity funds took in more than $51 billion over the

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3 Comments on Tiny Selloff Triggers ‘Monster’ Stock Inflow, Cash Exodus

Fireworks In October?

September 17, 2021September 18, 2021

Volatility is likely to pick up over the next month, Goldman reckoned, in a note

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Leave a Comment on Fireworks In October?

Consumers See ‘Least Favorable Prospects In A Decade’

September 17, 2021September 17, 2021

After plunging in August amid inflation fears and Delta wave concerns, consumer sentiment remained subdued

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Leave a Comment on Consumers See ‘Least Favorable Prospects In A Decade’

China ‘Lehman Moment’ Warnings Return As Evergrande Saga Spirals

September 17, 2021September 21, 2021

Maybe we’re witnessing “Beijing’s Volcker moment,” as Nomura’s Ting Lu put it last month, in

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4 Comments on China ‘Lehman Moment’ Warnings Return As Evergrande Saga Spirals

Escaping A Possible ‘Lost Decade’ For The S&P

September 16, 2021September 17, 2021

Last week, while raising their year-end target for the S&P, BofA suggested US equities might

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5 Comments on Escaping A Possible ‘Lost Decade’ For The S&P

And Now For The Bad News

September 16, 2021September 23, 2021

And now for the bad news. Although August’s retail sales report was upbeat and will

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10 Comments on And Now For The Bad News

Surprise! Americans Are Still Spending Money

September 16, 2021September 19, 2021

US retail sales unexpectedly rose in August, data out Thursday showed. The 0.7% increase defied

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1 Comment on Surprise! Americans Are Still Spending Money

A Desire To Take Profits

September 16, 2021September 16, 2021

Xi’s concerted effort to enhance oversight of monopolies is having the desired effect on China’s

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16 Comments on A Desire To Take Profits

JPMorgan Raises S&P Target. Says Activity ‘Bound To Reaccelerate’

September 15, 2021September 16, 2021

One of this month’s market obsessions is an apparent disconnect between economic momentum and positioning

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Ray Dalio On Bitcoin, Hard Money Martyr

September 15, 2021September 16, 2021

Admittedly, I’m a bit tired of Ray Dalio. I imagine quite a few folks feel the

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11 Comments on Ray Dalio On Bitcoin, Hard Money Martyr

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Monthly Letters

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