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Category: Markets

A Tangled Mess Of Optimism And Uncertainty

September 1, 2021September 2, 2021

I had it pre-written. I was all set to serve up a delightfully sarcastic take

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4 Comments on A Tangled Mess Of Optimism And Uncertainty

Delta Variant Gets Blame For Another Wild ADP Miss

September 1, 2021September 1, 2021

US private sector employers added 374,000 jobs in August, ADP said Wednesday. That was nowhere

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4 Comments on Delta Variant Gets Blame For Another Wild ADP Miss

Marx To Market

September 1, 2021September 5, 2021

Traders “snubbed risks,” one headline read on Wednesday, as equities looked for more gains. The

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1 Comment on Marx To Market

As August Melts Into September…

August 31, 2021September 1, 2021

I mentioned there were two key macro narratives on Tuesday, and they’ll stay relevant even

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The Holzmann Tantrum?

August 31, 2021September 7, 2021

There were two key macro narratives Tuesday, one of which was the slowdown in China

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Crisis Of Confidence

August 31, 2021September 8, 2021

Consumer confidence tumbled in August amid Delta variant hand-wringing and inflation concerns. Earlier this month,

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1 Comment on Crisis Of Confidence

US Home Prices Post Another Record, Surge Most In 30 Years

August 31, 2021September 11, 2021

US home prices rose more than expected in June, data out Tuesday showed. The latest

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3 Comments on US Home Prices Post Another Record, Surge Most In 30 Years

The Writing On The Wall

August 31, 2021August 31, 2021

The writing is on the wall in China. And the font is large. Beijing’s regulatory

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7 Comments on The Writing On The Wall

Xi’s ‘Profound Revolution’ Renders Market Calls Worthless

August 31, 2021September 7, 2021

As it turns out, Xi Jinping’s sweeping regulatory blitz (which, if you date to Jack

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1 Comment on Xi’s ‘Profound Revolution’ Renders Market Calls Worthless

S&P To Fall 10% By ‘Ice’ Or By ‘Fire’: Morgan’s Wilson

August 30, 2021August 31, 2021

One way or another, a 10% correction is probably in the cards for US equities.

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Meanwhile, There’s Data

August 30, 2021August 31, 2021

While I was busy writing about important things on Monday morning, the first of this

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1 Comment on Meanwhile, There’s Data

Bad Mouths, Bad Debt, Bad Bets

August 30, 2021August 31, 2021

China’s never-ending deluge of decrees aimed at ameliorating perceived social ills continued Monday. Teenagers can

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7 Comments on Bad Mouths, Bad Debt, Bad Bets

‘Nothing So Bad That It Couldn’t Get Worse’

August 29, 2021September 2, 2021

Headlines in the new week will revolve mostly around the final days of America’s chaotic

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2 Comments on ‘Nothing So Bad That It Couldn’t Get Worse’

Remind Me About The Risks Again

August 28, 2021September 3, 2021

We’ve reached that glorious point in an inexorable rally when all that’s left to do

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11 Comments on Remind Me About The Risks Again

Larry Summers, Paid Monday Morning Quarterback

August 28, 2021August 30, 2021

Larry Summers thinks Jerome Powell might have it all wrong. Well, not all of it.

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11 Comments on Larry Summers, Paid Monday Morning Quarterback

Bland Orators And Bad Tasseography

August 27, 2021August 29, 2021

On Thursday afternoon, while wailing Afghans and shell-shocked military personnel were bagging up bodies and

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8 Comments on Bland Orators And Bad Tasseography

For Entertainment Purposes

August 27, 2021August 28, 2021

“Stagflation is the new investment backdrop,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett declared, in the latest edition of

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4 Comments on For Entertainment Purposes

Powell Says Nothing In Anticlimactic Jackson Hole Speech

August 27, 2021August 31, 2021

It could be appropriate for the Fed to begin tapering monthly asset purchases this year,

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5 Comments on Powell Says Nothing In Anticlimactic Jackson Hole Speech

Polite Nods To The Macro Narrative Du Jour

August 27, 2021August 27, 2021

Personal spending rose 0.3% in July, slightly less than expected, perhaps underscoring the fragility of

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2 Comments on Polite Nods To The Macro Narrative Du Jour

Xi To Ban Some Overseas Tech IPOs, Erases Celebrities

August 27, 2021August 28, 2021

Chinese tech shares may have managed to close out another tumultuous week with a gain

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9 Comments on Xi To Ban Some Overseas Tech IPOs, Erases Celebrities

Thumper’s Maxim

August 26, 2021August 27, 2021

Sometimes, I don’t know what Jim Bullard is thinking. Back in June, less than 48

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4 Comments on Thumper’s Maxim

No Needles Were Moved

August 26, 2021August 27, 2021

353,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, slightly higher than the previous week’s upwardly-revised

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2 Comments on No Needles Were Moved

Chinese Tech Rebound May Be DOA

August 26, 2021August 27, 2021

The nascent rebound in Chinese tech hit a brick wall Thursday. After faltering during the

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2 Comments on Chinese Tech Rebound May Be DOA

Let’s Try It And See What Happens

August 26, 2021August 26, 2021

The Bank of Korea showed you can hike rates while virus cases are elevated without

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Cost-Benefit Analysis In A Failing Economic System

August 25, 2021September 11, 2021

“This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP

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9 Comments on Cost-Benefit Analysis In A Failing Economic System

Pain. Or The Avoidance Thereof

August 25, 2021August 26, 2021

Virtually no one that I’m aware of believes the Delta variant or associated weakness in

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1 Comment on Pain. Or The Avoidance Thereof

The Price Of Peace

August 25, 2021August 26, 2021

“Summer melt-up continues,” read one headline, on a sleepy Wednesday afternoon. I don’t know, maybe

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5 Comments on The Price Of Peace

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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