Bears could still be right, God bless ’em. After all, the year’s not over yet.
Category: Markets
Rare Occurrences
If the Fed cuts rates in 2024 with core inflation above the unemployment rate, it’d
Technically You Did Start It, John
“My fault? How is it my fault?” “Well, you did start it, John.” In “Critics
The $6 Trillion Question For 2024
The great thing about 4% or 5% on term deposits and federal money market funds
Critics Decry Fed’s Dovish Pivot. Does Powell Deserve The Derision?
There was more than a little perturbation Thursday among the Fed’s legions of critics. With
ECB Manages Balanced Message As Lagarde Battles Rate Cut Speculation
The ECB removed a key inflation warning from its policy statement on Thursday, even as
A Weary Bank Of England Tries To Dissuade Rate Cut Bets
The Bank of England kept rates on hold Thursday, as expected. The vote split was
No Hawks Here
The Fed’s policy rate is “likely at or near its peak for this hiking cycle,”
Fed Signals Three Rate Cuts For Next Year At Final 2023 Gathering
The Fed kept rates on hold for a third consecutive meeting on Wednesday, as widely
The Big Impact Of A $60 Billion Options ETF Trend
On a number of occasions over the past — I don’t know — call it
Fed In ‘Unenviable’ Position. Risks ‘Potentially Incoherent’ Messaging
This time last month, US financial conditions, as measured by various Wall Street gauges, were
Too Quiet?
Is it too quiet? That question came up again and again over the past two
Grin And Bear It
By now, it’s well understood that corporates took full advantage of the inflationary macro environment
Why Marko Kolanovic Expects Higher Volatility In 2024
The same factors which’ve mitigated the impact of the Fed’s hiking cycle on corporates and
Marking Time
This week started out like every other week in the world’s conflict zones and across
What To Expect From The Final FOMC Meeting Of 2023
Headed into the final FOMC meeting of 2023, a few observers were anxious about Jerome
The ‘Waller Doctrine’ And The History Of First Cuts
The past six weeks were defined by growing conviction in Fed rate cuts. Although that
Hartnett Spots Animal Spirits As Sentiment Gauge Jumps Most Since 2012
The animal spirits are stirring. That’s according to BofA’s Michael Hartnett who, in the latest
Kolanovic Sees ‘Worry Or Perhaps Even Panic’ In 2024
“We think that the decline in inflation and economic activity that we forecast for 2024
Bank Of Japan Speculation Reaches Fever Pitch
There’s something amusing about employing the term “early” to describe a prospective Bank of Japan
With Apologies
Part of writing about macro and markets in the post-Lehman world is coping with the
US And China Find Common Ground. In A Moody’s Outlook Cut
Beijing is “disappointed.” With a lot of things and also with a lot of people,
SOFR Spike: What To Know
A SOFR spike! Who’s excited?! I don’t know how much attention this’ll garner among casual
Rate Cuts And Profit Growth? History Says No
“From where we are sitting, the market remains clueless about where 10-year bond yields or
I’m Sorry, Wilson!
“I’m sorry, Wilson!” (Who’s seen Cast Away?) If you’re looking to trade the early-year bullish
Are Stocks Too Calm For Comfort?
“It’s quiet. Too quiet,” as the old cliché goes. As the new week dawned, some
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