JPMorgan Beats. Dimon Flags Risks, Says He’ll Manage Them

JPMorgan beat estimates on more or less every key line in Q1 results released Tuesday.

Starting with net interest income, managed NII in Q1 was $25.48 billion, easily ahead of consensus, up from the prior quarter and up 9% YoY. Noninterest expense rose 14%.

Although the bank said overall net interest income will likely be lower for all of 2026 than previously tipped — $103 billion versus $104.5 billion — the full-year ex-markets NII guide, at $95 billion, was unchanged from the bank’s previous projection.

Expenses for the full year are still seen at $105 billion.

I suppose investors could balk at the juxtaposition between a lower overall NII outlook and the unchanged full-year expense guide, but it’s hard to argue with the rest of the numbers Jamie Dimon put up on Tuesday.

FICC revenue of $7.08 billion rose more than 20% and, in contrast to Goldman’s FICC miss, beat estimates handily (consensus wanted $6.65 billion).

In equities, sales and trading revenue rose 17% to $4.48 billion against $4.31 billion seen.

Overall Markets revenue was $11.6 billion, up 20% versus Q1 of last year and, as Dimon was keen to point out, a record.

IB was strong too. Revenue there was $3.14 billion, up 38% YoY and comfortably ahead of the expected $2.73 billion.

As the figure shows, IB fees were the highest since 2021, which is to say since the go-go “stimmy” days. Advisory was particularly strong.

Running quickly through the rest of the numbers, overall loans were $1.5 trillion, in line, while deposits of $2.68 trillion exceeded the $2.58 trillion estimate.

Net charge-offs were $2.32 billion, lower than expected, while comp cost of $15.34 billion was $300 million to the high side. EPS of $5.94 beat by 50 cents and adjusted revenue of $50.54 billion was more than a billion ahead of estimates.

Dimon said what Dimon always says: The risks are myriad but if anybody can navigate them, it’s him.


 

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