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Author: therealheisenberg

The Big Bond Question

October 28, 2024October 28, 2024

Treasurys, like the nation which issues them, are at a critical juncture. That was the

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5 Comments on The Big Bond Question

Rolling The Dice

October 28, 2024October 29, 2024

Donald Trump says sweeping tariffs and draconian immigration curbs wouldn’t rekindle inflation across the US

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27 Comments on Rolling The Dice

Is Generative AI A True ‘This Time Is Different’ Moment?

October 27, 2024October 27, 2024

I realize — better than most I’d wager, given how immersed I stay in the

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2 Comments on Is Generative AI A True ‘This Time Is Different’ Moment?

Traders Brace For Macro-Market Circus Ahead Of US Election

October 27, 2024October 29, 2024

Brace yourselves: The days leading into the US jobs report will be busy. Every now

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3 Comments on Traders Brace For Macro-Market Circus Ahead Of US Election

Hyped-Up Hyperscalers

October 27, 2024October 28, 2024

The big guns report this week. Israel will be firing lots of large weapons. See

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1 Comment on Hyped-Up Hyperscalers

‘Measured.’ But For How Long?

October 26, 2024October 28, 2024

“Measured.” “Targeted.” “Calibrated.” Those were some of the adjectives bandied about Saturday to describe Israeli

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Close To Home: Israel Strikes Iran

October 25, 2024October 28, 2024

It was a long time coming, but Israel finally responded to Iran’s ballistic missile attack.

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6 Comments on Close To Home: Israel Strikes Iran

Meanwhile, On The Flows Front…

October 25, 2024October 27, 2024

Equities stumbled a bit in recent days and Wall Street was on track to notch

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3 Comments on Meanwhile, On The Flows Front…

Chasing Gold

October 25, 2024October 27, 2024

Gold’s runnin’. And folks are chasin’ it. Bullion was on track for a sixth gain

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4 Comments on Chasing Gold

Barbecue

October 25, 2024October 26, 2024

The electorate is — and I’m searching for an imaginative euphemism — malcontent, let’s call

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18 Comments on Barbecue

Is Dollar Strength Another Trump Trade?

October 24, 2024October 24, 2024

Don’t look now, but the dollar’s on track for its best month since the “dollar

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1 Comment on Is Dollar Strength Another Trump Trade?

TESLA!!

October 24, 2024October 25, 2024

Tesla! Wait, let me rephrase: TESLA!! People are gullible, and I’m thankful for that every,

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4 Comments on TESLA!!

Who Wants These Dull Boxes?

October 24, 2024October 25, 2024

Americans bought new homes in September at the fastest annual rate in 16 months, according

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7 Comments on Who Wants These Dull Boxes?

Bulletproof Services Drive ‘Robust’ Start To Q4 For US Economy

October 24, 2024October 25, 2024

The US economy kicked off Q4 growing at a 2.5% clip. That was the implication

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2 Comments on Bulletproof Services Drive ‘Robust’ Start To Q4 For US Economy

About That ‘Surge’ In Jobless Claims…

October 24, 2024October 25, 2024

Two weeks ago, jobless claims in the US ostensibly spiked. I say “ostensibly” as though

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2 Comments on About That ‘Surge’ In Jobless Claims…

The Term Premium’s Back

October 23, 2024

If you think “way” back to this time last year, you might vaguely recall something

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1 Comment on The Term Premium’s Back

Tesla Shows Up

October 23, 2024October 24, 2024

It’s regrettable — and I say that sincerely as a Tesla shareholder since way back

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9 Comments on Tesla Shows Up

Pushing The Chips

October 23, 2024October 24, 2024

US equities, and particularly big-tech, looked shaky midweek. Headed into the afternoon on Wall Street

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15 Comments on Pushing The Chips

Pre-Existing Conditions

October 23, 2024October 24, 2024

You might’ve argued — and some forecasters apparently did — that existing home sales in

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9 Comments on Pre-Existing Conditions

Back On Market Through No Fault Of The Seller’s

October 23, 2024October 24, 2024

US mortgage rates were flat from last week. That’s according to Wednesday’s update on the

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1 Comment on Back On Market Through No Fault Of The Seller’s

Landing Secured?

October 22, 2024October 22, 2024

There’s talk of a Fed pause. Who could’ve seen that coming? I don’t relish “I

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Raiders Of The Boss’s Vault

October 22, 2024October 23, 2024

Got gold? If not, the IDF knows where you can find some: There’s tens —

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8 Comments on Raiders Of The Boss’s Vault

Just Another Magnificent 7 Article

October 22, 2024October 23, 2024

If it’s a slow news day and you’re the financial media, you can always compel

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2 Comments on Just Another Magnificent 7 Article

Pirate Treasure And ‘Unwanted Circumstances’

October 22, 2024October 23, 2024

Lebanon’s still a melee, on the off chance you haven’t checked the news. Early this

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1 Comment on Pirate Treasure And ‘Unwanted Circumstances’

Say Less. Dear God, Say Less

October 22, 2024October 23, 2024

I’m not someone who engages in gratuitous Fed criticism for the sake of it, and

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1 Comment on Say Less. Dear God, Say Less

It’s The Liquidity!

October 21, 2024October 21, 2024

I have a love-hate relationship with liquidity-based explanations for risk-asset behavior. It’s self-evidently the case

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Release The Animal Spirits?

October 21, 2024October 22, 2024

Wall Street strategists — as a group, I mean, I’m not singling anyone out —

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21 Comments on Release The Animal Spirits?

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Engineer on Mona Lisa’s Smirk
  • Engineer on The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State
  • WMD on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • n3utra on Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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