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Category: FX

Trader Delivers Celebratory Warning: “We’re About To Have A Two-Way Market Again”

June 28, 2017

“It was no small feat. And the fact that it was very much a global phenomenon makes it all the more significant. Investors should have been jolted into the realization that we just might be about to enjoy the healthy benefits of a two-way market.”

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Stocks Fall Across The Globe As Hawkish Central Banks, Washington Jitters Roil Risk

June 28, 2017

Well, the overnight action was predictable under the circumstances, but it’s nevertheless unnerving for anyone

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on Stocks Fall Across The Globe As Hawkish Central Banks, Washington Jitters Roil Risk

Euro Surges On Draghi’s “Three Messages,” Dollar Eyes Janet, Yuan “Suddenly” Jumps

June 27, 2017

Boy, I’ll tell you what, if you’re a central banker and you’re going to say

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Gold Flash Crashes, “Jubilant” Germans, And Bank Bailouts

June 26, 2017

Well, gold plunged $18 in seconds on surging volume (18k contracts in a one-minute window)

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oil1 Comment on Gold Flash Crashes, “Jubilant” Germans, And Bank Bailouts

3 C’s: Crude, Carry, CPI And Your Full Week Ahead Preview

June 25, 2017June 25, 2017

Ok, so it’s Sunday which, as we’re fond of reminding you, means that tomorrow will be Monday – right up until Trump does something that takes the whole of idea of there being a “tomorrow” off the table…

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oilLeave a Comment on 3 C’s: Crude, Carry, CPI And Your Full Week Ahead Preview

One Trader Trusts Numbers Even Less Than He Trusts You – And That’s Saying Something

June 23, 2017

“The dictionary speaks of facts and specifics. But in reality it includes, biases, positions and a whole lot of other subjective factors. You and I can, quite properly, look at the same data and react differently.”

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Chart Of The Day: Asset Prices In The Trump Era

June 22, 2017

See if you can spot what’s still hanging on for dear life at record highs/tights despite lackluster incoming data and central bank tightening…

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oilLeave a Comment on Chart Of The Day: Asset Prices In The Trump Era

Trader: “You Really Shouldn’t Make It Up As You Go Along”

June 22, 2017June 22, 2017

“They don’t have to be governed only by the lowest common denominator. Nor forever ignore the negative externalities of oppressively low global rates and how they further suppress yields and encourage profligate risk-taking.”

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1 Comment on Trader: “You Really Shouldn’t Make It Up As You Go Along”

A Kiwi, A Krone, And An Oil Rout

June 22, 2017

It was relatively quiet overnight session which saw market participants continuing to focus squarely on

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on A Kiwi, A Krone, And An Oil Rout

A Royal Shakeup, China’s Big Day Falls Flat, Crude Reality Bites

June 21, 2017

Ok, well for obvious reasons, the headlines overnight pretty much all revolved around: Saudi Arabia

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on A Royal Shakeup, China’s Big Day Falls Flat, Crude Reality Bites

Dollar Is Happy, Pound Is Sad, And There’s Some Yuan Shenanigans Afoot

June 20, 2017June 20, 2017

It’s about Dudley for the dollar which rose to a three-week high versus the yen

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Unlike “Pundits” Who Are Always Wrong, One “Risk Taker” Actually Cares About His P/L

June 19, 2017June 19, 2017

“While the pundit class can be wrong on a regular basis with no repercussions, for risk takers the P/L never lies.”

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2 Comments on Unlike “Pundits” Who Are Always Wrong, One “Risk Taker” Actually Cares About His P/L

Peter Pan’s Revenge: Kuroda Thinks You’re Crazy To Think BoJ Is Not Still Crazy

June 16, 2017

“The moment you doubt whether you can fly, you cease forever to be able to do it.”

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“Carry” On, Or Not So Much? Emerging Markets After The Fed

June 15, 2017

So one of the interesting things to note about the price action we’ve seen over

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The Day After: Yellen’s Big Mistake

June 15, 2017

So here we are, the day after a Fed hike that was supposed to (and

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oil, OPEC1 Comment on The Day After: Yellen’s Big Mistake

“I’m The One Who Got Us Into This Mess,” A Brent Death Cross, And “The Day Before Tomorrow”

June 13, 2017

Today is all about tomorrow…

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oil, OPEC1 Comment on “I’m The One Who Got Us Into This Mess,” A Brent Death Cross, And “The Day Before Tomorrow”

One Trader Thinks You’re Silly, Says You’re “A Wannabe Method Actor”

June 12, 2017

“Trading these markets is turning us all into wannabe method actors. We’re all desperately hoping someone will tell us what is our motivation.”

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2 Comments on One Trader Thinks You’re Silly, Says You’re “A Wannabe Method Actor”

What A “Buzz Kill”: Tech Selloff Goes Global

June 12, 2017June 12, 2017

“There’s a chance U.S. internet technology stocks that have propelled a global stock rally will now serve as a buzz kill.”

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Goldman Presents: “FOMC Alpha” Or, How To Trade The Fed

June 10, 2017

“What is perhaps less well known is that a sizable portion of average yearly asset returns is generated on these days.”

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1 Comment on Goldman Presents: “FOMC Alpha” Or, How To Trade The Fed

China? China! Kuroda Contemplates His Exit, And Other Overnight Shenanigans

June 8, 2017June 8, 2017

It’s “Super Thursday” and although the real fireworks (if there are any) aren’t set to

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Terrorist “Troublemakers” Storm Overnight Session, Murder 12 In Iran Ahead Of “Super Thursday”

June 7, 2017June 7, 2017

Well, it was a quiet overnight session right up until around 2 a.m. EST when

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1 Comment on Terrorist “Troublemakers” Storm Overnight Session, Murder 12 In Iran Ahead Of “Super Thursday”

Safety Sought: Yen Rallies As Markets Nervously Eye Potentially Dangerous Thursday

June 6, 2017

So on Sunday, in our week ahead preview, we noted that Thursday would bring a

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Stop Chasing The Dragon: One Trader Says Central Banks Need To Abandon Their Mandate

June 5, 2017

“Any hint that targets are being abandoned or lowered would send a negative shockwave.”

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Brace For Impact: Full Week Ahead Preview

June 4, 2017June 4, 2017

“While improving manufacturing confidence has recently added to the constructive global risk environment (characterized by dovish central banks, low cross-asset volatility and rising equity prices), a potential increase in political uncertainty in the US may undermine this backdrop.”

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Nikkei Tops 20,000 On Batshit Crazy BoJ Balance Sheet; Global Stocks Rise Ahead Of Jobs

June 2, 2017

Well, the Nikkei crossed 20,000 for the first time since 2015 overnight. And really, why

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on Nikkei Tops 20,000 On Batshit Crazy BoJ Balance Sheet; Global Stocks Rise Ahead Of Jobs

China’s “No Bears Allowed” FX Policy Still In Spotlight Overnight

June 1, 2017June 1, 2017

Ok, so the overnight fireworks were largely confined to early Asian trading. As noted last

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Trader: “We’re Struggling To Understand Why Things Are Even Happening”

May 31, 2017

“So we function in a world where risk assets keep going up while we couch everything in risk-off terms. It’s not enough that our central bankers think they can play with our heads under the fiction that they are masters of nuance, we do it to ourselves.”

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oil, OPEC1 Comment on Trader: “We’re Struggling To Understand Why Things Are Even Happening”

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