“There’s no clean TACO off-ramp.” That’s what the ER doctor says when you show up
Category: Markets
VaR Is Hell
If I weren’t so committed to editorial integrity, I could’ve penned a terrifying headline for
Private Credit: Who’s Scared?
The private credit apocalypse is back in the news. I don’t know that it ever
Where’s The Stock, Pump Price Pain Threshold?
What’s the equity market pain threshold for the Trump administration? Not SPX 6500, apparently, and
Operation ‘Rage Flip’
It really is difficult to overstate the case when it comes to describing the dramatic
Weekly: Hawks, Hawks Everywhere
It was rough out there for investors this week. Again. It’s not a coincidence that
‘Just An Ongoing, Bleeding Risk-Management Flow’
“Are we really tightening policy into a global energy supply shock with an already fragile
UK Front-End Ablaze As BoE Turns Hawkish
The Bank of England might’ve cut rates today. Then came the war. At the last
‘Standard Learning’
There were two overarching takeaways from Jerome Powell’s press conference on Wednesday. The first was
Fed On Hold, Retains 2026 Rate Projection Amid War Angst
As expected, the Fed kept rates on hold Wednesday following what I imagine was a
Beware The War Melt-Up?
Far be it from me (of all people) to be the optimist in the room
Iran War Shatters Bullish Wall Street Consensus
The global growth outlook “tanked” and cash allocations “surged” among professional money managers this month
Your Hedges Are Bleeding
Last week, in “Priced For Chaos When Nothing Ever Happens,” I again called readers’ attention
If Iran ‘Fun’ Continues, S&P Could Plunge To 5400
Are we having fun yet? At least one person (two if you count Pete Hegseth)
Something’s Gotta Give This Week
I’m probably on the record enough by now, but just in case: I’m avowedly not
Battle-Weary Fed Confronts Another Supply Shock
For quite a while after Russia invaded Ukraine, Western central banks included an admonishment to
Weekly: War Comes To The US Front-End
The war came home for America this week. Not in the form of any actual
Iran Oil Blowback Has World Over A Barrel
Don’t read The New York Times. That was Donald Trump’s advice to Americans as the
Stocks In War
In light of Mojtaba Khamenei’s avowed determination to keep the Strait of Hormuz closed in
Market Derelict On Oil Inflation Risk, Albert Edwards Says
If you ask the sell-side’s most famous bear, the bond market’s insufficiently attentive to inflation
Two Crazy Charts And A Wildly Bullish Backtest
Wanna see something crazy?! When it’s me asking, you can safely answer in the emphatic
Will Oracle’s Cloud Growth Stanch The Bleeding?
In the normal course of things, I wouldn’t dedicate special coverage to Oracle’s earnings release.
Canaries And Eye Candy From Inside The AI Bubble
How crucial are AI investment and AI-enabled cloud services to overall corporate profit growth in
Remember AI?
Remember AI and all the attendant debates and dramas? There was the capex question and
Where’s The Iran War Stock Crash?
“Stocks should be down more.” That’s something you might’ve heard in this week’s earliest US
‘Only Fools’
When things get chaotic — when down is up, white is black and day is
Traders Get Inflation Double-Header In Fog Of War
It’s inflation week in the US. If you ask me, risks around updates on the
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