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Category: Markets

‘Clouded Over Again’

August 25, 2021August 26, 2021

A furious rebound in beleaguered Chinese tech behemoths stalled after just two days, while global

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1,000-Point Gap Opens Between S&P Bulls, Bears

August 24, 2021August 29, 2021

The “doubt proved misplaced,” Bloomberg’s Lu Wang wrote Tuesday, as US equities marched toward another

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Risk Of ‘Balanced Bear’ May Increase, Goldman Says

August 24, 2021August 25, 2021

Remember the “can’t lose” conjuncture? It’s a pretty simple dynamic. Secular growth, including mega-US tech,

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Regular People Can’t Keep Buying $400K Homes

August 24, 2021September 1, 2021

Happy day. After falling for three consecutive months, new home sales topped estimates for July,

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18 Comments on Regular People Can’t Keep Buying $400K Homes

‘A Good Ol’ Fashioned Short-Squeeze’

August 24, 2021August 25, 2021

Stocks may end up “trapped” again, where that means consigned to a rangebound grind, likely

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Odds Of China Policy Pivot Game-Changer Increase Rapidly

August 24, 2021August 31, 2021

It’s “everybody back in the risk pool,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said Tuesday, on the heels

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2 Comments on Odds Of China Policy Pivot Game-Changer Increase Rapidly

‘Uninvestable’ Chinese Tech Stages Ridiculous Comeback Rally

August 24, 2021August 24, 2021

Chinese tech shares surged a second day Tuesday, bolstering global risk sentiment and (finally) rewarding

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Payback?

August 23, 2021August 24, 2021

Generally speaking, analysts blamed the Delta variant for the recent deterioration in consumer sentiment and

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‘What Turned The Tide’ For Stocks

August 23, 2021August 28, 2021

So close, yet so far. From a cascading, selling-begets-selling, self-fulfilling drawdown, that is. For a

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Stagflation-ary

August 23, 2021August 24, 2021

Economic activity decelerated in early August, flash PMIs out Monday suggested, underscoring what, by now,

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Rebounds, Bargains And ‘Zero’ Covid

August 23, 2021August 23, 2021

Risk assets started the new week on the front foot, as the dollar backpedaled from

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Speed Bumps

August 22, 2021August 23, 2021

Jackson Hole isn’t the only thing on the docket in the new week. Jerome Powell’s

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Cotton Candy Skies (Virtually)

August 22, 2021August 26, 2021

The marquee event in the new week is obviously Jackson Hole. It’ll be hosted virtually

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2 Comments on Cotton Candy Skies (Virtually)

‘Professional Prognosticators’

August 21, 2021August 23, 2021

The smartest among us admit how little we know and, as a corollary, acknowledge that

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6 Comments on ‘Professional Prognosticators’

Amazon, BABA Burn Hedge Funds Amid Record ‘VIP’ Lag

August 21, 2021August 22, 2021

It’s been a rough stretch for hedge funds’ most popular positions. If you’re inexplicably inclined

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Autumn ‘Flash Recession’ And A Litany Of Concerns

August 20, 2021August 27, 2021

It’s all too easy to cite a litany of concerns in the course of suggesting

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‘Little Wonder Everyone Buys The Dip’

August 20, 2021August 22, 2021

“Our view, negative returns for stocks and credit in the second half,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett

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What Goes Up

August 20, 2021August 21, 2021

Negativity on the macro front is finding its way into investor sentiment despite robust earnings,

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Xi Burns It Down: Hong Kong In Bear Market, Tech Wiped Out

August 20, 2021August 24, 2021

The Hang Seng fell into a bear market Friday amid another steep decline in Chinese

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3 Comments on Xi Burns It Down: Hong Kong In Bear Market, Tech Wiped Out

Wall Street Moves Up Taper Timeline As Fed ‘Taken Literally’

August 19, 2021August 20, 2021

The Fed pretty clearly believes the market is prepared to deal with a reduction in

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The Fed’s Afghanistan

August 19, 2021August 29, 2021

“The idea that somehow, there’s a way to have gotten out without chaos ensuing, I

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11 Comments on The Fed’s Afghanistan

We May Be ‘On The Verge’ Of A Cascade

August 19, 2021August 20, 2021

You can skip the “taper tantrum” (or, as some market participants branded it Thursday, “mini-tantrum”)

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Meanwhile, The Data Is A Mixed Bag

August 19, 2021August 20, 2021

348,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, down markedly from the prior week and

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Chinese Tech Collapse Reaches 45%. Toyota Delivers Delta Reality Check

August 19, 2021August 20, 2021

Sentiment took a marked turn for the worse Thursday as a confluence of factors conspired

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4 Comments on Chinese Tech Collapse Reaches 454. Toyota Delivers Delta Reality Check

Through The Looking Glass: A Survey Of Decentralized Finance

August 18, 2021August 19, 2021

We are witnessing a renaissance at the intersection of mathematics, computer science, and finance, and

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The Strain, The Taper And The Caveats

August 18, 2021August 19, 2021

The word “variant” showed up seven times in the July Fed minutes, the word “Delta”

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Booster Clarion Call: Reasoning With The ‘Other’ Half

August 18, 2021August 23, 2021

It’s probably best if you get a booster shot, US health officials reckon. “The available

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Monthly Letters

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