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Category: FX

One Bank’s “Doomsday, Nightmare Scenario”

January 27, 2017

One of the most critical market trends that gets virtually zero attention in the mainstream

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5 Comments on One Bank’s “Doomsday, Nightmare Scenario”

A Perma-Bull Turns Bearish: “I’m Worried”

January 27, 2017January 27, 2017

“It seems a weird time to suddenly turn bearish, but I’m overwhelmed by a large sense of concern as I gaze across markets.”

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3 Comments on A Perma-Bull Turns Bearish: “I’m Worried”

Daily Kickstart (Japan Battles Bond Markets, Mexico/Turkey Battle FX Traders, May Meets W/Trump)

January 27, 2017January 27, 2017

As is rapidly becoming custom, we start with FX markets, where the USDJPY rose again,

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Daily Kickstart (“Bigly”)

January 26, 2017January 26, 2017

Making stocks great again.

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These Are The Best And Worst Performing Currencies Since Trump Took Office

January 25, 2017

Needless to say, I’ve spent a fair amount of time talking about currencies this year. As

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“Canary In A Coal Mine Or Siren Song”?

January 24, 2017January 24, 2017

Bright and early. Me. An espresso (I skipped the frothed milk this morning in favor

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Want To Understand Markets? Watch This Currency Pair

January 24, 2017

The yen is gauge of safe-haven flows, it reflects the plight of exporters in a world increasingly driven by FX vol, and it is in many ways a kind of running, real-time referendum on the market’s conviction regarding the Trump administration’s commitment to a weaker dollar.

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Daily Kickstart (Dollar In Focus As UK Court Rules; Lira Plunges)

January 24, 2017January 24, 2017

On Monday evening I said I’d likely find myself talking about the dollar again first thing

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Warning: Currencies Will “Remain Volatile”

January 23, 2017January 23, 2017

Regular readers will recall that if you’re in equities, one of your main concerns going

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Daily Kickstart (Dollar Slumps After Bombastic Trump Speech)

January 23, 2017January 23, 2017

If it was a weaker dollar Trump wanted he’s certainly gotten it in the days following his bombastic inauguration speech which was seen by the rest of the world (with the possible exception of Marine Le Pen) as a de facto declaration of war.

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It’s Time To Start Worrying About FX Vol

January 19, 2017

I think it’s probably time to start getting concerned about FX vol. This morning’s dovish

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8 Comments on It’s Time To Start Worrying About FX Vol

Daily Kickstart (Yen, Gold Fall; Inflation, IP Data, Goldman, Yellen All On Deck)

January 18, 2017

Traders put the brakes on the flight to safety bid on Wednesday as gold and the

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“Nothing To Get Bullish About”: Is The Long Dollar Trade Dead?

January 17, 2017

“There’s nothing to get bullish about in la-la dollar-land”…

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5 Recent FX Flash Crashes: Triggers, Amplifiers, & Stabilizers

January 16, 2017January 16, 2017

Earlier today in “Anatomy Of A Flash Crashing Black Swan,” I noted how multi-sigma events (i.e.

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“Expect A Correction”: Big Brexit Speech “May” Sow Chaos

January 15, 2017January 15, 2017

You can argue for protectionism and against progressivism and multiculturalism all you want, but what you can’t do is stop the market from rendering its own judgement.

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2 Comments on “Expect A Correction”: Big Brexit Speech “May” Sow Chaos

Gun To Your Head, Which Do You Go Long: Mexican Peso Or Turkish Lira?

January 13, 2017

“Choose wisely”…

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3 Comments on Gun To Your Head, Which Do You Go Long: Mexican Peso Or Turkish Lira?

Daily Kickstart (“I Had Some Bad Chinese”)

January 13, 2017

We’re gonna need a weaker yuan. Data out Friday showed China’s exports falling 6.1% y/y

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Daily Kickstart (Dollar Doldrums)

January 12, 2017

Oh how the mighty (greenback) has fallen. The consensus trade of 2017 is having a rough

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Wednesday Chart Check (Trump, Brexit, And FX Chaos)

January 11, 2017

The US election and Brexit have a whole lot in common. Both represent the electorate’s

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1 Comment on Wednesday Chart Check (Trump, Brexit, And FX Chaos)

Daily Kickstart (Dear Mexico, We’re Sorry About All This)

January 11, 2017

I think I can probably sum up Wednesday with one sentence and one chart…

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Daily Kickstart (Jobs Edition)

January 6, 2017

Overnight I quoted Goldman on the way to explaining why a short yuan bias was

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“This Is Not Your Happy Place”

January 5, 2017January 5, 2017

How can we attribute a plunge in the dollar to a dovish reading of the Dec. FOMC minutes?…

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1 Comment on “This Is Not Your Happy Place”

Daily Kickstart (China FX Edition)

January 5, 2017

Whither the yuan…

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1 Comment on Daily Kickstart (China FX Edition)

Greenback Plunges After Fed Minutes

January 4, 2017

On the heels of the Dec. Fed minutes (which hinted at a fairly gradual pace

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Daily Kickstart (Welcome Back Japan Edition)

January 4, 2017

Markets have been rallying quite strongly on this notion of fiscal hope but, as we

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Dollar Swings Wildly After Upbeat US Economic Data

January 3, 2017

Well, that escalated quickly…

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“Grinchs” Should Have “Stayed In Bed”, SocGen Says

January 3, 2017

“The Grinch and Scrooge had better stay in bed this morning”…

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