2022 called. It wants its geostrategic macro zeitgeist back. If you felt the discomfiting twinge
Category: Markets
Oil Soars Most Since Ukraine Invasion As Iran War Spirals
Donald Trump has a real mess on his hands, not to mention a lot of
The World’s Biggest Stock Bubble Just Burst
Last week, before the bombs started falling in Iran, I warned on the possibility of
What We Just Learned About The Dollar
If the question was whether the dollar retains its haven appeal in times of acute
Bonds Jolted As Risk Of Global Energy Crisis Grows
Although I’m of the opinion that the near-term, war-driven spike will fade more quickly than
Oil To $100?
Markets are, I’d argue, largely desensitized to geopolitical conflict. Part of that’s the 24-7, “always
Jobs Report Collides With Iran War In Pivotal Week
Hard as it’ll be to focus on macroeconomic data amid the fallout from the weekend
Oil Moves To Front Burner With Iran On Fire
If you’re worried about oil supplies in the long shadow of America’s latest effort to
Weekly: Return Of The Roach Panic
This time last week, I conjured October’s “roach” scare in the course of suggesting that
Asian Stocks Boom Amid Seoul ‘SUVU’
Emigration figures suggest many Americans no longer view the US as the best place to
On Nvidia. And A Lot Of Other Things.
Full disclosure: I own Nvidia outside of an index fund. I bought it around $120.50
Nvidia Blows Away Estimates
The high drama around Nvidia’s Q4 report was amplified on Wednesday afternoon in the US
How ‘Doomers And Boomers’ Took Over US Equity Options
“Doomers and boomers.” That’s the US equity options space in a nutshell. The description comes
On Citrini’s 2028 AI Dystopia
I used to wonder if the genius, multilingual Bulgarian provocateur who taught me the tricks
The US Stock Market’s Officially Too Big To Fail
Late last week, I called the US economy a Potemkin village and not for the
How Stocks Could Go From Selling Off To Melting Up
If investors can overcome the psychological albatross that is “pure tariff chaos” and assuming cold-hearted
Weekly: Is Blue Owl The Private Credit Canary?
Four months ago, when a couple of bankruptcies in the auto sector riled regional lenders
If The ‘Smart Money’ Is A Contrarian Indicator, It’s Time To Sell
How much faith do you have in large companies’ capacity to remain exceptionally profitable over
Fed Minutes Suggest Willingness To Hike If Inflation Not Tamed
“Most participants” at 2026’s first FOMC meeting judged that inflation in the US is still
Dispersion Trade ‘Cash-In’ Risks Index Vol Spike
Last week, I highlighted a history-making bout of dispersion across large-cap US equities. Between an
Somebody’s (Badly) Wrong About Software Stocks
With US software stocks down — checks notes — 30% in four months, it’s fair
In Historic Shift, Money Managers Say Companies Are ‘Over-Investing’
The title of this week’s first daily mailer was “How much is too much?” The
$1.5 Trillion In Two Years: AI Spending Forecasts Just Keep Rising
I told you so. Not that you needed to be any sort of seer to
Credit ETF Short Interest Explodes Amid Big-Tech Debt Binge
You don’t have to look very far these days for evidence that banks and investors
‘Magnificent’ Mega-Cap Margins Mask ‘Surging’ C-Suite Expense Angst
How profitable are the largest US companies? That’s kind of a trick question. The answer,
Hedging The Hyper-Spenders
They’re the most creditworthy entities in the history of capitalism. And on many accounts, they’re
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