“Can’t trust that day”…
Category: FX
‘Well What If There Is No Tomorrow?’: Fed, Kushner, And Full Week Ahead Preview
Ok, it’s Sunday evening at HR, and you know what that means…
A 3-Word Explanation For Desperate Dollar Doldrums
Judging by my inbox, there are at least four readers who did not appreciate my three-word explanation for why the dollar is in the doldrums.Â
Aussie Plunges Most Since May 3: ‘Two Birds, One Stone’
“Debelle smashed two arguments in one sitting. Two birds, one stone.”
A ‘Gettin’ Away With Murder’ Type Of Day: Thursday Market Wrap
Thursday was all about people who might have gotten away with murder…
Stocks Touch Record Highs: Full Wednesday Visual Recap
“So much winning, you’re going to get tired of winning”…
The ‘Only Game In Town’: If FX Didn’t Exist, We’d Have To Invent It In 2017
“We don’t often know when a political crisis will rear its head. Not a problem for a 24-hour market. Want to deal anonymously with all the protections of off-shore counter-parties? Not a problem. And, if you think the matter is egregious enough, you can leverage up pretty much to your heart’s content.”
‘Netflix & Chill’ – Full Visual Tour Of Tuesday’s Market Action
Netflix, Goldman, “own dick eating,” a failed healthcare bill, dollar doldrums, and so much more…
Are You Confused About FX Confusion? SocGen Can Help…
“The world is less in need of triage and intensive care from central bankers than it was, and more of them are thinking about how, and when, to set out on the road to normalisation.”
Risk-On Still Intact As Entire World Ignores China Stock Plunge: Full Visual Recap
All told, the mood remains “risk-on.”
‘Billions And Billions And Billions’: ECB, BoJ, And Your Full Week Ahead Preview
If you didn’t get your fill of hand-wringing over DM central banks last week, then you’re in luck…
Stocks Fly To Records, Global Risk Rally Continues As Bad Data, ‘Good’ Yellen Keep Hope Alive
The message is loud and fucking clear: the vol. seller’s/ carry trader’s paradise and the risk party that’s made every homegamer with some SPY and QQQ look like a guru for the past eight years depends on DM central bankers staying some modicum of dovish. And on that score, bad data helps.
‘This Increases The Anxiety’: Gold Surges With Euro, Sterling On CPI Miss
“Gold is the net beneficial of this data [as] this increases the anxiety and creates a lot of questions about the current strategy which the Fed is using.”
Dow Closes At Record High – So Does Central Banker Confusion
So yeah, another day, another largely fruitless effort to figure out what exactly the message
Global Stocks Are Happy. Gold Is Sad. China! I Found Some Inflation In Norway.
Well, I’d say “it’s quiet out there,” but that’s cliché. So how about this: “ain’t
Yen, Pound Nosedive, BoJ Reminds You Who’s In Charge Here
Right, so first thing Thursday morning we noted that 10Y JGB yields had risen to
Trader: ‘Stocks Might Even Go Down. Stranger Things Have Happened’
“So the question you need to be asking isn’t whether something is mispriced, but what are the catalysts that will convince the market that it’s time to recognize it as so.”
Geopolitics! Won At 4-Month Low, Lira Sinks, Trump Says ‘Very Severe’ Shit Is Goin’ Down
Well, the won is at four-month low against the dollar on Thursday because, well, because
One Trader Bans ‘Certain Words’ Until You Can ‘Pass His Plain-Speaking Test’
“The last thing I want to be doing the day after July 4th is making any kind of assault on free speech. But I’m going to propose a ban on certain words that no longer pass the plain-speaking test.”
Crude Crashes Abruptly, North Korea Vows More ‘Good-Looking Boys’ For ‘American Bastards’
We just hit technical levels that were a bridge too far at this stage. That’s
Fireworks: North Korea Launches “Anywhere” ICBM, Trump Ponders “Heavy Move,” Central Banks Ahoy!
There’s never a dull moment in a world that’s lost its mind. North Korea celebrated
“A Major, Serious” Situation In Japan, PMIs Galore, And A Deadline For Qatar
Ok, so Shinzo Abe’s LDP suffered a stunning loss in Tokyo assembly elections over the weekend,
One Trader Doesn’t Like Your “Hyperbole,” But He’ll Let It Slide As Long As You Don’t Mistake A Passing Pigeon For “Paree”
“It’s been a week filled with hyperbole. Trial balloons dressed up as pre-commitments. A little volatility described in cataclysmic terms and compared to jarring historical market upsets.”
And God Said “Let There Be Data: And There Was Data.”
It’s Friday and God said, “let there be data: and there was data.” Let’s start
Humpty Dumpty And The Euro…
“All the king’s soldiers”…
Euro, Euro, Euro
It will take more than anonymous ECB sources to cool the desire to bet on

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